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On West VA, Kentucky and a Joint Ticket

A new Survey USA Poll in Kentucky came out today. It's Hillary 62%, Barack Obama 30%.

If West Virginia is a convincing win tomorrow and Kentucky goes big for Hillary, the media says it won't matter. I'm hoping they are wrong. So are millions of other Democrats who believe Hillary Clinton is the best candidate.

While Big Tent Democrat has been sold on a unity ticket for months, I am not, regardless of who is on top of the ticket. I don't think they have a better chance of retaking the White House in November together. I think together they will drive Republicans and conservatives out in force. It's not a balanced ticket.

I also don't want to see a joint ticket because I think Hillary Clinton would make a great President, and I don't think she ever will get the chance if she starts off as Vice President under Obama for 8 years. [More...]

As for the speculation that Obama would convince Hillary's supporters to vote for him if he picks another female VP candidate like Napolitano or McCaskill, I highly doubt it. There is only one Hillary Clinton. Women are not interchangeable. In fact, it would be rubbing salt in the wounds of her already disappointed supporters. Like showing off the new girlfriend to the jilted one. I think millions would stay home.

If Obama wins the nomination, let him go forth against McCain in November without leaning on Hillary or choosing another female VP candidate just because he wants the female vote. Let him pick his best candidate for a VP and go the distance. I plan on voting for him. I believe a Democrat as President is always better for the country than a Republican. Particularly for social justice and the judiciary.

West Virginia, Kentucky and Puerto Rico are important primaries. If she wins them convincingly, and the party does the right thing by counting the 2.3 million votes in Florida and Michigan, she might well be ahead in the popular vote and within 100 to 150 of the pledged delegate total. She might convince the remaining uncommitted superdelegates and change the minds of others. Superdelegates can change their mind any time up until the convention in August.

I agree with the 65% of Democrats today who said she should stay in the race until the last votes are counted. It's not over yet. And it's too early, and in my view undesirable, to be advocating a joint ticket before all the votes are in.

So long as Hillary remains fighting to win, her supporters should stand with her.

Comments now closed.

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Poll

Should There Be a Joint Ticket If Obama is the Nominee?
Absolutely Not 70%
Yes 15%
Unsure 14%

Votes: 191
Results | Other Polls
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  • Display: Sort:
    Bravo! (5.00 / 11) (#1)
    by Angel on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:08:06 PM EST


    You said it all. (5.00 / 10) (#2)
    by madamab on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:08:47 PM EST
    Thank you, Jeralyn!

    I don't want HRC on a Unity ticket... (5.00 / 18) (#3)
    by Shainzona on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:11:57 PM EST
    if she is VP.  It will look like the older "mom" taking care of the idiot son.

    And I will FREAK OUT if Obama wins the nomination and selects another woman as VP.  I mean, WHAT A SLAP IN OUR FACES - to have his supporters reject the most qualified candidate for POTUS and then pander to us by putting any other woman in as VP.

    Question? (5.00 / 2) (#14)
    by samtaylor2 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:19:03 PM EST
    What if the best VP candidate is a women?  Why would this be a slap in the face or even pandering?  There are many qualified female politicians in the US.

    If Hiliary won, and she selected a black running mate (though I am not sure who that is- they don't seem to let many of us get that far or high) I would think that is great, assuming he or she was qualified.

    [ Parent ]

    what woman is better suited (5.00 / 3) (#94)
    by Kathy on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:43:35 PM EST
    or more qualified than Hillary Clinton?  And wants the job, I might add.  Some of them won't put up with the sheer and utter b-s it entails.

    [ Parent ]
    Please name all these (5.00 / 2) (#150)
    by angie on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:16:05 PM EST
    women candidates who would in fact be the best choice for Obama's VP.

    [ Parent ]
    Are we talking about women who (none / 0) (#257)
    by independent thinker on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:52:41 PM EST
    would make great POTUSes or VPs or ones who bring something to the political mix that can win the election? The two are not always the same thing. Personally, I love Carol Mosely Braun (spelling). I still remember her well thought out and insiteful debates four years ago, though I don't think she would bring anything politically to enhance a ticket. Clinton certainly brings many fine skills to the ticket, though I must confess that I worry that the fundies will come out in droves to vote against her.

    [ Parent ]
    It's A WOMAN, not "a women"... (none / 0) (#191)
    by NO2WONDERBOY on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:45:19 PM EST
    also, you're 'showing' your inability to "transcend racism" as your candidate is suggesting by saying (though I am not sure who that is- they don't seem to let many of us get that far or high) is lamentable. Besides, it seems to me you're trolling.

    [ Parent ]
    Mayor Nutter (none / 0) (#280)
    by ramasan on Tue May 13, 2008 at 05:34:08 PM EST
    as Hill's VP?  He's great - or seems so.

    [ Parent ]
    I agree complety -- Both need an older, white male (5.00 / 5) (#4)
    by Exeter on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:13:59 PM EST
     Preferably with a long national security resume. For Obama, somebody experienced in economic stimulus would do alot as well.  

    For Obama (5.00 / 5) (#126)
    by Foxx on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:02:35 PM EST
    someone experienced in everything is necessary!

    But not Hillary. What Jeralyn said.

    [ Parent ]

    Obama was always last (5.00 / 7) (#152)
    by Josey on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:18:27 PM EST
    to release a major policy proposal after Hillary or Edwards, including policies addressing the Economy. About a month ago a media panel was discussing the election and the economy and one pundit said Obama wasn't so good on the economy. Another panelist responded "but he's doing better."
    Doesn't that make you feel "better" and eager for Obama to tackle our Economic crisis?!
    yikes!

    [ Parent ]
    us to get our information...puh-leez.

    [ Parent ]
    I agree about not choosing a woman VP . . . (5.00 / 3) (#5)
    by Palomino on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:14:15 PM EST
    if Obama is the nominee--unless, of course, he chooses a woman because she is terrific, not just because she's a woman. But choosing a woman (like a certain midwestern governor who happens to be the daughter of my mother's cousin, whatever that makes her to me) would be as cynical as George H. W. Bush choosing Dan Quayle in 1988 to get the "youth" (Boomer) vote. Remember? It would have the same "f-you," vengeful quality that I relish in my favorite political daydream, the one in which presidential nominee Hillary Clinton taps Harold Ford Jr. to run with her.

    It didn't work for Mondale (none / 0) (#8)
    by ChuckieTomato on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:17:28 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Well... (5.00 / 2) (#48)
    by Exeter on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:26:02 PM EST
    that was different, though. It probably did help Mondale a little, because he was an old white guy.

    [ Parent ]
    Mondale (5.00 / 1) (#171)
    by cal1942 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:29:46 PM EST
    didn't have a snowball's chance.

    If Jesus of Nazareth had been his running mate the outcome would have been the same.

    By the way; in a comment you made a couple of days ago; you said that FDR had never carried VA and NC.

    FDR carried both VA and NC all four times. FDR carried every state of the old Confederacy in all four elections.  We used to call it the 'solid South.'

    [ Parent ]

    Not what I said re-read my comments so you won't (none / 0) (#218)
    by ChuckieTomato on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:04:14 PM EST
    attribute something to me that I didn't say. I said in 2000, 04, and particularly and especially 08.

    But that has nothing to do with the subject thread so I don't see the point you are making.


    [ Parent ]

    Great Post Jeralyn. (5.00 / 8) (#6)
    by Ga6thDem on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:15:30 PM EST
    First of all, it seems the talking heads really aren't influencing that many people according to the polls. If 2/3 want the race to continue, that means that they don't think it's over.

    Since so many women don't want Hillary on the bottom of the ticket, I think it's because of Obamaq being less qualified. If she was running against someone like McCain in the Dem primary who has more experience, then they, or at least I would, be amenable to it.

    qualifications (5.00 / 8) (#105)
    by Kathy on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:47:07 PM EST
    people tend to forget that.  If Clinton was forced to play second fiddle to a candidate who was as qualified or more qualified, I imagine not many women would complain so loudly about her not getting the top spot (that is, if Obama was perceived to have won that slot fairly).  

    Honestly, if this was two white men battling out, and their credentials were the same, it would be no contest.  Look at the serious crisis our country is in at home and abroad.  Jeebus pete.  It's infuriating.

    [ Parent ]

    Let me try to convince you (5.00 / 1) (#7)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:16:07 PM EST
    Let's assume you believe Obama can not win - then Hillary will be the presumptive nominee in 2012 if she is the VP candidate.

    No one will challenge her.

    But if she does not run as the VP candidate, then if Obama wins, his VP will be the presumptive nominee in 8 years and if Obama loses then Hillary faces a stiff challenge from the VP nominee.

    The funny thing about the silly conspiracy theory about Hillary wanting to run in 2012, it only makes sense if she is the VP candidate and does a bang up job and the loss is laid at Obama's feet.

    and if Obama wins. she is the presumptive nominee in 8 years. She looks great. 68 will not be too old, especially for a woman, who have greater life spans than men.

    so if you are only considering what is best for Hillary's chances to be President, the Unity ticket is clearly the best way to go.

    How valuable (5.00 / 14) (#16)
    by Ga6thDem on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:19:31 PM EST
    is being a VP on a losing ticket? Not much I would say. Edwards anyone? Mondale anyone? Even Gore had a hard time and he was on a successul ticket.

    If she was really interested in 2012 then she would be better off NOT running with Obama.

    [ Parent ]

    Gore and Kerry were both (5.00 / 8) (#50)
    by JavaCityPal on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:26:34 PM EST
    wrong to distance themselves from Clinton and the high approval rating he left office with.

    [ Parent ]
    and they're still distancing themselves (5.00 / 2) (#163)
    by Josey on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:24:05 PM EST
    That's why I believe the Obama establishment would never allow Hillary on the ticket.


    [ Parent ]
    Very true (5.00 / 1) (#197)
    by JavaCityPal on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:48:15 PM EST
    and, no one has put more distance between his run and the Clinton administration than Obama has. To listen to him, we haven't had a democratic administration since 1960.

    [ Parent ]
    I have two words for you, (5.00 / 3) (#18)
    by dk on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:20:36 PM EST
    John Edwards.

    [ Parent ]
    Hillary Clinton is no John Edwards (5.00 / 2) (#28)
    by andgarden on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:23:02 PM EST
    Her brand transcends her place on a national ticket.

    [ Parent ]
    he got effed over (5.00 / 2) (#40)
    by Salo on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:24:38 PM EST
    he's got insane diplomatic skills.

    [ Parent ]
    What I mean (5.00 / 4) (#55)
    by dk on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:27:44 PM EST
    is that being the vice-presidential nominee does not translate into having no one challenge you for the Presidential nomination 4 years later, and it certainly doesn't guarantee you the nomination.

    BTD's argument is simply historically innacurate.

    [ Parent ]

    Who will challenge her (none / 0) (#74)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:33:15 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Fair question, but (5.00 / 3) (#91)
    by dk on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:42:44 PM EST
    I can't provide a specific answer.  After all, this time four years ago, do you think anyone would have guessed that Obama would run?  No, no one, probably even Obama, thought about it until after his convention speech.

    The reality is that anything can happen in four years.  Political fortunes rise and fall.  I'm not saying that I know whether Hillary's chances in 2012 would be better or worse if she was the VP nominee this time around.  But you can't know either.

    I just have a hard time seeing Hillary as a VP nominee, because those who support her consider her overqualified for the position.  Hillary supporters like her because she has good ideas and the experience to make a good at implementing some of them.  Obama wouldn't let her have any actual authority in his administration, so what's the point?  I think we all know that she had more policy sway in Bill's administratin than she would ever be allowed to have in Obama's.

    [ Parent ]

    x (5.00 / 6) (#109)
    by Mary Mary on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:51:09 PM EST
    The same cabal that challenged her this time.

    [ Parent ]
    A New "Star" (5.00 / 2) (#243)
    by cal1942 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:29:21 PM EST
    with limited experience as that seems to be all the rage.  Possibly someone like Mark Warner or Jim Webb or maybe one of the Udalls.

    Of course, any one of those four have vast experience compared to Obama.

    They'd be championed by the press, the a-list Kool-Aid club and the party establishment.

    [ Parent ]

    How about (none / 0) (#117)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:57:16 PM EST
    Mark Warner.  

    [ Parent ]
    michelle? snark (none / 0) (#245)
    by hellothere on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:30:56 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Who did (none / 0) (#134)
    by Emma on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:08:28 PM EST
    anybody think would run against her this time?  Certainly, four years ago nobody was able to foresee what is happening now.

    [ Parent ]
    barack obama's (none / 0) (#279)
    by cpinva on Tue May 13, 2008 at 01:48:17 PM EST
    younger, smarter brother!

    Who will challenge her

    sorry, low-hanging fruit! :)


    [ Parent ]

    I'm taking him at his word (5.00 / 1) (#43)
    by JavaCityPal on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:25:16 PM EST
    he's done with politics. I think he would be a bad choice, and I doubt Elizabeth would be on board with it.

    [ Parent ]
    If Obama loses with Hillary on the ticket (5.00 / 15) (#22)
    by felizarte on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:21:40 PM EST
    Hillary will be blamed and the conspiracy theory lives on.  Obama will not win the GE not without Florida and Michigan resolved to make a difference.  But it will not be resolved because it will make a difference and Hillary will be the nominee.

    [ Parent ]
    Hillary will be blamed by certain Democrats (5.00 / 8) (#100)
    by Joelarama on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:45:45 PM EST
    and pundits for an Obama loss whether she is on the ticket or not.

    We have already seen the set-up for that argument.

    [ Parent ]

    Hillary will be blamed (5.00 / 1) (#204)
    by JavaCityPal on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:52:10 PM EST
    if Obama is the nominee and he loses in November no matter what. The media will make that their mantra for 2012 and they will begin the chant on Nov 5th, 2008 to make sure she can't run again in four years.


    [ Parent ]
    Good theory but (5.00 / 2) (#24)
    by gyrfalcon on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:22:38 PM EST
    so far, I haven't heard of any prospective Obama VP who could make a serious run for pres. against Hillary in 2012 or any other time.  And I'm not convinced that unsuccessful VP candidates carry any luster to speak of anyway into the next election.  Seems to me a big part of Edwards's problem was his inability to shake the aura of loser.


    [ Parent ]
    I agree with you (none / 0) (#241)
    by RalphB on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:28:06 PM EST
    that Edward's run as VP hurt more than helped.  When you are on a losing ticket, it doesn't do much for you.

    [ Parent ]
    BTD, you are the man (5.00 / 8) (#30)
    by Palomino on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:23:10 PM EST
    but I really can't agree with you here! If the media and party bigs are screaming for her to leave the race while she's winning CA, TX, OH, PA, etc.--and, in my view, simply winning, screw "the math"--then why would anybody defer to her in 2012? No, I think that this is her one shot, and she's fighting for it, and she has to because no one will ever let her run again. Especially if Obama now becomes the party head.

    [ Parent ]
    You realize (5.00 / 4) (#31)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:23:19 PM EST
    she'll by 69 years of age in 8 years.  If you look at the ABC poll, people are more bothered by McCain's age than they are about Clinton and Obama's race and sex.

    A 69 year old woman running for president?  If that would work, it truly would be the American dream.

    [ Parent ]

    Nope (5.00 / 20) (#35)
    by Jeralyn on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:23:39 PM EST
    I disagree. If Obama wins, Hillary won't be interested in running in 2016. She'll be almost as old as McCain is now. Her time is now, or in 2012.

    If Obama runs with someone else now and loses, that's her best shot in 2012. If she's on the ticket now as VP and they lose, she'll have as little chance of getting the nomination in 2012 as John Edwards did this year.

    Losing VP candidates are unlikely to get the presidential nomination the next time around. If she's on the ticket as VP and they lose, she's done.

    [ Parent ]

    Ha Ha Ha (5.00 / 12) (#38)
    by dissenter on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:24:29 PM EST
    Look at the crap she has gone through now....you think it is gonna better when she is 68 friggin years old. You can't be serious here.

    I am perfectly willing to watch Obama lose and support her again in 08. If she is the VP candidate and he loses she can't run again and win anyway. Look how well that strategy worked for Edwards.

    He would only be using her. If by some miracle he got elected he would send her out to read to children. No thanks. And more importantly, no sell.

    [ Parent ]

    Sorry 2012 (5.00 / 1) (#47)
    by dissenter on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:25:50 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    BTD - they have already labeled her as old (5.00 / 9) (#39)
    by Shainzona on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:24:33 PM EST
    in this campaign (and the rest of us women who support her).  She will be the "walking dead" in 8 years as far as the Blogger Boyz and MSM are concerned.

    Now is her time.  And not as VP - as POTUS.

    Why not?

    If she turns out to be more electable after tomorrow, would you not change your mind and support her over BO?

    [ Parent ]

    I don't understand the basis of your ... (5.00 / 2) (#54)
    by dwmorris on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:27:31 PM EST
    thesis that no one will challenge Clinton in 2012 if an Obama/Clinton ticket loses in 2008. Edwards was in the same position 4 years ago and it didn't work out for him this cycle. What's to stop the residual Obama machine from morphing into an insurgency campaign for another new candidate?

    [ Parent ]
    If Obama loses in 2008, he's running again in 2012 (5.00 / 2) (#65)
    by Exeter on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:31:40 PM EST
    That's only another reason why he would not want Hillary on the ticket-- why give her his blessing to his followers?  That's the bottom line here, Obama would NEVER in a million years have Hillary on the ticket, even if she had pics of McCain with a dead girl AND a naked boy!

    [ Parent ]
    I saw Chuck Todd share a Michelle quote on (5.00 / 1) (#143)
    by JavaCityPal on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:13:07 PM EST
    that subject. He said Michelle has already said that they will only do this once because in four years they will be so wealthy they won't be able to relate to the people's issues.

    No kidding. He said that on Hardball about a week ago.


    [ Parent ]

    Ugh (none / 0) (#84)
    by Ga6thDem on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:39:11 PM EST
    If Obama's the nominee and he loses, then certainly he would have zero chance in 2012.

    Hey I heard a rumor that all this is really about Kerry wanting to run again. He figured that 2008 was too soon so he found a fundraising machine to attach to that he knew would lose in 2008 and make his run in 2012. It all kind of makes sense in a way.

    [ Parent ]

    Just shoot me (5.00 / 1) (#92)
    by ruffian on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:43:19 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Kerry never had the committed followers (5.00 / 1) (#97)
    by Exeter on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:44:56 PM EST
    like Obama has, though. It's a movement.

    [ Parent ]
    "Movement"? As in civil rights? (5.00 / 2) (#253)
    by lambert on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:45:20 PM EST
    That OFB talking point is so inane.

    Unless, of course, we're talking about movements whose only reason for being is a charismatic leader who makes great speeches in stadiums. That sort of movement has always worked out well, right?

    [ Parent ]

    I am almost positive (5.00 / 1) (#69)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:32:20 PM EST
    I'll be the only yes vote in the poll.

    [ Parent ]
    Wrong (5.00 / 1) (#78)
    by andgarden on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:34:47 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Hey (5.00 / 3) (#133)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:08:14 PM EST
    I am doing almost as well as Obama will tomorrow.

    [ Parent ]
    heh (none / 0) (#148)
    by andgarden on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:15:09 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Me too... (none / 0) (#209)
    by znosaro on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:58:00 PM EST
    I don't want to spend another four years as despondent as I have been the past 8.  As long as Hillary is on the ticket, one way or another, I will be able to make myself care.  If she is not... ugh.  If we want to win this year, with Obama as our nominee, no VP choice makes nearly as much sense as HRC.

    [ Parent ]
    I gave you a "5" for self-deprecating (5.00 / 1) (#99)
    by chancellor on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:45:13 PM EST
    sense of humor. I hope that's allowed, because your response contained flawless comedy timing and gave me a good laugh.

    [ Parent ]
    Ah, I'm starting to feel (5.00 / 10) (#110)
    by Jeralyn on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:51:16 PM EST
    badly for you. I know you really believe in a joint ticket, and maybe on your thread they agree with you, but this thread so far is on my side.

    I think you are trying to throw Hillary a crumb but her supporters don't want her to have the crumb role when they know she's the whole loaf.

    [ Parent ]

    I like Hillary (5.00 / 2) (#120)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:58:38 PM EST
    but she is a pol like all the rest. Frankly, I could not care less if she ever becomes President. Just as I could not care less if Obama became President.

    What I DO care about is a DEMOCRAT winning in November.

    I am about Democratic values and issues and how to forward them.

    I want the candidates who can do that and the ticket that can do that. I think the unity ticket is the best way to get it done.


    [ Parent ]

    See, I guess I care (5.00 / 11) (#131)
    by dk on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:05:11 PM EST
    less about a DEMOCRAT winning in November as I do about effectively advancing Democratic policies and principles over the medium and long term.  Now often those two goals overlap, but I'm not convinced they do in the case of Obama.

    Note:  Unlike the accusations of many Obama supporters in the left blogosphere (cough, Kos, cough), I am not accusing Obama of being a Republican.  But, I am truly not convinced that Democratic policies and principles will be advanced by an Obama presidency.  I think I'm not alone here in thinking that.

    [ Parent ]

    Nailed it! (5.00 / 0) (#210)
    by chancellor on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:58:05 PM EST
    This is exactly my problem with Obama. Hillary and Edwards are traditional Dems with values I support. Even having Obama as my senator, I still don't know where he really is on the issues. Durbin, on the other hand--a true progressive--well, I can predict his vote 99% of the time, and he's always in that hard-core group of Dems that votes against insane Repub legislation. My kind of guy.

    [ Parent ]
    She votes most often in line with Durbin (none / 0) (#247)
    by nycstray on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:37:39 PM EST
    iirc.

    [ Parent ]
    Democratic values (5.00 / 6) (#137)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:10:45 PM EST
    I am about Democratic values and issues and how to forward them.

    Me too! Including support for the working class! The current DNC has no interest in that.

    [ Parent ]

    BTW (5.00 / 2) (#122)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:59:26 PM EST
    Very few agreed with me in my thread.

    [ Parent ]
    She's the whole loaf. (5.00 / 1) (#128)
    by ruffian on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:03:09 PM EST
    Does that fit on a bumper sticker?

    I like it!!!

    [ Parent ]

    Jeralyn, I really do wonder (none / 0) (#116)
    by Kathy on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:55:52 PM EST
    since you and BTD are so simpatico on most things, if this is a man's vs woman's perspective thing.  We should have a poll about that!

    [ Parent ]
    I agree it's a crumb role and I would never (none / 0) (#177)
    by Joelarama on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:35:30 PM EST
    ask her to settle earlier than she wants.

    By instinct about Hillary however is that she would take it.  I may be wrong, but I think her her worst critics and even her supporters have her wrong.  She is a team player, a person who has so much strength that she can accept a lesser role if she believes it is the right thing to do.  She kept her head down and worked hard in the Senate, without letting her personal notoriety ruffle the men's feathers.  I am reluctant to add this, but I believe she did what was right in response to the Monica thing by staying with her husband, because she believed it was teh right thing to do in her circumstance (and not primarily politically) -- despite whatever anyone might think.

    I think Hillary would accept a VP post if she thought it was the right thing to do -- if she felt it might be necessary to ensure a Democratic president -- and avoid the humiliation.

    I might be a Pollyanna, but I believe this woman is the real deal, as much as any politician can be.  I don't think she's ultimately in it for herself.

    [ Parent ]

    I agree with you (5.00 / 3) (#190)
    by angie on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:44:49 PM EST
    on just about everything you said (team player, real deal, right to stay with Bill -- imo, forgiving is easier said then done, and she proved she can do it) except for her willingness to take the VP slot -- she would have more influence on getting legislation passed as the Senator from NY then as the VP -- so I think she would see that as being the "right thing" to do for her Dem. values.

    [ Parent ]
    Perhaps, and perhaps I am injecting my own (none / 0) (#207)
    by Joelarama on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:53:31 PM EST
    opinion, which is that a unity candidacy is what needs to happen in order to win in November.  Not that we cant win without it, but my pessimism is such that I am almost there.  (see my comment on this thread).

    My point is, if Hillary believes she must run for VP in order to ensure a Democrat is president, she'd do it despite any prideful misgivings.  And, she's the kind of person who will make a pretty shrewd judgment on what's necessary for a Dem to win.

    Others would have us believe she would want Obama to lose, to serve her ambition.  That view, I think, is grounded in sexism and a misunderstanding of what drives most (or many) feminists.

    [ Parent ]

    Everything is forgetting one Person (none / 0) (#222)
    by dissenter on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:07:00 PM EST
    I don't think there is a snowballs chance in hell Bill Clinton would tell her it is politically smart to  accept an invitation to be Obama's VP. Furthermore, while Hillary is a loyal dem, she has proven she is an equally loyal wife.

    I seriously doubt she is going to join a campaign that has done everything in its power to destroy her husband's legacy. A political fight is one thing but the attacks on Bill Clinton go way beyond simple politics. Obama has tried to destroy her husband's legacy, legitimacy and accomplishments. And then as a bonus, he has painted BC as a racist. That isn't going to just blow over in the name of party unity. It is personal now.  

    That VP spot has loser written all over it -  politically, professionally and personally for her. I think she will cut a deal for majority leader. In return, she will campaign a bit for Obama. That's it.

    He will then lose and it will be the memory of Obama everyone will be trying to erase. As they say, revenge is best served cold.

    [ Parent ]

    I can't disagree more. (none / 0) (#232)
    by Joelarama on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:14:25 PM EST
    We're really getting into speculative (and chatty) territory here, so this is the last I'll say.  

    Hillary has been through so much and been dissed by so many people that if she wanted to get revenge, it would leave her no time for anything else.

    If anyone can get over it, she can.  In fact, I doubt she holds any grudge.  She's a pro.

    But, speculation.


    [ Parent ]

    Wrong (none / 0) (#187)
    by wasabi on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:43:28 PM EST
    I've been saying it since early February.

    [ Parent ]
    Of course she'll be challenged (5.00 / 1) (#113)
    by Nadai on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:53:21 PM EST
    John Edwards was challenged this time around and he's not the target of a national hatefest.  If she's a losing VP candidate in 2008, that'll just be a point of mockery come 2012 - look at the loser, she's why Obama lost, best candidate we ever had and she torpedoed him.

    [ Parent ]
    What if Hillary (5.00 / 2) (#123)
    by Mrwirez on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:00:05 PM EST
    is the reason he wins. My family is supporting HRC. We do not want Obama at all. If she would accept a VP spot and Obama wins... She is screwed. Barack Obama is TOO liberal for my likings. My wife and I make $125,000/year but I am a blue collar worker. Do you see my dilemma. I want a MODERATE democrat that will pay down debt, and REALLY support organized labor, similar to Bill Clinton policies. I fear BO and his policies.... we know nothing about, and therefor I say to Hillary, DO NOT do it. HE WILL LOSE/SHE CAN WIN. He will be the Mondale/Dukakis/McGovern candidate. CNN just showed the maps for winning the GE. Hillary Clinton,s maps are so much easier to win the big prize.

    The bottom line is we just don't like Barack Obama.

    [ Parent ]

    The Loss Will Not Be Laid At Obama's (5.00 / 4) (#138)
    by MO Blue on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:11:34 PM EST
    feet if Hillary is the VP candidate. The MSM and Obama's supporters, including political supporters, will hang the defeat around the Clinton's neck. The feeding frenzy that has been occurring the last several months will look mild in comparison.

    [ Parent ]
    BTD -- so close to perfect (5.00 / 1) (#175)
    by angie on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:33:50 PM EST
    except on this point.
    Trust the women on this one.  

    [ Parent ]
    Time for a sex change operation (5.00 / 1) (#199)
    by wasabi on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:49:10 PM EST
    I'm female and I think UNITY would work to get a Dem in office.  Clinton would do what is best for the party.  Obama however will do what he thinks is best for Obama, unfortunately.  I don't think Michelle would ever approve of that union.  Never.

    [ Parent ]
    Sex change? (5.00 / 1) (#254)
    by RalphB on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:48:15 PM EST
    Well I'm a man and I'm totally against it.  If she wants it fine, but normally people don't vote for the VP candidate.


    [ Parent ]
    If Obama Loses (5.00 / 3) (#215)
    by cal1942 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:00:31 PM EST
    "she is the VP candidate and does a bang up job and the loss is laid at Obama's feet."

    No offense but, apparently you've been sound asleep the last 16 years. Clintons, any Clinton, are blamed for any failing. Your candidate has attacked the efficacy of the Clinton administration, the press does not acknowledge a successful Clinton Presidency.  The press (and your candidate) routinely demonize Hillary Clinton and have, in the case of press, for the past sixteen years.  

    If an Obama/Clinton ticket were to lose, the press would crucify Hillary Clinton as the poison pill in spite of any polling or studies to the contrary and if for no other reason than to build animus for 2012.  

    Don't you get it yet that the press and the Village establishment hate all things Clinton.

    And what makes you think the party establishment would tolerate a Clinton candidacy in 2012?  A burning desire to win the White House? Haven't you seen enough already? This is the crew that joyously savages its own in the mistaken belief that they're performing some act of cleansing that the public will reward.

    I can't believe you haven't noticed what's happening underneath.

    If Hillary Clinton has a shot at 2012 it would be continuing in the US Senate, untainted by a defeat in 2008 for which the press and her own party establishment will gladly throw in her face.


    [ Parent ]

    That is assuming that Obama's (5.00 / 2) (#240)
    by FlaDemFem on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:27:48 PM EST
    administration is not a disaster. That is a huge assumption to make, given his lack of experience, his dislike for policy work, his boredom with his Senate work, and his waffling on every subject he has been asked about. If he, by some amazing fluke, wins the Presidency, he will be lost and floundering. This is not how Hillary can get a good start on 2012. She can do that by staying in the Senate and trying to minimize the damage, not tying her political wagon to a falling "star". He is starting to tank now, what is he going to do in November when McCain and the GOP eviscerate him with his Chicago record and associates?? Go down in flames, that's what. And Hillary doesn't need that on her resume. The one she has now is just fine, thank you.

    [ Parent ]
    not if it's rendell (4.00 / 1) (#13)
    by Salo on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:18:55 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    And is she didn't "look great"? (none / 0) (#144)
    by oculus on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:13:07 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    OK. Let's say you (none / 0) (#203)
    by oldpro on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:51:58 PM EST
    made the sale

    Now.

    How are you gonna talk Kennedy, Kerry, Daschle into letting her on the ticket?

    [ Parent ]

    I wrote to you in your last thread (none / 0) (#237)
    by masslib on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:25:16 PM EST
    that I have finally come to agree with you.  I have no interest in Obama.  I think he's an empty suit.  But, I get the feeling that if Hill doesn't get the nom she at least wants the second spot.  And, because she wants it, I want it.  It will be the first time in modern history that the second on the ticket will draw as many(maybe more) than the first.  I am still holding out for the reverse.  Hill is so much more prepared to be president.  But, either way, she at least should get the second spot.  If this man who speaks of unity doesn't sincerely offer it to her, I won't vote for him.  I'll write-in. Again, since I detest Obama and think he has done nothing in his professional life to warrent the highest office in the land, it's not what I want.  But, the working poor need Hill, IMO.  And, again my impression is she wants it, so if she does...I think BO's ONLY chance is with Hill on the ticket, so I disagree with Jaryln that somehow she is not what he needs. There is no way on God's green earth this ticket, whatever the order,  with Bill Clinton crisscrossing the country campaigning for it, could lose.

    [ Parent ]
    My comment was in response to BTD but didn't (none / 0) (#238)
    by masslib on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:26:07 PM EST
    get posted that way.

    [ Parent ]
    I don't buy all your (none / 0) (#278)
    by 0 politico on Tue May 13, 2008 at 09:52:53 AM EST
    arguments here.

    On point 1 - HC does not have to be the VP condidate on a losing ticket to be the presumptive nominee in 2012.  It might help, but could hurt if this turns into a massive loss with her on the VP slot.  Someone could challenge her then.

    On point 2 - The VP condidate, should the ticket lose, might be a stiff challenge to HC in 2012.  The party has got to find someone with some real backbone first, but not enough charisma to outshine their candidate.  If the ticket wins, you are presuming this would be asuccessful administration and not Carter Part II.  I don't have that faith in the "presumed candidate".  In that case it won't matter in 2012, as the party would have a snowball's chance of holding the WH.

    On point 3 - No matter how bang up a job HC did in campaigning as the VP candidate, a loss this year will somehow get blamed on her, the party "elites" won't learn their lessons, and she would have to step on their necks to get the party nomination in 2012.  Actually, I kind of like the sound of that last part.

    On point 4 - If she actually had to sit as the VP for 8 years (again, I feel that is unlikely), then I respectfully disagree that the age would not be a factor.  Just because the Reps can get away with it does not mean a Dem female cadidate could.  By the time the election would occur, she would be 69.  After 8 years of BO, I am sure that there would be cries for change coming from the other side, and having a grnadmother running for the big chair is not likely to fit many American's view of whom they want in that chair.  Maybe I am being cynical, but I don't see it.

    My suggestion to her would be to decline the VP slot if offered.  Campaign for the ticket like a good Dem.  But, let the Boys sink on their own.  Then maybe in 2012, the party will be ready for some adult supervision.  And perhaps, Dems can actually grow some other worthy candidates by then.  Who konws?  She could decide she could be more effective outside politics if the party leadership is just not worth working with.

    My worst fear?  That the party pushes a candidate who is not ready for the job (it won't matter who the VP is then as they can't really tell him -POTUS- what to do) and we get Carter Part II.  And remember, Carter had bright people in his administration.  Then we get stuck with Reps in the WH for the following 12-20 years!  For those who argue about SCOTUS selections for the next four years, think of longer term consequences in this scenario.

    BTW - I have not changed my registration to independent, yet.  I am waiting for the convention first.

    [ Parent ]

    What does (5.00 / 1) (#9)
    by Ga6thDem on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:17:32 PM EST
    everyone think about the fact that McCain might pick Christine Todd Whitman as his running mate? I think that it would pull women away from Obama and into his camp.

    No I think (5.00 / 5) (#44)
    by Jeralyn on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:25:32 PM EST
    Kay Bailey Hutchinson is more likely. I also think it will be seen for the sleaze move it is, a cheap ploy to get women voters. We're not that dumb.

    [ Parent ]
    Yes! (5.00 / 2) (#57)
    by Palomino on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:28:44 PM EST
    That would be brilliant on his part, and she's enough of a wingnut (and a Texan to boot) to help the rest of the wingnuts make nice with Mac. The nice Republican women who might have crossed over to vote for Hillary will return comfortably to McCain, so I don't think it takes any votes from Obama. Those women's votes were never his, though some of them would have been Hillary's.

    [ Parent ]
    Kay Bailey might unite women on the (none / 0) (#80)
    by bjorn on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:36:05 PM EST
    dem side to vote for Obama!

    [ Parent ]
    LOL... (none / 0) (#82)
    by madamab on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:38:22 PM EST
    she's pretty odious.

    Nothing could get me to vote for Obama at this point though. ;-)

    [ Parent ]

    If McCain were sincere with this concept... (none / 0) (#217)
    by AX10 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:02:25 PM EST
    he would take Sarah Palin (Alaska Governor) as his VP.  She is moderate enough to attract many women to the McCain ticket.  She also has a moderate record and is truly working for reform.

    Hutchinson would be but a token on his ticket.

    [ Parent ]

    KBH could work (5.00 / 1) (#64)
    by andgarden on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:30:28 PM EST
    if not for making a dent in the advantage Democrats have with women, then at least with the conservative base (except for on immigration, where she toes the Texas line).

    [ Parent ]
    Kay Bay (5.00 / 1) (#88)
    by txpolitico67 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:40:58 PM EST
    is actually more moderate than one thinks:  She is pro-choice and it sponsoring legislation right now on the challenges of biofuels and how it is affecting food prices.

    She also called for the banning of the gas tax when gas got to $2+ a gallon.

    I know a lot of conservative Dems who voted for her when she ran last time for Senate.  Kay Bay (what we call her here in TX) has worked her way up thru the ranks and is quite likeable.

    McCain would do well by picking her.  I doubt she'd do it.  Talk around these parts is she's after Governor Goodhair's job (pet name for Rick Perry bestowed by the great Molly Ivins).

    [ Parent ]

    I like the pro-choice part (none / 0) (#108)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:49:51 PM EST
    but the biofuels/food prices thing and the gas tax thing are quite helpful to her main constituency -- big oil.

    Of course she agrees with Nader's runningmate that ethanol is not the way to go. Of course, you'll have to tell me if she offers any alternatives.

    [ Parent ]

    She's not really pro-choice (none / 0) (#115)
    by andgarden on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:55:05 PM EST
    She gets 0s from NARAL.

    [ Parent ]
    hmmmmm (none / 0) (#136)
    by txpolitico67 on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:10:33 PM EST
    sorry about that then.  I should have fact checked that before I posted the pro-choice line.  I could have SWORN she was.  She voted against the appt of Leon Holmes, to the US District Court on his pro-life views.

    She is pro choice and supports embryonic stem cell research.

    Here are some links for the reading:

    http://www.rnclife.org/faxnotes/2005/jan05/05-01-18.html

    http://www.rnclife.org/faxnotes/2004/july04/04-07-08.html

    [ Parent ]

    My quick search is (none / 0) (#139)
    by andgarden on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:12:23 PM EST
    here:

    Kay Bailey Hutchison (R)
    U.S. Senate
    Texas
    Pro-Choice Score: 0%



    [ Parent ]
    She wants to be governor. (none / 0) (#154)
    by davnee on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:19:37 PM EST
    And she has already said no to being VP.  Now that is not to say that she wouldn't change her mind if she was actually asked, but I think McCain should go for a governor.  Contrast against the senate experience.  But no doubt that KBH would be a solid choice.  Probably the best woman the R's could put on the ticket.

    [ Parent ]
    I can imagine McCain picking KBH for VP (5.00 / 2) (#208)
    by wasabi on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:54:49 PM EST
    KBH is not known for being brilliant.  Whether women will flock to the Republican ticket with a woman in the VP slot, who knows?  At least their party doesn't eat their own.  

    [ Parent ]
    She's older than Hillary, too. I think she really (none / 0) (#68)
    by Angel on Mon May 12, 2008 at 09:32:03 PM EST
    wants to be governor of Texas but she's arrogant enough to think she's qualified to be president.  And she's too connected to Bush.  A liability in my book since people are looking for "change."  

    [ Parent ]
    Somehow the image of the campaign (none / 0) (#125)
    by JavaCityPal on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:01:30 PM EST
    doesn't strike me as energizing.

    [ Parent ]
    We're NOT? (none / 0) (#206)
    by oldpro on Mon May 12, 2008 at 10:53:15 PM EST
    SOME of us are...

    [ Parent ]
    Kay Hutchinson would be a good VP (none / 0) (#259)
    by RalphB on Mon May 12, 2008 at 11:54:13 PM EST
    for McCain.  I disagree that it would be only about getting women voters.  She's been mentioned in GOP circles as a Presidential candidate before.  I'm fairly confident that she will run someday, barring unforeseen circumstances.


    [ Parent ]
    Kay Bailey Hutchison (none / 0) (#274)
    by cmugirl on Tue May 13, 2008 at 08:01:13 AM EST
    I believe has plans to run for governor of Texas,although she would be a good addition to McCain's ticket.

    [