Bump and Update: Prop 19 has been defeated. On to 2012.

Update: Real-time Prop 19 results coming in here. It's not doing well. While only 10% of the vote is in, it seems to be losing in every county which has results showing.

Polls close soon in California. The LA Times says exit polls show Prop 19 hasn't been a driving force among voters. They are more interested in the Governor's race. But LA Weekly reports some polling places near college campuses ran out of provisional ballots.

What happens if it fails? Activists try harder in 2012. Whatever happens in California, Colorado activists will launch their petition drive for legalization in 2012 on Wednesday in Boulder.

The media is over-focused on the Republican's House gains. Republicans and tea-partiers aren't going to take the Senate, and as I opined early this morning, the House win is of limited duration and it will be tough for them to get anything of substance passed.

Republicans will make gains in the House and they will crow about it until January, but it will be empty posturing. The radical right won't get any serious legislation passed during the next two years. They'll have greater success at being obstructionist and blocking Democratic proposals, just like they've done the past two years, only on a bigger scale. It will backfire on them in 2012. We'll be in worse shape and the voters will rightfully blame them and boot them out.

It's pretty clear the Democrats will keep control of the Senate. The headlines should read, Tea Partiers Fall Short.

Voters in Larimer County, Colorado have voted not to retain Judges Jolene Blair and Terry Gilmore. Both were prosecutors in the case of wrongfully convicted Tim Masters, who received a $10 million settlement after DNA evidence proved him not guilty of murder. Masters served 10 years in prison.

Blair and Gillmore were censured by the Colorado Supreme Court for misconduct in failing to comply with proper defense discovery requests and engaging in conduct prejudicial to the administration of justice. The Blair decision is here and the Gilmore decision is here.

Jerry Brown will be the next Governor of California, and Barbara Boxer has kept her Senate Seat. Hopefully this bodes well for Prop 19.

America lost a great Senator tonight. Russ Feingold has been defeated in Wisconsin.

The other Republican wins tonight, modest in number, were expected. Losing Feingold is unexpected and disappointing.

We've got so few progressives in the Senate to begin with. Losing even one hurts, but this one especially. Feingold didn't always toe the Democrats' line. He supported gun rights. He was the lone vote against the Patriot Act. He opposed FISA. He was a maverick and he fought tirelessly for his positions.

Wisconsin has voted out one of the country's finest Senators. It not only shot itself in the foot, it hurt us all.

The AP and local news stations have called the Colorado Governor's race for Denver's popular Mayor John Hickenlooper.

Tom Tancredo was 20 points behind, and Republican Dan Maes is in the single digits.

This bodes well for Senator Bennet.

It happens every election night. You're watching one channel, and a particular host or pundit is so obnoxious or out to lunch in his/her commentary, you change the channel. Only to have it happen at the next station. And again. Until you turn back to the first one and repeat the whole process. Then you try hitting the mute button so you can listen to the ones you like.

I'm watching Brian Williams, Tom Brokaw and David Gregory on NBC and the local news. Sane coverage. On MSNBC, Olbermann, Rachel and Chuck Todd were okay, but Chris Matthews had a typical screaming fit, arguing with a female politician about the health care bill (on election night? Who cares?) and that was it for MSNBC.

So, who's really gotten your goat tonight? And where did you go to escape them?

Politico has good maps.

Democrats won their Senate races in Connecticut and West Virginia. Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas and Brad Ellsworth in Indiana lost.

Republicans need to gain 10 Senate seats to take control. I don't think they'll do it.

Update: Marco Rubio wins the Florida Senate seat.

Kentucky and Indiana are mostly closed and votes are being counted. Should be easy Senate wins for the GOP in those 2 states. Dems have vulnerable House seats in both.

Florida mostly closes at 7 but stays open until 8 in the Panhandle (Central time there.)

I'll update periodically.

Rubio wins in FL. Coons wins in Delaware. Paul wins Kentucky. Coats wins in Indiana. No early surprises.

Blumenthal beat the WWE in CT.

Manchin wins in West Virgina.

Let the handwringing and hair pulling continue.

Also, we really need a college football playoff. Discuss.

Open Thread.

Here are mine:

GOP captures House winning 63 seats. Prominent losers include Grayson in Florida and a slew of Blue Dogs, including Adler in New Jersey, Altmire in PA, Childers in Mississippi, Shuler in North Carolina, Perriello in Virginia, and many many more. Surprise loss will be Frank Pallone in New Jersey.

Pelosi retires.

GOP picks up 9 in the Senate. In the prominent races, the GOP dominates- Rand Paul (KY), Marco Rubio (FL), Pat Toomey(PA), Mark Kirk (IL), Ken Buck (CO), Joe Miller (AK), Sharron Angle (NV), Dino Rossi (WA), and Ron Johnson (WI) all win. Joe Manchin become a virtual Republican to hold off Raese in West Virginia.

Harry Reid's political career is over. More importantly, so is Russ Feingold's.

In the governor's races, the only big win in a close race will be Alex Sink in Florida. Strickland goes down in Ohio and so on. California (Brown and Boxer) is the lone Dem bright spot outside of Alex Sink.

Though I won't do my official prediction until this afternoon, let's assume for the moment that the GOP sweeps the House and just misses on the Senate, as Matt Yglesias does here. I agree with Yglesias that the interesting upshot of this will be the irrelevance of "moderates" and Democrats in the Congress. Yglesias writes:

[E]gomaniacal senate moderates will be frustrated to discover that the legislative process now consists primarily of negotiations between Barack Obama and the House GOP.

Why? Because unlike the progressives in the House, the hard line GOP House members will not compromise (even if Boehner wants them too.) The test President Obama will face is immense. In many ways, bigger than the test faced by President Clinton in 1995. Gingrich was raring for a fight, but he had the control. Once Gingrich was broken, Clinton could make deals. Breaking Boehner won't lead to the same result. The crazies are in charge of the GOP asylum. Of course 1995 ended in government shutdowns. Does Obama have the stomach for that type of fight? How does that type of fight end? We live in interesting times.

Speaking for me only