The AP has the latest news on the superdelegate front. Ignore the misleading title,"AP survey: Superdelegates jump to Obama" (which implies scores of delegates are jumping ship or changing from Hillary to Obama)and read the text of the article:
Clinton still leads among superdelegates — 241 to 181, according to the AP survey. But her total is down two in the past two weeks, while his is up 25. Since the primaries started, at least three Clinton superdelegates have switched to Obama, including Rep. David Scott of Georgia, who changed his endorsement after Obama won 80 percent of the primary vote in Scott's district. At least two other Clinton backers have switched to undecided. None of Obama's have publicly strayed, according to the AP tally.
The reality, from their numbers: Hillary still leads in total superdelegates and despite his ten or eleven recent wins, only 3 out of 246 have left her for Obama while two have changed to undecided.
Reality #2: The superdelegates can change their mind up to the time they vote at the convention. If Hillary takes Texas and Ohio and stays in the race, she could gain more or take some from Obama.
Right now, the superdelegates are not the issue. Texas and Ohio voters are.
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I wrote earlier about the Daily Texan's endorsement of Hillary. A comment to my post made me do some checking.
Here's the thing. In the debate last night, Barack Obama pointed out that every major Texas newspaper has endorsed him. The Daily Texan says it's a major paper who hasn't endorsed Obama, but leaving that aside, Obama's right and here's the list.
What Obama didn't point out was that in 2004, except for the Corpus Christi Times, every one of those papers endorsed George Bush over John Kerry.
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By Big Tent Democrat
OHIO
Clinton 48 (51)
Obama 40 (37)
TEXAS
Clinton 47 (54)
Obama 44 (38)
This is the new state of the race. Clearly Clinton is holding better in Ohio than Texas. She needs both. Some interesting findings on the flip.
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Claude McCollum was convicted of raping and murdering a woman in Lansing, Michigan. After about three years behind bars, prosecutors (to their credit) admitted that "new evidence" cast doubt on McCollum's guilt, and facilitated his release from prison.
Now "new evidence" establishes that the prosecution probably, and the police certainly, had reason before McCollum's trial to question his guilt. As the result of McCollum's lawsuit, police and prosecutors are pointing fingers at each other while claiming their own conduct was blameless.
A police detective told prosecutors more than two months before trial that surveillance tapes showed Claude McCollum could not have killed Carolyn Kronenberg, newly filed court documents claim. That claim by Michigan State Police Detective Sgt. James Young contradicts statements by prosecutors that they didn't learn of the evidence until McCollum's 2006 trial.
Young says he told Ingham County Assistant Prosecutor Eric Matwiejczyk in November 2005 that he thought McCollum was innocent, based on video recordings showing McCollum to be elsewhere when the murder was committed. According to Young, Matwiejczyk "responded that an LCC mathematics professor had discredited how the detective calculated times that McCollum was seen on a surveillance video in a different building than where the murder happened." The unidentified math professor has yet to surface, and Matwiejczyk's claim that he gave Young's report to the defense right before Young testified is contradicted by defense lawyers, who presumably would have used it to shred the prosecution's case had they known of it.
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Austin, TX is considered one of the most liberal cities in Texas. It is also home to the University of Texas. I always thought it was purely Obama country.
Today, The Daily Texan, the university's newspaper, made it clear that it is endorsing Hillary Clinton for President.
George W. Bush has made a mess of America, and we believe Hillary Clinton is the best person to clean it up. She is prepared and willing to be a leader who is "a lot less hat and a lot more cattle," as she stated during Thursday night's debate.
Clinton is a seasoned politician, and some argue that works against her. But Bush has been wildly successful in destroying every positive function of the machine that is Washington, D.C., and Clinton has the political tools and knowledge to fix it.
More...
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The prosecution and conviction of former Alabama Governor Don Siegleman, a Democrat, is believed by many to be a hatchet job that sent Siegleman to prison based on trumped up charges orchestrated by the Republican Party. Adding fuel to that fire is this new revelation:
A Republican "opposition researcher" told CBS former White House aide Karl Rove asked her in 2001 to get compromising pictures of Alabama's Democratic governor. In an interview with "60 Minutes," Jill Simpson suggested there was a campaign to discredit Don Siegelman, the governor at the time who was eventually convicted of bribery. ..."I haven't seen a case with this many red flags on it that pointed towards a real injustice being done," Grant Woods, a former Arizona attorney general of Arizona and a Republican, told "60 Minutes." "I personally believe that what happened here is that they targeted Don Siegelman because they could not beat him fair and square."
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Move-On just sent its Denver members an e-mail asking them to host an Obama party on Sunday where everyone brings a cell phone:
On Sunday, March 2, we're holding the biggest phone bank in presidential primary history. Folks everywhere will come to parties armed with cell phones—ready to call thousands of Texas MoveOn members whose votes could put Obama over the top on March 4.
...."we'll make sure folks know about the unusual primary-plus-caucus system in Texas, which allows voters to double their impact. If we can get our 125,000 MoveOn members in Texas to flood primary and caucus locations, Obama will win.
And the disclaimer: "PAID FOR BY MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee."
900 people have already signed up to host parties across the country. Their goal is 1,000 parties. And Obama complains about a 527 PAC for Hillary in Ohio?
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By Big Tent Democrat
Want to argue about electability? SUSA, the new world's best pollster, has a new set of head to heads that you can argue over. My view is that Obama is generally more electable but I am worried about his performance in OH, PA and Florida. Below the flip, the new polls.
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By Big Tent Democrat
Both Jeralyn and I like NBC's Chuck Todd's work quite a bit. He is smart and a straight shooter and so I think his reaction to last night's debate is worth looking at:
As for the big picture, the question for everyone watching this debate is: Did Clinton do anything tonight to change the trajectory of this race? And the answer is no. Did she potentially win this debate on points; I think so; it was close but she had a couple of VERY good moments on health care and the economy that probably scored well in the various focus groups of undecided voters watching this debate. Obama was uneven, at times great (like in his answers on Iraq and his speeches) but sometimes he seemed to go through the motions. It may be because he was a bit stuffed up; he was good tonight, not great. But he made no major gaffes (for the primary) and more importantly the one great rehearsed attack line Clinton had for Obama (about change you can xerox) seemed to fall flat. But Clinton needed a game-changing moment and she didn't get one tonight. And this is how this debate will be judged.
I disagree that Clinton could even have a game changing moment nor did she need one. First, there is another debate in a few days. And second, and more importantly, Clinton needs a game changing two weeks, not a game changing night. That will only come with hard work and continued focus on reconsolidating her base. Focus on health care, the economy and her personal image can do that. She accomplished all 3 last night. For the Media, Hillary did not change the game last night, but Clinton needs to understand she will never win in the Media. She needs to win with her voters in Texas and Ohio. Last night she kept that focus.
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By Big Tent Democrat
The floor is yours. This is an Open Thread.
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By Big Tent Democrat
You may not be aware of this, but some issues were discussed in last night's debate. Two issues dominated a good part of the night. The economy and health care. It used to be thought that a debate dominated by discussions of the economy and health care made for a good Clinton debate. And as I live blogged it, I thought she, yes, whupped up on Obama pretty good. And I thought one of the most important differences was the differing theories of change articulated by Obama and Clinton. But maybe my eyes and ears deceived me. So let's review the transcript on the flip.
NOTE - This thread is now closed.
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By Big Tent Democrat
In their fierce defense of Barack Obama, his partisans sometimes go to great lengths to demonstrate, ironically, that he is just another politician. Josh Marshall does so with this silly plagiarism stuff, in pseudo attacking Hilary Clinton for using a line similar to something Bill Clinton said in 1992:Just to be 100% clear, there's nothing in the least wrong with this. And it's a great line. But I think it shows the silliness of the 'plagiarism' charges based on a few borrowed lines. Politicians borrow good lines and catch-phrases. Happens all the time. There's nothing wrong with it.Yes indeed. POLITICIANS do it all the time. I agree. And thanks for realizing Barack Obama is, shockingly, just another pol. Sort of been my point for a while now. See the update on the flip.
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