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John Edwards' South Carolina Speech

Edwards is on now. He joins the Clintons in congratulating Barack Obama.

Now "the three of us move on" to February 5th.

He's in. Good for him. He's working really hard and he's got important things to say.

Poverty, health care, veterans, the middle class, the homeless, people who want to go to college, "your voice will be heard in this campaign." That is so much more reassuring to me than hope and change.

He ends with, if you haven't yet voted on Feb. 5, "your voice will be heard and we will be there with you."

Update: Text of Edwards speech is here.

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Caroline Kennedy Endorses Barack Obama

Caroline Kennedy in Sunday's New York Times, writes "A President Like My Father."

Shorter version: It's all about change. He's inspiring to her children. Hope, vision and again, change.

On his experience, aside from his three years in the Senate and community organizing:

in Illinois... he helped turn around struggling communities, taught constitutional law and was an elected state official for eight years.

This is a disappointing piece, very short on substance.

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Barack Obama's SC Victory Speech

Barack Obama is expected to make his victory speech any minute. Here's a place for your thoughts on it.

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NBC Tries To Shoo Bill Clinton Off The Stage

As always, the Media simply lacks common sense. They are taking Obama's rout of Hillary in South Carolina as proof that, as Keith Olbermann puts it, that "this is one campaign too many" for Bill. This is pretty obtuse. There are 21 states to campaign in on Super Tuesday. None of them are South Carolina. Even if you think Bill Clinton hurt Hillary in South Carolina, and I am not sure about the evidence on that, does anyone think having President Clinton campaign for the next 10 days across the country is a bad thing? There's the Media's Clinton Derangement Syndrome rearing its head again. Silly folks.

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Hillary Calls Obama, Congratulates Him

Showing a little more class than Obama last week when he lost Nevada, Hillary Clinton released a statement saying she called Obama to congratulate him.

"I have called Senator Obama to congratulate him and wish him well.

"Thank you to the people of South Carolina who voted today and welcomed me into their homes over the last year. Your stories will stay with me well beyond this campaign and I am grateful for the support so many of you gave to me.

"We now turn our attention to the millions of Americans who will make their voices heard in Florida and the twenty-two states as well as American Samoa who will vote on February 5th.

"In the days ahead, I’ll work to give voice to those who are working harder than ever to be heard. For those who have lost their job or their home or their health care, I will focus on the solutions needed to move this country forward. That’s what this election is about. It’s about our country, our hopes and dreams. Our families and our future."

Hillary says it's on to Florida and the Feb. 5 states. Keep in mind, Florida is different than Michigan because all three candidates are on the ballots, regardless of whether their delegates get seated or not.

Bill Clinton is speaking now in Missouri and also congratulates Obama. He says Obama won fair and square but now it's on to the states with the big numbers.

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What Did The Polls Predict?

NBC is not being honest when it discusses what the polls expected for Obama in relation to the white vote. As I posted earlier today, the NBC-Mason Dixon poll was an outlier. Every other poll projected Obama getting approximately 20% of the white vote and it appears that is what he did. And indeed, the M-D poll blew the margin in this race by a hefty margin. Every other poll had Obama winning in a blowout.

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Obama Wins South Carolina, CNN Turns to McCain Coverage

Incredible. Barack Obama just wins the primary in South Carolina and less than an hour after the polls close, CNN switches to cover an endorsement of McCain and a speech by him.

Is that a sign of the lack of importance the media gives to South Carolina?

I may not be an Obama supporter, but this is insulting.

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Live-Blog: South Carolina Democratic Primary Results

Beginning now, Big Tent Democrat and I are live-blogging the South Carolina Primary results and the media coverage of them. I'll be concentrating on the results and the demographics and electoral storylines. Big Tent will focus on the media coverage.

We're using a new platform, I described it here, and to make it wider, I've put it below the fold. Just click on the "there's more" link and join us. If you want to come back to it, here's the permalink for you to bookmark.

Here we go. [More...]

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Some Early SC Exit Polling

Here are some early exit-polling results:

Interviews with voters as they left their polling places indicated about half the electorate was black. Half the voters said the economy was the most important issue in the race. About one quarter picked health care. And only one in five said it was the war in Iraq....

Roughly half the voters said former President Clinton's campaigning for his wife was very important to their choice.

The exit poll was conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for The Associated Press and the networks.

More exit poll results here.

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The Trouble With Bill

I have knocked Josh Marshall around more than a bit of late, I thought with reason, but we all like and respect Josh and can not say enough about the good things he has done for the progressive blogosphere. That is why it gives me great pleasure to highly recommend his most recent post about his qualms about what Bill Clinton has been doing in this campaign. I have some disagreement with his analysis but it is worthy of thoughtful engagement. A very good and interesting post.

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New Format for Live-Blogging South Carolina Results

Big Tent Democrat and I are going to try something new tonight. We have new software for live-blogging. It's much faster and we can do it together without fear of erasing the other's comments. Readers can also submit comments to us while we're live-blogging and we can include some in the live-blog. You can also comment as usual in the comments.

When we go live, at 6:30 pm ET, you may want to bookmark the permalink (the link that says "there's more...permalink...comment" )because the live blog will appear in the "more" section so that it can be wider than the front page allows.

This is just a reminder thread. It's an experiment, we'll see how it goes! Tips for readers are below. (Link here if you want to know more.).

Update: You can still comment and have your own conversation going in the comment thread to the live-blog thread as always. The tips below are just for those who would like us to include their comment in the actual live-blog part. In other words, there are two ways to submit comments. [More....]

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South Carolina and the Youth Vote

Both Hillary and Obama have been courting the youth vote in South Carolina. Here's the numbers:

The stakes are high for the candidate who can mobilize the 612,000 eligible South Carolina voters younger than 29.

Last Saturday's GOP primary drew 44,000 young voters, according to exit polls. That was only 10 percent of the total turnout of 443,000. In contrast, 35 percent of the Republican voters last Saturday were over age 60. That trend relegated Mike Huckabee, who blitzed college campuses last week, to second place behind John McCain, who won with older voters.

According to the Secretary of State, there are 2,246,242 registered voters in South Carolina in 2,048 precincts. In the 18 to 24 age group, there are 216,877 voters -- in the 25 to 45 age group, there are 738,704 voters. These numbers include Democrats, Republicans and Independents.

So, there are almost a million voters under age 45. By contrast, there are more than 1.5 million registered voters over age 45.

In the 2004 presidential primary, 184,288 voted in the Democratic primary.

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