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Tuesday :: November 04, 2008

Obama Wins Ohio

NBC calls Ohio for Obama. CNN calls it too at 9:34 pm.

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Exit Polls Project Franken Wins Minnesota Senate

A huge win if it holds up. Al Franken would be the 4th pickup (in addition to Hagen in NC, Shaheen in NH and Warner in Virginia.) The Udalls in Colorado and New Mexico would be the 5th and and 6th. Merkley in Oregon and Begich in Alaska would make 8 pickups in the Senate.

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Final Prediction Thread

What time will John McCain concede?

What will the final electoral vote count be?

What will the voter turnout be?

Tie breaker:

What will the Popular vote be?

Up to 5 winners will get a TalkLeft 4th Amendment Tote. My prediction yesterday: Obama either wins 383 to 155 or 356 to 182

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Voters: Who Did What and Why

Exit polls tell us what we already knew: the economy was the most important issue in this election. Iraq, terrorism and health care were roughly tied for a distant second.

Sarah Palin was judged unqualified by 60 percent of voters.

Democrats who voted for Hillary Clinton in the primary went heavily for Barack Obama (84%), although 15 percent of them told exit pollsters that they voted for John McCain.

A small majority of voters reject the philosophical underpinning of political conservatism: that government is the problem, not the solution.

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Obama Takes Pennsylvania

ABC News has called Pennsylvania for Obama. Added: CNN has also.

McCain can't win without Pennsylvania. He pinned all his hopes on it. I think it's over. The Obama campaign is saying it's too early to say Obama has won, but I think it's going to be a landslide.

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Congressional Results Thread

An early Senate race worth watching is Kentucky, where Democrat Bruce Lunsford is trying to knock off Republican Senate Leader Mitch McConnell. It's a tough road, but hopefully Lunsford can pull it off.

Warner wins Virginia Senate. In North Carolina Senate is looking good for Dem Kay Hagen. Georgia will go Chambliss but he may not make it to 50%. Martin may get a runoff.

In Florida House races, Republican incumbent Keller going down in FL-8. FL-25, the Joe Garcia race, will go down to the wire.

Shaheen wins New Hampshire Senate seat.

Hagen wins North Carolina Senate race.

Fox calls Georgia for Chambliss.

Udalls about to take Senate seats in NM and Colorado.

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CNN Announces First Exit Polls, Others Follow

Update 7:45pm: You can search the ABC exit polls here. CNN's are up for each state. Just go to their presidential page and click on the state you are interested in.

Update 6:45pm: 72% of white evangelicals voted for McCain. Bush got 78% of them, a six point drop for McCain. McCain is winning them in every state, with Mississippi at the top, Minnesota at the bottom.

Update: 6:30pm: Higher income voters (earning more than $100k) went for Obama nationally 52% to 47%. In Ohio, these voters preferred McCain but in Colorado, they preferred Obama. Translation: the tax issue isn't working nationally for McCain. [More below....]

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Election Day Afternoon Open Thread

Tonight Jeralyn, TChris and I will be live blogging the election results. I will concentrate on the Congressional races and J will concentrate on the Presidential race.

I got an e-mail from a friend that says about Ohio - "Chaos. Every imaginable problem. I'm a supervisor @ statewide call-in center reviewing all complaints from pollwatchers. Its a war. More later." Anyone in Ohio got anything to add on this?

This is an Open Thread.

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A Quick Break From Election Coverage

As we await the outcome of the most monumental presidential election in ... well, at least the last four years ... let's take a deep breath, relax, and ask ourselves what the next president will do about one of the nation's most serious crime problems: the out-of-control gangs of roving roosters in Benton, Illinois.

[P]olice [in Benton] took a rooster into custody after it allegedly confronted a woman and her child. Police Chief Mike O'Neill said the rooster has been bothering people lately, trying to keep them from getting where they want to go. O'Neill said officers had enough on Monday and took the rooster into custody after what he described as a brief scuffle.

Apparently tasers were not used. And yes, it may have been only one maladapted rooster, but it's only a matter of time before gangs of rogue roosters are terrorizing your community! Let's make sure the next administration isn't soft on roosters.

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As Go the Redskins, So Goes the Nation (Usually)

Statistics-driven sports fans might take some comfort in this:

In 16 of the 17 presidential elections since the Redskins moved to Washington in 1937, the incumbent party has kept the White House if the team won its last home game before the election while the out-of-power party has taken over if the Redskins lost. (The only exception came four years ago, when the Redskins lost to the Green Bay Packers but President Bush won reelection.)

The Packers did their part for good governance four years ago, even if the predictive streak ended. Last night the Pittsburgh Steelers did their best to assure an Obama victory by shutting down the Redskins in a 23-6 victory. Let's hope the streak resumes today.

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Voter Protection Resources

Voters must know where to turn to if their right to vote is being hampered or outright denied on Tuesday or if they need any assistance:

  • For immediate assistance, call the nonpartisan 866-OUR-VOTE hotline

These resources track breaking news as it happens on Election Day:

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Palin: "I'll Always Be Sarah From Alaska"

I just saw Sarah Palin interviewed at her polling place. She wouldn't say who she voted for. She said, no matter what happens, she'll "always be Sarah from Alaska."

Please, go vote, so Sarah stays in Alaska and the only time we have to mention her is in connection with a post-mortem analysis of McCain's reckless, selfish failed Hail Mary Pass.

I muted her when she started talking about the Personnel Board Report. Unlike the Legislature, the Personnel Board is an agency of the state's executive branch and its officials can be fired by Palin. Even those appointed by her predecessor. Of course they came out for her on Election Eve, they want to keep their jobs, as TChris wrote here. The Legislative Report found she abused the power of her office. How convenient for her to gloss over that.

Bye, Sarah.

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