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Open Thread

By Big Tent Democrat

Here is another wrongheaded post from Chris Bowers. He evaluates the unifying effects of the Vice Presidential choice on the effect it will have on supporters of the potential Presidential nominee. Earth to Chris, the people who will need assuaging will be the losing candidate's supporters, not the winning candidate's supporters.

I have to shake my head sometimes. This is an Open Thread. Play nice. J, Chris and I will be out of pocket until tonight.

NOTE - Comments closed.

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  • Display: Sort:
    Pelosi or Feingold for Obama's (5.00 / 2) (#1)
    by oculus on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:25:05 PM EST
    VP running mate?  Pelosi?  You've got to be kidding.  Feingold:  only if Iraq is as big an issue as it should be to the electorate.

    Well, if impeachment becomes an issue (none / 0) (#10)
    by nycstray on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:40:30 PM EST
    we have this!

    " . . . triple dog dare Republicans to try and impeach President Obama in that circumstance, what with their two worst nightmeres as second and third in line, respectively."

    [ Parent ]

    Bizzare comment there re Feingold (none / 0) (#23)
    by rilkefan on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:51:32 PM EST
    "Could he help overcome the animosity that has been an ugly undercurrent in parts of the Jewish community?"

    [ Parent ]
    Obama might have some problems (none / 0) (#32)
    by brodie on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:55:26 PM EST
    with Jewish support via his 20-yr embrace of Farrakan-worshipping pastor Wright.  

    So Feingold for his VP isn't entirely insane.  

    Certainly makes more political sense than Pelosi.  SF and CA we've got.  We'll need to work hard though for WI and Russ is popular there.

    Problem for him is that he's twice divorced and currently unmarried, or last I checked.

    [ Parent ]

    But, I read prominent Jewish rabbis (none / 0) (#39)
    by oculus on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:59:38 PM EST
    wrote a letter stating Obama is o.k. on Israel issues.

    [ Parent ]
    Well... on everything... (5.00 / 1) (#44)
    by Exeter on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:04:32 PM EST
    ...except for being a member of a church that promotes, honors, and collaborates with a guy that repeatedly calls Jews and Whites satanic and leads an organization that the Southern Poverty Law Center and the Anti-Defamation League define as a hate group.  Other than that, Jews love Obama: )

    [ Parent ]
    Obama/Pelosi? (none / 0) (#30)
    by Democratic Cat on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:54:26 PM EST
    That is a phenomenally bad ticket. I might not be able to pull the Dem level if that's the offering. She's been strongly supporting him though, so maybe she's gunning for it.

    [ Parent ]
    I agree--bad, bad (none / 0) (#63)
    by ezgo on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:17:30 PM EST
    Should Obama make it, Pelosi is damage goods. Obama would have a better chance having Reverend Wright.

    [ Parent ]
    Thanks for the laugh!! (none / 0) (#86)
    by honora on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:28:57 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Be a really interesting VP debate, no? (5.00 / 1) (#103)
    by oculus on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:37:53 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Pelosi's off the table as far as I'm concerned (none / 0) (#173)
    by Ellie on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:17:54 PM EST
    Feingold we should save for 2012 on the off chance we find another recognizably democratic Democrat with whom to pair him.

    [ Parent ]
    I am going to say neither. (none / 0) (#240)
    by DawnG on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 05:16:57 PM EST
    I would really like to see a governor or former governor in Veep position.  We really do need someone with executive experience on the ticket.  And it should be a governor from a region the democratic party is trying to build up support in.  Someone out west or South.  Maybe Richardson (though frankly he has some issues and probably best away from the cameras) or Sweitzer.

    [ Parent ]
    BTD, please weigh in on the Yoo memo! (5.00 / 2) (#2)
    by FoxholeAtheist on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:29:17 PM EST
    The original thread on the release of the torture memo is still running without any adult supervision. Today's comments are horrifying.

    Meanwhile here's the Vanity Fair story on the subject: The Green Light.

    "As the first anniversary of 9/11 approached, and a prized Guantánamo detainee wouldn't talk, the Bush administration's highest-ranking lawyers argued for extreme interrogation techniques, circumventing international law, the Geneva Conventions, and the army's own Field Manual. The attorneys would even fly to Guantánamo to ratchet up the pressure--then blame abuses on the military. Philippe Sands follows the torture trail, and holds out the possibility of war-crimes charges."

    Glenn Greenwalkd is my goto guy (5.00 / 1) (#19)
    by Fabian on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:50:01 PM EST
    for Constitutional Law.  His post is HERE.

    Certainly there are others who are well qualified to comment as well- anyone else have suggestions?

    [ Parent ]

    I think it is not insignificant (5.00 / 2) (#4)
    by Capt Howdy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:33:05 PM EST
    that Elizabeth Edwards was on MSNBC this morning saying that, while they are not "endorsing" anyone, the most important issue in the election was health care and the only answer was universal health care and only Hillarys plan was universal.


    I'll admit that it is only (5.00 / 1) (#81)
    by 1jpb on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:26:58 PM EST
    political convenience that inspires me to quote him because I don't think he's much of an expert on anything, but Michael Moore is on to something when he says that there is no best choice between the BO and HRC health plans.  He rightly notes that both plans leave the private companies soaking up income directly (gov payments) and indirectly (gov takes high cost, low profit patients) from the government's participation in health care.

    Until we talk about a big reform that actually adjusts the power of the private companies I believe that BO has a better plan because he doesn't have an unfunded, regressive, mandate fee as high as 10% for middle class families who live pay check to pay but aren't poor enough for the subsidies (btw, the BO and HRC subsidy plans are indistinguishable if you  read them side by side.)

    We know mandates don't work, look at MA.  Nearly half of the uninsured are still uninsured, and the system is out of money.  Many of the newly insured were simply put on existing federal programs, regardless of mandates.  Some people can't afford the least costly insurance so they pay the fee without getting insurance.  

    Look at CA; the mandate plan only got 1 out of 11 votes in the committee, but big insurance companies were in favor of that mandate plan.  Why was that?  For that matter, why did the insurance companies favor the SCHIP expansion that Bush vetoed?  I'm in favor of that expansion, but at least my eyes are open: I know that the legislation is setup to provide income to private companies at the same time it helps kids.

    Car insurance mandates don't work either.  The level of uninsured drivers is as high as 20% for states with mandated car insurance.

    Listen to HRC carefully: she hedges by saying mandates are a "goal."  She has talked about them as a strategic starting point, so they can easily be tossed aside when it becomes politically expedient.  

    People who can afford health insurance don't need a mandate "gun to the head" to make them buy it.  Most people who can afford health care have good jobs, so they get the insurance as a benefit.  People who can afford insurance but don't get it from their jobs already have a gun to the head.  If they have money and they have a health care emergency, they will spend a ton of money, or they'll go bankrupt.  The problem is not that we need a mandate "gun to the head," the problem is that costs are too high.  Costs must be dealt with before implementing a regressive mandate penalty.

    Our health care system is way too expensive, and mandates will make this worse.  Our health care costs are paid by two sources: 1) the government and 2) the private sector.  The level of our government spending alone (excluding the part paid by the private sector) is not much less than the level of total health care spending in some developed countries.  Our problem is the entrenched insurance companies who live off the government money.  Our problem is that politicians invent programs like mandates that sound good to the public at the same time they greatly increase income to the insurance companies.

    Until we get to a plan that confronts the powerful insurance companies, we need to avoid a regressive unfunded mandate that hurts middle income (but not poor enough for subsidies) families.  BO has the best plan.

    [ Parent ]

    Michael Moore's comment (3.00 / 2) (#145)
    by badger on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:02:59 PM EST
    is about the same as Obama's vote against capping credit card interest at 30% because he thought that was too high. If you want perfection, then yeah, neither Hillary's nor Obama's plan is perfect. You can say that and still admit Obama's imperfect plan is much worse than Hillary's imperfect plan.

    As to the rest, there's so much wrong it's hard to know where to begin, but one place is with the fundamental misunderstanding of who pays for health care costs. It isn't just the public and private sectors - if it were, the problem would be smaller.

    The problem fundamentally is that health care is increasingly paid for by private individuals and the number of people who can fund, say, a coronary bypass out of income and/or savings is vanishingly small.

    Just like on the MI/FL votes where people are concerned about the candidates, and don't care a whit about the voters, your post cares about punishing big insurance companies, and shows little interest in actually providing health care to indviduals and families who desperately need it - as long as the insurers suffer, it's all good.

    And please don't tell me again that we agree 100%.


    [ Parent ]

    Michael, God Bless Him (5.00 / 1) (#182)
    by SantaMonicaJoe on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:25:23 PM EST
    was a bit naive on his health care story. One, the problem is worse, and two, the problem is not what he thinks it is.

    Yes, there is a great success story in Medicare, but Medicare claims have been administered by private companies, not the government, from the outset. There's a lot of crossover he didn't talk about.

    There is the whole concept of fee-for-service. Doctors only get paid if a service is provided, so the incentive is provide services. Doctors aren't evil, but there are documented instances of unnecessary levels of service being provided (the US used to have the highest number of cesarians in the world, for example, but prenatal care was at an all time low).

    There is a problem with cost-shifting, but here's the thing: some of that is reduce payments for medical services the public insists on, but aren't either medical or necessary. Not to over play the hand, but these do exist. Some of it is to protect profits, but necessarily for the insurance company. It protects drug companies, and the employers who pay the premium. And hospital corporations who are increasingly pressured to show a bottom line.

    And then there's the whole back end thing. Going to an ER because you don't have a doctor, either because you don't have insurance, or you just don't have a doctor.

    The insurance industry isn't a saintly institution by any means, but neither are they the complete demon in all this. The medical care inflation index has a lot more factors contributing than most people understand.

    The thing is though, the industry is used to making reforms when those are passed on a state level (the only current effective regulator) and enforced. They have to be told, and they have to receive consequences.

    But expanding the pool of insured persons will reduce the costs. It eliminates actuarial risk, a phenom in insurance when the people most at risk are the main ones who buy coverage because they know they need it, while the ones who will need it down the road don't buy until it's clear that they do.

    The issue isn't simple.


    [ Parent ]

    Great response (none / 0) (#238)
    by 1jpb on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 05:13:12 PM EST
    I know you know this; but for clarification, Medicare  can be fee for service (original w or w/o sup) or HMO/PPO/PFFS.

    And, you are correct lots of health care providers rely on the fee for service Medicare payments to compensate for the deals they cut with the private insurance companies.  In my opinion this is an example of what I call private insurers indirectly increasing their income because of the government programs.

    I loved your comments about adjusting payments for particular services, as is practiced most notably in Japan.  If you're proposing an overhaul to match Japan, you've got my attention, but you need the underpinnings too, and fine tuning is needed.  Sort of related to managing what procedures are done; Duke has shown that sometimes (depending the treatment facility) care for some medical situations can cost half as much because of less expensive, fewer, and different procedures, but the patients have better results.

    To be sure large pools are good, but if something costs $11,500 (fam av 06) and you have no extra money, no amount of mandates will turn nothing into $11,500.  As I noted, BO and HRC have the same subsidy strategies, and they will leave out some so called middle class people.  Yes, BO mandates kids, fortunately the increased SCHIP, his new subsidies, and putting people into federal programs for which they have always been eligible takes care of most kids.  

    Again, your comments about price controls as done in Japan was brilliant.  Your acknowledgment that talking price controls, in any way, is problematic in the US is 110% brilliant.  When ever Krugman et. al. talk about other countries they neglect two not unrelated facts. 1) our private insurers live off the government programs in fundamentally different ways than do private companies in other countries, and 2) the other systems presented as models have strong price controls in one way or another, which is a (perhaps the) critical difference.

    [ Parent ]

    So, a plan that give the insurance cos (none / 0) (#99)
    by SantaMonicaJoe on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:35:03 PM EST
    more profit is a good thing?

    'Cuz that's what Obama's plan is.

    15 years in the insurance industry here. If you want to make them comply, you have to do it in steps, and make them used to it.

    And PS: People don't buy insurance not because it's expensive. They don't buy insurance because they think it's not necessary. Sit by a medical underwriter for a day or so.....

    [ Parent ]

    Many people don't think they need it (none / 0) (#179)
    by Manuel on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:21:56 PM EST
    I used to be one myself.  We used to complain while vacationing about how unfair it was that we couldn't just pocket the money our company paid for health insurance since we were healthy.

    If mandates are so bad why is it OK to mandate that employers provide health insurance?

    [ Parent ]

    Yep. Anectodotal (none / 0) (#213)
    by SantaMonicaJoe on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:44:10 PM EST
    but the lawyers we covered used to scream about suing when they found out the hospital bill wasn't going to be covered.

    And I remember a baby with a heart valve problem. The medical underwriter was really upset about that one... I think we got an underwriter and a lawyer to make a special exception for that one. Based it on the potential bad PR....

    [ Parent ]

    How about Eliz. Edwards as (5.00 / 1) (#114)
    by oculus on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:45:28 PM EST
    Obama's VP.  

    [ Parent ]
    stick stirring! (5.00 / 1) (#122)
    by Kathy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:49:58 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    the current buzz from Obama (none / 0) (#59)
    by SantaMonicaJoe on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:16:57 PM EST
    is Gore. Every time he feels threatened, he starts another rumor about Gore, to associate himself with Gore.

    Gore and Edwards are being neutral, no matter how much either camp tries to drag them in, but I always think the rumors from the Obama camp are significant.

    As in, significantly, they're trying to start a rumor about something that isn't likely because they know neither camp will deny it.

    [ Parent ]

    x (5.00 / 1) (#6)
    by cmugirl on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:37:18 PM EST
    I don't think Jim Webb, Sherrod Brown, or Russ Feingold will be a running mate.  Jim Webb hasn't endorsed anybody yet, and if he was on the Obama bandwagon, he would have done it before Virginia voted and Brown would have done it before Ohio. Feingold didn't even really endorse him, although he said he voted for Obama.

    Besides, if Obama is the nominee, he can't pick another junior senator, especially if it looks like we could pick up a larger majority in the Senate. A governor is more likely, since they would actually have some experience, since Obama needs some "street cred" here.

    And frankly, since that poll was taken between Mar 24-27, I bet the number of HRC supporters who want him on the ticket with her has declined.  I think many of them would put him on for unity in the party, but I don't think many of them "want" him to be the VP.

    This is where I am. (5.00 / 1) (#27)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:53:21 PM EST
    And frankly, since that poll was taken between Mar 24-27, I bet the number of HRC supporters who want him on the ticket with her has declined.  I think many of them would put him on for unity in the party, but I don't think many of them "want" him to be the VP.

    This is where I am. I, too, was on record as wanting them to become as one.

    In fact, I actively DO NOT want Obama to be the VP now. I don't hate him or anything, but I don't think he is electable because of Wright, and I don't want HRC to have "God Damn America" hanging around her neck.

    Sorry to be so blunt. I just cannot deal with four years of McCain. I just cannot.

    [ Parent ]

    Damn if you do, Damn if you don't (none / 0) (#78)
    by ezgo on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:24:45 PM EST
    I hope Hillary wins, and picks a white person. Should she be nominated, there will be "plenty" of white dudes(men) that will vote elsewhere because she's a woman, and plenty white dudes (men) that will vote elsewhere if she picks Obama, or a black person.

    [ Parent ]
    What a depressing thought (none / 0) (#156)
    by MKS on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:10:58 PM EST
    Democrats should kowtow to people who could never vote for someone who isn't white or male?

    [ Parent ]
    We would lose Russ' seat in Wisconsin (none / 0) (#168)
    by Cream City on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:15:44 PM EST
    in the Senate, the way that spring elections went here yesterday.  Wisconsin is going red in many ways. For that reason alone (and there are many more, of course), this would be unwise.

    [ Parent ]
    I'm not confident (5.00 / 3) (#7)
    by Josey on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:38:28 PM EST
    Obama would choose a Dem for VP.


    Nor am I. (5.00 / 1) (#17)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:49:07 PM EST
    I think it will be someone like NY Mayor Michael Bloomberg, a weird Dem-Repub-Indy blend.

    It's a horrifying thought to those who live in or near Manhattan. Bloomberg is corporate greed personified, and a massive plutocrat as well.

    [ Parent ]

    I'm getting closer to rejecting any ticket (none / 0) (#16)
    by Mark Woods on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:47:53 PM EST
    without Clinton as 1/2 of it. I'm so tired of the MSM and Shrillosphere bullying Clinton, that Obama cannot count on my FL Democratic vote if Hillary isn't part of the ticket, bottom line.

    Not sure if I would vote for the Evil Side, but I could abstain, courteously.  I wouldn't discourage my liberal FL friends from voting, since we need to defeat the Republican-funded gay marriage ban amendment bill.

    [ Parent ]

    OMG, I didn't realize FL had a (none / 0) (#26)
    by oculus on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:53:18 PM EST
    measure on the GE ballot against gay marriage.  Isn't that how Bush won in 2004?  Talk about getting out the vote.

    [ Parent ]
    Anti Affirmative Action (none / 0) (#37)
    by nell on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:59:14 PM EST
    measures are also on a lot of ballots, though I am not sure if they are in red states or just swing states...bad news...

    [ Parent ]
    I live in Florida (none / 0) (#117)
    by independent voter on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:47:58 PM EST
    Why do you assume this bill would drive Rep turnout and not Dem? In fact, most Indies I know would not support this bill.

    [ Parent ]
    Ahem! (none / 0) (#92)
    by Suma on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:30:38 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Good idea (none / 0) (#118)
    by rebrane on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:48:18 PM EST
    Let the MSM talk you out of voting for a Democratic President. I'm sure that they really didn't intend to discourage you there.

    [ Parent ]
    Jeez (none / 0) (#28)
    by rilkefan on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:53:41 PM EST
    Clearly he could only nominate Beelzebub.

    [ Parent ]
    my post is based on Obama's rhetoric, (5.00 / 1) (#51)
    by Josey on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:11:53 PM EST
    his non-universal health care plan, aligning his foreign policy with Reagan, Bush1, etc.


    [ Parent ]
    as well as saying (5.00 / 1) (#56)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:14:23 PM EST
    he'd put Republicans Chuck Hagel, Dick Lugar and Arnold Schwarzenegger in his Cabinet.

    Kerry almost picked McCain as his VP in 2004, and now he's endorsing Obama.

    I'm not reassured.

    [ Parent ]

    Schwarznegger would be a phemonally bad choice (none / 0) (#66)
    by SantaMonicaJoe on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:19:41 PM EST
    since he wouldn't be able to fulfill the ultimate job of the vice presidency, to replace the president should the president die.

    [ Parent ]
    And of course (none / 0) (#72)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:21:44 PM EST
    Ah-nuld has already endorsed McCain.

    Don't worry about that pesky natural-born citizen requirement, however. President Schwarzenegger will just use a signing statement to nullify it.

    ;-)

    [ Parent ]

    LOL. (none / 0) (#85)
    by SantaMonicaJoe on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:28:53 PM EST
    Would he still have to take Hungarian accent lessons so he doesn't lose it?

    Frankly, Schwarznegger's only selling point is his climate change stance. I gotta strong feeling that it's the Calif Dems who have been working him behind to make that happen who would put a kibosh on a veep spot.

    [ Parent ]

    And indeed (none / 0) (#187)
    by Steve M on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:28:06 PM EST
    under the Constitution, you can't have a VP who is ineligible to serve as President.  So Ahnold is not an option for either party.

    [ Parent ]
    x (none / 0) (#194)
    by cmugirl on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:32:16 PM EST
    Not that I want Schwarzenegger anywhere near the cabinet, but he could serve - far down the line of succession.  Madeline Albright was 4th in line and she was a naturalized citizen. She was born in Czechoslovakia.

    [ Parent ]
    Yes (none / 0) (#221)
    by Steve M on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:53:12 PM EST
    I suppose he could be Speakah of the House, even.  But not VP!

    [ Parent ]
    On domestic policy (none / 0) (#151)
    by rilkefan on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:07:24 PM EST
    he's just barely slightly to the right of Clinton, mostly on rhetoric.  On foreign policy he's slightly to her left.  You're as irrational as the CDS Obama supporters.

    [ Parent ]
    Obama, not me, stated his foreign policy (none / 0) (#171)
    by Josey on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:17:03 PM EST
    would be aligned with Reagan and Bush1!

    [ Parent ]
    That is fractally wrong (none / 0) (#180)
    by rilkefan on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:22:41 PM EST
    Clinton has attacked him from the right on foreign policy.  She's ok from my viewpoint on this stuff, but it's not debatable that he's (slightly) more liberal on every fp issue.  Iraq, talking to tyrannical foreign leaders, the I-P conflict, Cuba, loose nukes, etc. etc.

    [ Parent ]
    what the frac? (none / 0) (#184)
    by Kathy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:25:56 PM EST
    (yes, I am counting down the days to Friday's premier!)

    Lookit, the fract is that we have no idea where a president Obama would stand on these issues.  He's never really had his feet held to the fire (or at least been "present" for a scorching).  We have what he says he will do, but history has certainly told us that he is very good at making politically expedient choices.  

    [ Parent ]

    Sure (none / 0) (#210)
    by rilkefan on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:43:47 PM EST
    but the commenter I'm responding to is wildly reacting to a blatant misreading of false data.  Obama would likely be slightly constrained by his fp platform to be to Clinton's left in office; she might well be constrained to his right by her platform and the political need to look strong in a sexist culture.  Ok, who knows - but it's just nuts to say he's going to be a republican.

    [ Parent ]
    Well, he should stop using them (none / 0) (#222)
    by nycstray on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:54:44 PM EST
    as FP talking points.

    This is where his 'lack of record' becomes an even bigger issue.

    [ Parent ]

    I didn't say it - Obama did!! (none / 0) (#223)
    by Josey on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:55:09 PM EST
    Obama aligns foreign policy with GOP
    By DEVLIN BARRETT, Associated Press Writer
    Fri Mar 28, 11:41 PM ET

    [ Parent ]
    I see why you didn't quote from the article (none / 0) (#245)
    by rilkefan on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 06:00:44 PM EST
    Obama praised HW's coalition-building skill and caution.  He praised JFK.  He says explicitly that behaving like a Republican on fp is bad.

    I don't like Obama's framing here, but your spin is blatantly misleading.

    [ Parent ]

    It's Obama's frame - not mine (none / 0) (#257)
    by Josey on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 06:27:44 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    BO: HRC's fp = failed R fp (none / 0) (#262)
    by rilkefan on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 06:37:05 PM EST
    Why don't you cite this equally sourced AP article: "Hillary Clinton's foreign policy would be more of the same failed Republican approach, Barack Obama's campaign said on Thursday."

    Or quote Obama from the article you allude to:  "Since 9/11 the conventional wisdom has been that you've got to look tough on foreign policy by voting and acting like the Republicans, and I disagree with that."

    Because it would inform readers and annihilate your spin, which I'll henceforth ignore.

    [ Parent ]

    oh please. (none / 0) (#241)
    by DawnG on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 05:18:37 PM EST
    Just because the media is drooling over the IDEA of a mixed ticket, don't think for a second that Obama is going to actually consider a republican.  There are PLENTY of very talented dems that he is not going to turn his back on just to generate a bit of gushing from the big talking heads.

    [ Parent ]
    Portent of the future.... (5.00 / 1) (#8)
    by waldenpond on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:39:20 PM EST
    Dean states FL is being handled.... and on MSM today Obama is saying he has been talking to Gore throughout the campaign and is willing to offer a cabinet position or 'higher'.  Emphasis from the media, not me.  Could more wheeling and dealing be going on behind the scenes?

    Sebelius/Pelosi?  It would look desperate for Obama to put another woman on the ticket while refusing Clinton.

    Wheeling and dealing or . . . (none / 0) (#12)
    by nycstray on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:43:16 PM EST
    Pandering?  ;)

    He's still trying to find a way to get the Dems, methinks.

    I think his selection of a female VP could be a problem for him. He might do better with a man's man.

    [ Parent ]

    He wouldn't have to "refuse" (none / 0) (#24)
    by brodie on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:52:33 PM EST
    Clinton.  He could feel out the situation carefully ahead of time, and sensing HRC doesn't want it, he could "offer" it with the expection she would turn it down.  Then they would both go in front of the cameras where she would warmly thank him for his gracious offer, etc, and both would embrace and raise their arms together in unity.

    At that point he would be able to go Sibelius or similar or, if poor support for Obama among (older) women is not quite the concern in August that it is now, and I think it's a real problem for him, he could go with the usual white male selection.  

    As for Gore, I believe I recall him saying some months ago that he isn't interested in a cabinet or other admin position.  

    [ Parent ]

    IMHO (5.00 / 1) (#34)
    by nell on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:56:53 PM EST
    it would be a huge mistake to put someone like Sebelius on the ticket. Women would see it for what it was - pandering, and it would make at least this woman VERY angry after all of the sexist undertones of this campaign.

    And I really hope HRC will not take the VP slot. Nothing more insulting than seeing a woman with more experience training her inexperienced male boss. For those of us who have lived it, it is just infuriating. No way.

    [ Parent ]

    I mentioned Sebelius (5.00 / 1) (#43)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:03:49 PM EST
    to my hubby as a possible VP choice, and he didn't even know who she was.

    I don't think she would add much to the ticket.

    A brilliant choice for Hillary's VP would be Wesley Clark. I'd like to see him debate Huckabee. LOL!

    [ Parent ]

    Sibelius and most other VP (none / 0) (#50)
    by brodie on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:10:23 PM EST
    picks usually start out with far less name rec than the #1 person, but they quickly make up ground.  But what I want is someone who'll take the battle to the Repubs on the stump and in the debate -- and not another nice guy VP nominee.  Dunno how Sibelius fits in here, nor Feingold.

    As for nice guy Gen Clark he's politically inexperienced.  I'd want him in my cabinet though in nat'l security areas or UN Amb.

    [ Parent ]

    Yes! (none / 0) (#68)
    by Kathy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:20:39 PM EST
    Irrelevant/Obscure '08

    [ Parent ]
    Clark's major advantage (none / 0) (#75)
    by SantaMonicaJoe on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:23:34 PM EST
    would be that he's a general. That would make him the first general since Ike, I believe.

    That would neatly steal the "natl security" issue from the GOP.

    [ Parent ]

    That is why she should pick him. (none / 0) (#83)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:27:52 PM EST
    "National Security" is the only winning issue for Repubs, and even there they're losing ground.

    HRC has a lot of generals backing her, but if she picked Clark as her VP - a phenomenally successful general who is charismatic, smart and popular - it would take a big chunk out of McCain's voters.

    [ Parent ]

    I agree (none / 0) (#94)
    by SantaMonicaJoe on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:31:21 PM EST
    I don't know how likely, but I think it would be a good choice for the party overall.

    Don't know how "politically naive" he is either. Unlike most generals, he has a strong academic background in poli sci, and all upper generals play politics.

    [ Parent ]

    HRC is already perceived strong (none / 0) (#97)
    by brodie on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:34:53 PM EST
    on NS matters.  She also would have Arkansas in the bag, probably.

    Third, there's no substitute in the tremendously unforgiving media glare of a fall campaign for actual political experience.  Clark for these reasons isn't a great choice for Hillary.

    [ Parent ]

    You could be right (none / 0) (#102)
    by SantaMonicaJoe on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:36:39 PM EST
    except he does come off well on tv.

    [ Parent ]
    Secretary of Defense (none / 0) (#149)
    by BarnBabe on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:07:01 PM EST
    N/T under Clinton

    [ Parent ]
    Sebelius (none / 0) (#60)
    by stillife on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:16:58 PM EST
    gave the Dem response to the SOTU this year.  

    She may be a wonderful person - I don't know anything about her - but her speeches could put Ambien out of business.

    [ Parent ]

    I concur with you ladies (5.00 / 1) (#46)
    by Kathy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:07:25 PM EST
    though I am in Georgia, which runs red as red can be, so my blue vote hardly matters.  I would be especially incensed if O chose a "typical white woman."  Er, "person," I mean.  I cite exactly the same reason as nell: it would be insulting for Clinton to take the number two slot when she is clearly the more (if not only) qualified candidate.  I could see her doing it for the party, though, honestly, I would hate it.

    And Obama has isolated one of the most effective dem advocates of our time by calling Bill a racist.  Chickens coming home to roost indeed.

    (let me state emphatically, however, that I think she's going to pull this one out of the hat.  Out of the pocket?  To borrow Ben Franklin's words,  O is like fish--the longer he stays in, the more he smells.)

    [ Parent ]

    Oh, Kathy, I can't be the only one who, (none / 0) (#100)
    by Anne on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:35:30 PM EST
    when I read this part of your comment:
    To borrow Ben Franklin's words,  O is like fish--the longer he stays in, the more he smells.

    thought, how unfortunate that his initials are, um, well..."BO."

    [ Parent ]
    unfortunate, indeed... (none / 0) (#110)
    by Kathy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:42:48 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Obama has never called Bill Clinton a racist (none / 0) (#130)
    by cannondaddy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:53:21 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    that's what surrogates are for! (5.00 / 3) (#133)
    by Kathy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:55:41 PM EST
    Typical white person, I'm sure.

    [ Parent ]
    It doesn't surprise me that his wife said it Larry (5.00 / 1) (#209)
    by Ellie on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:43:38 PM EST
    This cynical, opportunistic ploy was my tipping point.

    I watched the footage again, to be fair, but on second viewing I fell right over.

    There's not even room for doubt about invention and intent. That's as ugly as ugly gets, even were  I granting this team spin / SOP points for not coming close to their own Kumbaya standard.  

    It deepened my support of HRC -- despite her "divisive" tendency to argue for her own bid rather than stroke someone else's -- because I'm genuinely sickened by how bad things will become with another Uniter who sends venomous surrogates to do his dirty work while he floats "above" it all on a wave sycophantic compliments.

    (No, he's not walking on water: it's special effects.)

    [ Parent ]

    This seems ok (none / 0) (#216)
    by rilkefan on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:48:07 PM EST
    M. OBAMA: No. No, but, politics is politics. And I think it's a competitive endeavor. And, you know, it's rough and tumble. I think that she has handled herself well in this respect -- I think that she and Barack, as he says all the time, were good friends and colleagues before this race, and they will be afterwards.

    I think, you know, the job that we all have as Democrats is to come out of this thing united and ready to toward a common purpose.

    KING: But there had to be days where you were a little ticked.

    M. OBAMA: Of course. That's my husband. I love him. I don't want anybody to say anything bad about him. But, you know, I would also, you know, be foolish to think you would enter a race where you wouldn't hear somebody being critical of your husband. So I try not to take it personally.

    [ Parent ]

    The longer he stays in? (none / 0) (#138)
    by rebrane on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:56:42 PM EST
    Your sober, dispassionate analysis is not really backed up by public opinion. Perhaps you're committing the common fallacy of assuming that everybody else thinks the same way you do.

    [ Parent ]
    Oh, public opinion! (5.00 / 2) (#143)
    by Kathy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:02:45 PM EST
    Yes, I tend to change my mind when so-called public opinion doesn't jibe with how I feel.  It's so embarrassing to think for myself!  Thank you so much for your incredibly unbiased and intelligent link.  I will change my posting hereafter accordingly.


    [ Parent ]
    Hah! Kathy's baaaaaaaack! (nt) (5.00 / 3) (#177)
    by Cream City on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:20:55 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Maybe he smells worse to you (none / 0) (#147)
    by rebrane on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:05:20 PM EST
    But, in fact, America is liking him more and more, and already likes him more than Sens. McCain and Clinton.

    [ Parent ]
    Yes, yes (none / 0) (#148)
    by Kathy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:06:24 PM EST
    You've certainly told me!

    [ Parent ]
    Except in OH, PA and FL. (none / 0) (#181)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:24:42 PM EST
    But never mind, we don't need those states to win the GE.

    ;-)

    [ Parent ]

    It does depend on how negatively (none / 0) (#61)
    by brodie on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:17:05 PM EST
    you would view an Obama picking a woman.  Normally that process is so purely political as it looks or should look to shore up the candidate's chief and most relevant political weakness.

    I see BHO as having some problems with older women, right now.  That's a fair-sized segment of his potential base he can't afford to take for granted.  After this tough and often sexist primary battle, it would be foolish not to consider how he could repair the damage with this key group.

    I call it being politically smart.  That's what I want in a candidate.  It also would finally recognize the majority voting group in our country, even though our first choice wouldn't be on the ticket.

    Imagine though what the reaction might be if nominee Obama ends up with another white male for his #2 -- a Webb or Schweitzer.  Would women feel a little left out at that point?

    [ Parent ]

    His picking Sebelius (5.00 / 1) (#67)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:20:13 PM EST
    will not change my mind about him. He's lost the majority of women in this country, and we know it would just be pointless pandering.

    Please understand that.

    He'll go a long way toward getting women back with Clinton, but no one else will do.

    If he picks a Repub or Indy, he can kiss my vote buh-bye. (Unless the Indy is Bernie Sanders! Love you Bernie!)

    [ Parent ]

    He'd be damned if he did and damned if he didn't (none / 0) (#112)
    by honora on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:43:19 PM EST
    If he picked a woman it would have to be someone that supported Clinton.  One of the women who came out loud and strong for Obama would just make Clinton supporters even more angry.  However, talk of Webb makes my skin crawl.  Doesn't he have a real bad history regarding women and the military?

    [ Parent ]
    It wouldn't be an issue of (5.00 / 5) (#137)
    by nycstray on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:56:34 PM EST
    "left out". Pander will just piss off women more. He needs to pick a strong VP that can help him hold up against McCain. I don't think he can do that by picking another white woman as a way to make us feel included. Maybe if he hadn't 'allowed' the volume of sexism in the campaign and was a stronger supporter of women in general, but not now. We know him.

    [ Parent ]
    nycstray, having gone through this long (none / 0) (#161)
    by brodie on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:12:37 PM EST
    primary process with two historic candidates, if I were a woman (and no, I'm not) I might feel a bit left out and unrepresented if Obama went with (aka "pandering" to) your  typical white male for VP.

    But, hey, I only claim to speak for myself here, certainly not for my entire gender, and am only guessing at the reaction of women Dems in such scenarios.

    [ Parent ]

    But many are behind Hillary because (5.00 / 3) (#189)
    by nycstray on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:29:01 PM EST
    they think she is the strongest candidate. They don't feel like Obama is up to the task/will be effective/can win/etc. A strong VP, even a white male  ;) is much more reassuring and will also help with the other demographics he is weak in. As long as the VP choice is more appealing to those demographics, aka knows how to relate to them. I'm fine with being left out as long as I know there's someone to catch him when he falls, and is a STRONG supporter of our gender, which I don't think he is  :)

    I really think he kinda screwed himself with his message, lol!~

    [ Parent ]

    Here's my problem (none / 0) (#91)
    by ColumbiaDuck on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:30:28 PM EST
    What woman - either in the senate or elsewhere in government - has he worked with a significant enough time that him picking her wouldn't just be about her gender?  I mean, if he had frequently partnered with Barbara Boxer (he hasn't, but I'm throwing out a name), I might be ok with him picking her because there's a relationship there, they share the same views, etc etc.

    But just picking a relatively anonymous women - especially as a "substitute" for the most well-known woman in politics - for no real reason.... it smacks of tokenism.  Not cool with that.

    [ Parent ]

    Been there done that with the (none / 0) (#111)
    by nycstray on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:42:59 PM EST
    inexperienced male boss. 4 times. Why do I see her doing the work and him getting credit?

    [ Parent ]
    Because that's what would happen... (none / 0) (#129)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:52:00 PM EST
    but OTOH, 16 years of a Democratic Presidency sounds pretty damn good to me.

    [ Parent ]
    then again (5.00 / 1) (#132)
    by Kathy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:54:46 PM EST
    four years of an ineffective, floundering dem pres would have far-reaching implications beyond a single term.

    [ Parent ]
    I think the effects start at the (none / 0) (#139)
    by nycstray on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:58:28 PM EST
    next mid-terms.

    [ Parent ]
    Speaking as an (older) woman (5.00 / 4) (#35)
    by Democratic Cat on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 02:57:10 PM EST
    Sebelius is not a substitute for Clinton. It's not about having a woman on the ticket, it's about having this woman on the ticket.

    I think if he offers it to Clinton, she'll take it. And that puts him in a bind.

    [ Parent ]

    I agree (5.00 / 2) (#71)
    by Emma on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:21:20 PM EST
    Sebelius is not a substitute for Clinton. It's not about having a woman on the ticket, it's about having this woman on the ticket.

    Yup.  Women are not fungible.  Should Clinton pick a African American for her VP to smooth things over with Obama supporters?

    [ Parent ]

    Exactly. (5.00 / 1) (#76)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:24:26 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Why wouldn't she (none / 0) (#95)
    by brodie on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:31:48 PM EST
    if it's obvious that that segment of our party would be upset about BHO not winning and might stay home otherwise?

    And she would have damn few AA options on the VP pick, to be sure.

    I believe party unity and winning in Nov easily outweigh concerns among a relative few on the left about "fungibility" or some politically incorrect notions to do with "pandering".  

    Can't please everyone, so you've just got to proceed the smartest way possible ...

    [ Parent ]

    You're awfully worried about Obama supporters (5.00 / 1) (#108)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:40:06 PM EST
    but not about HRC supporters.

    There are a lot more of us than you think.

    And we have noted the campaign tactics of Obama and how dismissive he is of Hillary and her supporters. And how his supporters call Hillary's superdelegates (like Mayor Nutter of Philly) and threaten and excoriate them for their choice.

    And we are not pleased.

    Get it?

    HRC doesn't take Obama's supporters for granted. She ALREADY OFFERED him a joint ticket and he snubbed her. She has already stated, repeatedly, that the most important thing to her is a Dem Pres in 2009. Believe me, if she wins, she will do a lot to reach out to Obama supporters, and it won't be some empty gesture like nominating someone because of his or her skin color.

    [ Parent ]

    I have thought for a while now (5.00 / 6) (#119)
    by Kathy on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:48:20 PM EST
    that O truly believes that once this goes his way (which I am not certain it will--Clinton still has a chance) that he will work his magic and woo back the women voters.

    This ignores the fact, of course, that older women tend to be very hard to woo.  Once you get past a certain age, charm takes on a different meaning.

    Cream (I think) posted this ages ago, but it's so true: I don't want a president like my ex-husband.

    "Obama is like the person you marry the first time round, when you're young and passionate and Hillary is like the one you marry the second time round, when you're older and smarter"

    It is arguably unfortunate for us that we are older.  It is certainly unfortunate for Obama that we are smarter.

    I will not be wooed.


    [ Parent ]

    Not even for a kiss? (5.00 / 1) (#160)
    by Joan in VA on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:12:05 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Brava! (none / 0) (#124)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:50:51 PM EST
    Well said.

    [ Parent ]
    Funny, for me, (none / 0) (#131)
    by sarcastic unnamed one on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:53:57 PM EST
    as a male, Hillary is precisely not like who I would marry the second time round.

    [ Parent ]
    Look, she offered him the VP spot when (none / 0) (#128)
    by independent voter on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:51:48 PM EST
    she was BEHIND in votes, delegates, and every other measure. You can not honestly believe that is not offensive. She deserved to be snubbed, in fact, she asked for it.

    [ Parent ]
    Thin skin (5.00 / 3) (#135)
    by Democratic Cat on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:56:11 PM EST
    Obama needs to toughen up if he is going to be "offended" everytime someone pulls a good political move.

    [ Parent ]
    She was never behind in superdelegates (5.00 / 2) (#136)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 03:56:11 PM EST
    and still isn't. Whoops!

    And she never offered him VP. She offered him a joint ticket. She said it was up to the voters to choose who would be at the top of the ticket, although she then quickly threw in a plug for the fact that she had just won Ohio.

    [ Parent ]

    She is behind in delegates, you (none / 0) (#217)
    by independent voter on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 04:48:36 PM EST
    will notice I did not designate "supers" though he is quickly catching up there. I believe you are one of the many crying about the "will of the people" though you throw up the super delegate lead as if it even matters. It doesn't, it will be gone within 1 month.

    [ Parent ]
    You said ANY METRIC. (5.00 / 1) (#235)
    by madamab on Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 05:08:54 PM EST
    And I am not "crying" about "the will of the people." I do want all the votes to count, SINCE I'M A DEMOCRAT, but clearly, the will of the people is divided, or someone would have the nomination sewn up. NO ONE DOES.

    The superdelegates do matter, since they are the ones that will decide the nomination. And it's a looooooong time till the convention...and they CAN change their minds. Predict all you want, but you Obamans have been wrong about Hillary's demise from Day One. Remember how he won New Hampshire by 20%? LOL.

    I say, let's wait until June and see what happens. I don't understand why you're all so hysterical about that possibility.

    Oh that's right - you're afraid your candidate will lose. I'm willing to take that chance.

    [ Parent ]