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Wednesday :: January 09, 2008

Clinton Campaign Goes Active in Nevada, South Carolina

Yesterday the speculation was whether Hillary Clinton would forego Nevada and South Carolina.

In Nevada, Obama expected (and now has received) two union endorsements. In South Carolina, where half the Democratic voters are African-American, a New Hampshire win might have produced an Obama tidal wave.

The Clinton campaign has announced its plans. It's going to fight for Nevada and South Carolina, as well as the "Super Duper Tuesday" states.

For those of us who want as long a primary season as possible, so more Democratic voters will have the opportunity to meaningfully participate in the choice of a nominee, this is good news.

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Tweety: Hillary Won Because Bill Messed Around

You can't make this stuff up. Chris Matthews on "Morning Joe" says the reason Hillary Clinton won her New York Senate seat and is a front-runner in the presidential race is because Bill Clinton "messed around." [Via TPM]

He's why I watched CNN (except when Lou Dobbs was on) until after the winner was announced.

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New Hampshire: The Day After

Update: DHinMi at Daily Kos on the county breakdown. This is something I was particularly interested in, see here for example, and appreciate the good analysis.

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More analysis of yesterday's New Hampshire primary, why Hillary won and the pollsters were wrong and what's to come.

  • Washington Post, Clinton Teaches Politics 101 concluding the race is now unpredictable:

    In the five days between Iowa and New Hampshire, Clinton ran a campaign. Barack Obama rode a wave. Everyone - myself included - believed the wave would not crest before Tuesday's balloting. Clinton, determined as ever, set out to do something to stop it.

From the blogs: [more]

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Nevada Culinary Workers Endorse Barack Obama

The Nevada Culinary Workers Union, with 60,000 members including the state's casino workers, endorsed Barack Obama late last night.

Nevada's primary is January 19. The Democratic turnout is expected to be 40,000. Here's some analysis from the Las Vegas Sun.

The SEIU in Nevada also endorsed Obama last night, but the implication isn't clear.

The chaotic selection process and deep division within the union's ranks will likely diminish the endorsement's weight. The decision came after a teleconference among 34 of the union's 44-member executive board Tuesday.

Update: Nevada Congresswoman Shirley Berkley endorsed Hillary today.

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Earth to Major Garrett

This is funny. Read through the e-mail exchanges between Paul Begala and Fox News' Major Garrett. Despite absolute denials, Fox and Garrett continued to falsely report that Begala was joining Hillary Clinton's campaign.

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A Kind Word For John Edwards

I believe John Edwards blew it in New Hampshire by not running hard for his theory of change, instead choosing to align himself with Barack Obama's unity campaign against Hillary Clinton.

But let's be clear, in the battle for theory of change, John Edwards' theory is about to emerge triumphant. Obama and Clinton will be Fighting Dems for the duration.

That is why this type of inside baseball analysis of the fates of Mark Penn and Company really misses the boat. Whether Penn gets canned or not is not the point - his triangulation tactics, and I believe the unity tactics of David Axelrod, will now be in the political dustbin. That is what matters here, not whether these overhyped consultants continue to draw paychecks from the Clinton and Obama campaign.

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The Impulse To Defend Hillary: Uniting Democrats

Last Friday I wrote about the impulse to defend Hillary:

Kevin Drum explains it well:

As long as we're laying our cards on the table, this is one of the things that keeps me on Hillary's side regardless of anything to do with issues or tactics or rhetoric or anything else. I just hate the idea that the fever swamp has been able to turn a perfectly decent liberal woman into such an object of malign loathing. If she loses, then she loses. But by God, I don't want her to lose because millions of Schiffren's fellow travelers have carried on a 15-year vendetta of sick-minded smears and hatred. Enough's enough.

Be against Hillary. Criticize her stances, actions and political style. But by gawd, the libelous things that get said about her, not just by Republicans, but by Democrats and especially, by the Media (See Tweety) just set my teeth on edge.

It is terrible that she will be defeated because of this. I did not want her to win for many reasons. Most of them due to her cautious approach to politics. But that is not why she is going to lose. It will be due to just plain untruths. And that is not right.

It turns out a lot of voters in New Hampshire had the same impulse and that same impulse is sweeping the blogs. The latest comes from The Great Orange Satan himself as well as from Atrios. They say Hillary is divisive. Well, I tell you who has united Democrats - the Misogynist Media. We all hate the Media.

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Clueless In The Beltway : Dowd, Proud Member Of The Loser Media

Even after having her nose rubbed in it, Maureen Dowd stil does not get it. The voters of New Hampshire rebuked the Tweety/Dowd Media axis of Hillary hater and misogyny and she tries to crack wise:

Yet, in the end, she had to fend off calamity by playing the female victim, both of Obama and of the press. Hillary has barely talked to the press throughout her race even though the Clintons this week whined mightily that the press prefers Obama. . . . At her victory party, Hillary was like the heroine of a Lifetime movie, a woman in peril who manages to triumph. Saying that her heart was full, she sounded the feminist anthem: “I found my own voice.”

You foolish woman. Hillary did not play the victim. The Tweety/Dowd Media Axis tried to victimize Clinton. Your team lost Ms. Dowd. But like the losing team you are, you will continue to pound your losing tactics. Hillary will only prosper now from your misogynistic attacks.

The Clinton campaign must be thinking, "keep up the good work" MoDo and Tweety and Co. And Obama must be cursing your name.

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Tuesday :: January 08, 2008

Why The NH Result Is Good For Dem Values

Adam Nagourney, of all people, explains:

Political theatrics aside, there were lessons from her victory on Tuesday that could prove instructive as Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Obama head into this new phase of the campaign, with 25 states voting in the next four weeks. (John Edwards, who finished a distant third in New Hampshire after a second-place finish in Iowa, pledged to push on though he trailed far behind them.) Mrs. Clinton solidified her position with Democrats, while Mr. Obama enjoyed, as he did in Iowa, support from independent voters. But many of the states where the Democrats are now heading allow only Democrats to vote in their party’s primary.

By stopping the Obama Unity train in New Hampshire, the results tonight will force all of our candidates to appeal to Dems and Dem values. Obama will have to do what he should have already, become a Fighting Dem. Hillary started already. Obama is sure to follow.

This is good for the Democratic Party and for Democratic values.

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How New Hampshire Voted

Update: Norah O'Donnell on MSNBC (12:45 am ET): Hillary won because of women and people over 40 and because Obama didn't get the amount of youth vote he expected. Obama fell in the "empathy" category and Hillary doubled her numbers there. Women preferred Hillary to Obama by double-digit numbers.

Update: Washington Post:

Clinton also picked up 28 percent of voters younger than 30, after getting only 11 percent of young caucusgoers in Iowa. In another big switch, Clinton got 29 percent of voters prioritizing "change," up 10 percentage points from Iowa.

More...

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Hillary Clinton's Speech

Update: Here's the transcript.

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With Bill and Chelsea beaming, but seated rather than standing by her side, looking fabulous and happy, Hillary Clinton takes the stage.

She tells New Hampshire "Thank you. I listened to you and in the process I found my own voice. "

"Let's give America the kind of comeback New Hampshire has just given me."

More....

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CNN Agrees: Hillary Wins New Hampshire

It's unanimous. CNN agrees with the AP and NBC. Hillary Clinton wins New Hampshire!

The cable anchors and pundits are falling all over themselves, stuttering and trying to explain.

CNN should fire Carl Bernstein. He's a buffoon and a bitter old man.

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Incredible rollercoaster of a ride. The Associated Press just projected Hillary Clinton the winner.

CNN says they aren't ready to make that projection. [More...]

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