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Wednesday :: January 30, 2008

Tsunami Tuesday and the Delegates Up for Grabs

All the early voting states are now behind us. The big deal is Tsunami Tuesday, Feb. 5.

Delegates will matter. This map shows the states holding Democratic caucuses and primaries.

More than 1,500 delegates will be delivered from these states. 2,025 is the number needed to secure the nomination.

The delegate breakdown by states voting Feb. 5 is below:

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Calif. Tries Medical Pot Vending Machines

California now has vending machines that dispense medical marijuana to users, 24/7, just like an ATM.

Check out this AP video.

The DEA wants to shut them down, even though they are legal under state law.

Another good thing about our Democratic candidates: All support ending the federal raids on medical marijuana clinics. Granite Staters has report cards for both the Democratic and Republican candidates. Here's where they were in 2003 and 2004.

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Tuesday :: January 29, 2008

Who Voted for Obama in Florida?

Here are the vote tallies by county. Here's what they show: Obama won the counties closest to Georgia and the deep south. He won no county below the top of the state.

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Who Voted for Hillary in Florida?

Florida by the numbers (from her campaign):

  • Hillary will end up with more votes than John McCain.
  • She won women, men, and just about every age category. She won the youth vote.
  • She won 6 in 10 Latinos and nearly 3 in 10 African American voters.
  • More than 1.5 million Democrats voted today, more than twice the number of voters in the 2004 primary.
  • Among those who decided on Election Day, a plurality of those chose Hillary.

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John McCain Wins Florida -- FL. Live Thread Two

CNN just called Florida for John McCain.

Rudy is expected to drop out by Wednesday and endorse McCain.

Huckabee says hold on, we need Super Tuesday and the Southern states' votes before you count me out.

Does anyone think McCain would pick Rudy as his running mate?

Where does this leave Mitt Romney? Is he still viable?

Update: McCain is speaking now. He may be the least inspirational, blandest speaker ever. He sounds like he is reading rather than speaking. He also uses far too many cliches like "my dear friends."

I wish him a long, healthy life, but at 71, what I'm most concerned about is who he'll pick as his running mate.

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Coverage Of The Dem Results In Florida

NBC is at pains to NOT report the Dem results in Florida. Let's be clear, this is NOT a normal primary. There was no campaigning (though Obama ran a national ad and that reached Florida, and union allies for Clinton and Obama dropped literature in Florida). The DNC has ruled that no delegates will be awarded, though it is clear that it will be the Dem convention that makes that decision. It is not a win like Obama's in South Carolina.

But a lot of people voted. Indeed, Hillary is likely to have TWICE as many people vote for her than watch Keith Olbermann's program. It ill behooves them to ridicule the votes of Floridians who outnumber MSNBC viewers by a factor of 4. IF we start playing THAT numbers game, then let's all make fun of MSNBC's viewership.

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Florida Primary Results: First Live Thread


(larger version here.)

Update 8:00 pm : CNN calls Florida for Hillary Clinton, based on exit polls and 15% of vote in. CNN says more people voted in Florida than all the other states combined.

CNN says the Obama campaign's response is Florida is a tie: 0 delegates for Hillary, 0 for Obama. I guess that means he won't call to congratulate here.

Update 7:45 pm: Hillary still way ahead in the counties reporting so far. Obama ahead in one county, Leon -- located at the top of the state. Demograpics for Leon County here.

[More...]

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Is The Florida Dem Race Getting Traction?

The Florida Democratic primary today will not select delegates, according to Democratic rules. The candidates did not campaign here or run ads, other than a national ad run by Barack Obama. Howver, all the candidates are on the ballot. It seems likely that the largest number of Democratic voters will cast ballots today in Florida that have voted in any state to date. Indeed, RECORD turnout is forecast. Can these votes be ignored by the Media? The Obama camp seems worried that it will not be:

. . . [O]n a media call that was led off by Sen. John Kerry. Here are quick translations of Kerry's opening remarks, which were directly specifically and near exclusively focused on the Clinton campaign's attempt to claim significance from what happens today in Florida:

"The bottom line is that Florida offers no delegates. It should not become part of some spin campaign. . . . You have a contrast today, a juxtaposition. You have an avoidance of a rule set up by the chair to create something that isn’t supposed to be something. In my judgment, personally, as voters look at the meaning of the Florida primary, the voters are not looking for spin to win the news cycle . . .

More....

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Open Thread

Discuss your issues. This is an Open Thread.

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Maxine Waters Endorses Hillary Clinton

This is a nice one for Hillary, especially after the charged South Carolina primary media coverage:
Defying the Nattering Nabobs of Negativism, Clinton scores the endorsement of symbolically and substantively potent superdelegate/California Representative Maxine Waters [D-CA).

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Nasty GOP FL Campaign A Dead Heat

John McCain and Mitt Romney have been exchanging nasty personal attacks in a divisive Floirda campaign that will end Rudy Giuliani's campaign. The polls have Romney and McCain in a dead heat.

The endorsement of the Republican Governor of Florida Charlie Crist has seemingly given McCain a slight boost but it is hard to say how much. Florida has early voting and reportedly some 1 million early votes, about half of the expected total, have been cast already.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton is trying to get some publicity for her expected big win in the Florida Dem beauty contest. It will be interesting to watch how many Democrats will vote. It is hard to ignore more than a half million voters. Indeed, the Florida Dem primary is likely to have the largest amount of voters of any primary so far.

The polls close at 8 EST.

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The Washington Elite Are Anti-Hillary; Obama Is Their Candidate

There is a great irony in Barack Obama's claim to be the anti-Washington candidate. The DC Establishment of course HATE the Clintons and have come to love Barack Obama. But the DC Establishment have always hated the Clintons:

Clinton spent so long as the dominant personality in the Democratic Party that it is easy to forget: Lots of elite Democrats never liked the guy that much. Or, perhaps more precisely, their feelings of admiration were constantly at war with feelings of disdain.

The ferocity of anti-Clinton sentiments heard around Washington in recent days — as even some former Clinton White House aides say they are enjoying the Kennedy endorsement and the implicit rebuke of the Clintons — has reached levels that haven’t been seen for seven years. Clinton’s pardons in the closing hours of his presidency prompted a similar backlash.

One thing to wonder about is whether the DC Establishment take Obama's criticisms of Washington seriously. I submit they do not. And rightly so. These "outsider" appeals are always phony.

Update (TL): 237 comments, this thread is closing.

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