Number Crunching With Past Five Elections as a Guide
Here's some more number crunching I just received from a Talkleft reader as to electability in November, based on the past five Presidential Elections...
- There are FIVE "BELLWETHER STATES". These are states who have voted for the WINNER in ALL FIVE of the most recent Presidential elections. They are: Arkansas, Missouri, Nevada, Ohio, and Tennessee.
Number of these that HRC has won? FOUR (80%)
HRC's Average Margin? 13.2%
- There are THREE "VERY SWINGY STATES". These are states who have voted Democratic in either 2 or 3 of 5 of the most recent Presidential elections. They are: Ohio, Tennessee, and West Virginia.
Number of these that HRC has won? THREE (100%)
HRC's Average Margin? 21.3%
- There are SIXTEEN "STRONG REPUBLICAN STATES". These are states who have voted Republican in 5/5 of the most recent Presidential elections.
Percentage of HRC's wins from REP-States? 15% (3/20)
Percentage of BHO's wins FROM REP-States? 41% (12/29)
- There are NINE (9) "STRONG DEMOCRATIC STATES" (Democratic in last 5/5).
Percentage of HRC's wins from DEM-States? 10% (2/20)
Percentage of BHO's wins from DEM-States? 07% (2/29)
BOTTOM LINE: HRC "Kicks Serious Booty" in Bellwether and Swing States, and BHO has relied on winning states that have not shown ANY inclination of voting Democratic for President.
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