NFL Conference Championships
From Sports Left -- J-E-T-S, JETS ! JETS! JETS! To listen to New York sports radio talk this week, you would think the AFC Championship Game, the Jets travel to Indianapolis to face the Colts, is a toss up. In fact, in Vegas, the Colts are 8.5 point favorites over the Jets. What explains this seeming disconnect? The Week 16 Colts-Jets game is the main reason (the Jets' wins at the Bengals and at the Chargers also has optimism for the Jets bubbling.) In that game, Colt coach Jim Caldwell rested his starters in the second half of a 15-10 game. The game went to the Jets and the Colts undefeated season went down the drain (I defended Caldwell's move at the time.)
So what about the game? It's intriguing. But ultimately a mismatch. The Colts demonstrated against the Ravens that they can handle pressure defense, that their defense can stop the run and manhandle inexperienced QBs. It may take until the 3rd quarter but I expect the Colts to get a 2 score lead and after that, the Jets will have to play catchup. If you have confidence in Mark Sanchez to get it done, then betting the Jets to make it close might make sense. I do not believe Sanchez can do it at this point in his career, on the road. I like the Colts (-8.5). I also like the Under (40).
The Vikings play the Saints tonight in the NFC Championship. This is a game that seems destined to be decided by the performances of the Saints OL and the Vikes'' DL. If Brees gets plenty of time to throw, the Minnesota secondary is too weak to hold up. New Orleans will score 40. Maybe the Vikings can score 40 too. But that seems a hard route for Minnesota. Especially with Percy Harvin questionable because of migraines.
Brett Favre is a great story, but the Saints will win and cover the 3.5 point spread. I like the Saints (-3.5). I also like the Under (54.5). While the game could be a shootout, having 30-24 as an under score is too much.
This is an Open Thread.
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