The Polls - 9/29 And The Debate
The first poll of the day, the DKos/R2000 poll (9/26-28) shows Obama breaking this race open - Obama now leads by 9, 51-42. The two days of R2000 polling in since the debate have Obama +9 on Saturday and +11 on Sunday. Ras (9/26-28) has Obama up 5, 50-45. Gallup (9/25-27) has Obama up 8, 50-42, with a big Saturday post debate result. The last Hotline tracker (9/25-27) has Obama up 5, 47-42. For McCain supporters, there is one ray of hope in the polling, the strangely unmoving (in any direction) Battleground poll (9/22-25, 28) which has had McCain up 2 unvaryingly for a week, 48-46 (and up consistently for 2 weeks.) That seems impossible. No other poll has McCain even within 5 points of Obama. Either everyone else is wrong and Battleground is right and we are headed to a Dewey Defeats Truman situation, or Battleground is utterly wrong.
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Barack Obama won the debate. Not because I say so . But because the voters say so. They have moved to Obama since the debate. Jay Cost, an astute political observer, write an interesting but incorrect piece in my view. I thought Obama dominated the foreign policy portion of the debate and that McCain was at his best in the beginning (with Obama missing his best opportunities to finish McCain off.) But at the end of the debate, I felt I saw one President on that stage, Barack Obama. And more and more American voters felt that way, judging by the polling since the debate. So who won the debate? Who won more votes as a result of the debate is the answer. And the answer to that is Barack Obama.
By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only
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