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Election Results Live Thread: First Edition

By Jeralyn, Section Elections 2008
Posted on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:02:23 PM EST
Tags: Texas '08, Ohio '08 (all tags)
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Ohio's polls close in 30 minutes. Big Tent Democrat and I will be live-blogging the results and other election news coverage. We'll start when the polls close.

You can comment same as always in the comment section below. You also can send us live messages through the software. Only comments you post below will appear on the site.

I'll be putting up some polls up. Big Tent's posts will say BTD and mine will be TL.

The live blog stays below the fold so that it can be a bit wider than the front page allows. Just click on the "There's More" button or bookmark the permalink to go directly to it.

If comments hit 200, we'll start a new one.

Update [2008-3-4 19:20:44 by Big Tent Democrat]: Fox states that exit polls show tight races in Rhode Island, Texas and Ohio. Who knows what that could mean.

< Ohio Exit Polls | Huckabee Drops Out, McCain Will Be Nominee >

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    Election Results Live Thread: First Edition | 225 comments (225 topical)

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    CNN declares VT for Obama (5.00 / 1) (#1)
    by fuzzyone on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:06:56 PM EST
    No surprise even with 0% of the precincts.

    Why Vermont, College-Educated, San Francisco (none / 0) (#2)
    by catfish on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:08:26 PM EST
    Any guesses as to why these groups go for Obama?

    My theory: temperament. Obama's temperament is more liberal, even though on economic issues he might be more free-market.

    [ Parent ]

    For me and me only (5.00 / 2) (#6)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:13:37 PM EST
    all his voice modulation seems to soothe "liberal" but his actual record on many issues is not that liberal and Clinton's record on many issues is more liberal.  So I didn't lose my mind I've stayed away from the net since the whole mercenary thing and then Clinton cosponsored the bill getting rid of them in Jan 09.  Has Obama's stance on needing mercs changed these past few days?

    [ Parent ]
    No, he hasn't changed on Mercs (5.00 / 2) (#9)
    by catfish on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:17:08 PM EST
    Can't believe these antiwar voters either don't know or don't care about that.

    [ Parent ]
    Because the anti-war folks (5.00 / 4) (#28)
    by Edgar08 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:27:16 PM EST
    Have let being part of the movement to overtake the party trump their principles on the issue.

    If the DLC suddenly and inexplicably brought Bush up on charges at the Hague while Obama issued pardons in the hopes of creating bipartisanship, well, we know what would happen.

    [ Parent ]

    Wine Track Libs (5.00 / 1) (#7)
    by Dalton Hoffine on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:14:22 PM EST
    I happen to be a wine track liberal. :3 I love wine, at least, and I'm an elitist college student going to a private liberal arts school, so I'm firmly in his demographic.

    I think why Obama does well amongst this demo is due largely to the fact that he comes off as being more... confident and maybe presidential(?) than Clinton. What a lot of Clinton supporters see as arrogance and elitism, we see as confidence and visionary-style leadership.

    To us, I think the issues don't matter as much as the intangibles do. Not necessarily "hope" and "change", but things like... articulation, who has the better image abroad (they both have fantastic images abroad), and who seems like they have the bigger dreams. I think we're more emotional voters than maybe most of the electorate is. Obama, to us, is also heavily liberal (maybe not on economy or health care but in other areas), and we like 'em as leftist as we can get. I'm a self-proclaimed socialist/Marxist, for example.

    [ Parent ]

    yikes! (5.00 / 4) (#14)
    by sarahfdavis on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:21:32 PM EST
    He's not liberal "on the economy and healthcare but in other areas".
    So what would those "other areas" be? You're a socialist/marxist but Obama isn't liberal on economic issues? You're not really making the case for supporting him other than being "more emotional".

    [ Parent ]
    Why go for O? (5.00 / 4) (#11)
    by cmugirl on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:19:17 PM EST
    No clue.  I am a huge HRC fan, but I'm under 40 and I have 3 degrees.  He doesn't appeal to me.  Frankly, the more I hear from him and about him, the more he completely turns me off.  He inspired me when he spoke at the 2004 Dem convention, but now I just see him as another opportunist politician.

    Hillary has her flaws, but with her, we know what we are getting.  He's too unknown, and he didn't come literally out of nowhere and not have some skeletons in his closet.  Too risky.

    [ Parent ]

    I'm gonna tell the truth (5.00 / 1) (#19)
    by Edgar08 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:23:12 PM EST

    My opinion.  These folks aren't acting rationally.  When you have the military folks endorsing Clinton on the one side and people like Capt. Gay Marriage Newsom endorsing on the other, I don't really see much of a rational reason.  Nor have I seen a rational reason expressed by any of these people.

    In the end, all the arguments were based on electability playing up the Clinton polarization meme.

    I haven't really told the truth about what I really think.  It wouldn't go over well.

    The tamest way to say it.

    Sisko came before Janeway.

    [ Parent ]

    Maybe to them Establishment=Conservative (none / 0) (#33)
    by catfish on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:28:30 PM EST
    Because he's not the establishment candidate, he seems more liberal.

    Yeah, I don't voice my opinion in the offline world either.

    [ Parent ]

    Do you think it is irrational of (none / 0) (#74)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:43:15 PM EST
    military folks to endorse Clinton because she voted for the AUMF?

    [ Parent ]
    No (5.00 / 1) (#94)
    by Edgar08 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:48:52 PM EST
    Do we want to discuss that?

    I agreed with Clinton's vote.  I would have a very unpopular opinion on that vote even for this otherwise refreshingly pro-(anti-anti-)Clinton Blog.

    [ Parent ]

    Well, John Kerry gave HRC a pass (none / 0) (#83)
    by oculus on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:47:10 PM EST
    for not reading the NIE.

    [ Parent ]
    If that's why they endorsed her (none / 0) (#85)
    by catfish on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:47:15 PM EST
    it's strange, perhaps irrational.

    But if they endorsed her for other reasons, no.

    [ Parent ]

    These folks aren't acting rationally. (none / 0) (#229)
    by A DC Wonk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:49:05 PM EST
    Who?  All those who prefer Obama?  All 10 million+ who've voted for him before today?  Stellar Senators like Feingold?

    Am I misunderstanding you?

    [ Parent ]

    Feingold (none / 0) (#260)
    by Edgar08 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:05:19 PM EST
    Feingold was also against Kosovo.

    And he voted for Roberts.

    I don't know what would be so questionable about the observation.  

    The college educated are suddenly prone to inspirational acts of faith in things like "bipartisanship," and "transformational change."  These are things that countless Politicians have promised in the past.

    [ Parent ]

    30 minutes! (5.00 / 2) (#3)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:09:27 PM EST
    I wish this night meant less to me than it does.

    Just heard from a Dem friend in Texas (5.00 / 3) (#4)
    by BarnBabe on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:12:04 PM EST
    She has been so excited about Obama. On Super Tuesday she could not sleep the night before. Tonight she is just waiting on the edge of her chair and believe it will all be over tonight. She even got her very very Republican husband to vote for O. So I asked her, would he vote for Obama in the GE or McCain. She said, Oh, no way he would ever vote for a Dem in the GE. Just will not happen. In fact, she added that she is well aware a Dem will never take Texas this year. I have not said who I was for at all and friendships are too important to argue with. But, it just makes me sick over these open primaries. I do not know who had this great idea but I feel so cheated that the Democratic candidate will be chosen not by the Democrats and that goes for Edwards, Obama, or Hillary.  

    I know what you mean about frienships. (none / 0) (#38)
    by Maria Garcia on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:30:32 PM EST
    What I find strange is how many of my friends have just assumed I am for Obama and forward his fundraising emails to me. They never even asked! I don't get that.

    [ Parent ]
    My expectations for Hillary (5.00 / 2) (#5)
    by Coldblue on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:12:35 PM EST
    are very low, so just maybe I'll have another New Hampshire night.

    Not just Andrea... (5.00 / 2) (#22)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:23:32 PM EST
    Keith and Chris both looked like they were either going to cry or have a tantrum earlier.

    I've never seen Keith be so nasty (5.00 / 1) (#238)
    by vigkat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:54:31 PM EST
    It's unattractive.

    [ Parent ]
    That's a better predictor than exit polls! nt (none / 0) (#40)
    by Maria Garcia on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:31:23 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    you want to see a nasty race? (5.00 / 1) (#49)
    by Kathy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:35:45 PM EST
    Backstabbing, charges of religious impropriety, spinning the media to smear your opponent?  Look at what Jefferson did to his rivals.  The man was vicious and used every tool at his disposal, especially to attack John Adams.

    Founding fathers (none / 0) (#91)
    by Arabella Trefoil on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:48:17 PM EST
    Were no band of brothers. They fought bitterly amongst themselves. Hamilton's enemies wrote screeds about him and his mistress. They really knew how to write in those days.

    It was all "asses and elbows" as our basketball playing interns say.

    [ Parent ]

    I have to say it (5.00 / 3) (#59)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:39:09 PM EST
    I hate Howard Fineman.      

    Ha, me too! nt (5.00 / 2) (#67)
    by Maria Garcia on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:42:02 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Me 3 (5.00 / 2) (#72)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:42:49 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Me four (none / 0) (#278)
    by vigkat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:18:08 PM EST
    He has that cringe factor.

    [ Parent ]
    Richardson (5.00 / 4) (#63)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:41:09 PM EST
    walking it back on MSNBC. Now saying the race is wide open if Clinton wins Ohio and Texas by any margin.

    good for him (5.00 / 2) (#70)
    by Turkana on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:42:26 PM EST
    his previous take was ridiculous.

    [ Parent ]
    Ha!!! (5.00 / 2) (#71)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:42:35 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    And the funny thing is (5.00 / 1) (#87)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:47:44 PM EST
    they called him on the phone to get his take!

    [ Parent ]
    So that must mean (none / 0) (#78)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:44:31 PM EST
    that he thinks she's going to lose Texas.

    [ Parent ]
    The reverse I think (none / 0) (#82)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:46:45 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Me, Too (none / 0) (#124)
    by BDB on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:58:21 PM EST
    My guess is that Governor Richardson saw that 67% of Democrats think she should stay in if she wins Ohio OR Texas.  And is worried that she might win both and therefore could still be the next President and he might need a job.

    What a joke.

    [ Parent ]

    I'll give Bill Richardson a pass (none / 0) (#158)
    by Virginian on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:11:41 PM EST
    I think he was probably hedging his comments against the polls at the time...politics...pass

    [ Parent ]
    Richardson (none / 0) (#275)
    by Athena on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:16:14 PM EST
    Can the press please stop covering him and what he thinks about a race that he lost?

    [ Parent ]
    I kind of suspected (none / 0) (#84)
    by spit on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:47:11 PM EST
    having watched Richardson for years, that he didn't mean that last quote the way it came out, and the way it was interpreted.

    No evidence, though, just a suspicion. The guy just... he misspeaks a lot, so I always watch for that.

    [ Parent ]

    I've noticed that as well... (none / 0) (#105)
    by reynwrap582 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:51:23 PM EST
    I liked him at first when he announced, but the more I heard him speak, the more often I cringed.  His appearance at the LOGO forum was extremely disappointing and I think that's about the time I stopped really following his race.

    Wes Clark wasn't exactly on top of being a politician in 2004, and I was a big supporter back when the draft movement started.  It was painful sometimes, especially because I knew what he was trying to say, but the media were coloring his statements in a completely different way.  So... Frustrating...

    [ Parent ]

    Abt Richardson (none / 0) (#93)
    by AmyinSC on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:48:28 PM EST
    I know peple who worked for him at DOE and said he was a huge sexist pig.  I was not surprised that he was trying to get CLnton to drop out - he was probably mad that she did SO much better than he did...

    STILL - NO ONE should be calling for her to drop out - there are still lots of states to go, and people who want to have their say.  When are the Dems going to learn that AMERICANS DO NOT LIKE TO HAVE OUR VOTES DISCOUNTED?!?  Just wondering.

    [ Parent ]

    It sounds like they're holding out (5.00 / 1) (#95)
    by reynwrap582 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:48:58 PM EST
    on calling Ohio because polls in Sandusky(sp?) county are staying open until 9pm.

    Jeralyn, Networks Not Calling Results (5.00 / 1) (#98)
    by BDB on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:49:37 PM EST
    The exit polling is too close for them to be sure it's right.  If their weighting is wrong just a bit, they'll be wrong.  So they'll wait to see some votes to see if they weighted the results right.

    Hmmm...what could this mean? (5.00 / 2) (#107)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:51:32 PM EST
    The exit poll also shows that Obama won Republicans (9% of the vote) by just 10% and Independents (22% of the vote) by just 8%.

    Limbuagh!! (5.00 / 2) (#110)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:52:25 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    I just love you BTD (none / 0) (#118)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:55:52 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Me, Too (5.00 / 1) (#132)
    by BDB on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:00:08 PM EST
    Hearts and Kisses to the Tepid Obama supporter!  And, Jeralyn as well, of course.

    Hey, during down time tonight, why don't folks drop some money in the Talk Left tip jar (or whatever their equivalent is).

    [ Parent ]

    Just knew you'd see the light. (none / 0) (#128)
    by oculus on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:59:06 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    That tracks with some of the late polls (none / 0) (#115)
    by Shawn on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:54:38 PM EST
    I'm going to guess Clinton did better than the exits so that will probably be recalculated.

    [ Parent ]
    Get this... (5.00 / 1) (#119)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:56:49 PM EST
    Watching the Ohio News Network on C-SPAN; the Secretary of State says the Obama camp has violated rules in several counties in Ohio, from campaigning too close to the polling locations to trying to pass some workers as "monitors" in a county when they were not qualified to do so.

    Also, the Obama campaign has sued in another country and is now in front of a judge. No details yet.

    Ah, this is how Obama won in Chicago (none / 0) (#127)
    by Cream City on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:59:04 PM EST
    running others out of the race.

    [ Parent ]
    Suggestion for a poll (5.00 / 1) (#122)
    by blogtopus on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:57:53 PM EST
    How many people here considered themselves as part of the younger crowd until this primary?

    I'm 25 (5.00 / 3) (#129)
    by reynwrap582 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:59:25 PM EST
    and this primary has made me feel like an old fart.

    [ Parent ]
    More than Grey hair (5.00 / 1) (#138)
    by blogtopus on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:03:07 PM EST
    This has made me feel like I should be putting together a bucket list. And I'm 35.

    [ Parent ]
    That's hilarious (5.00 / 1) (#166)
    by NecSorteNecFato on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:18:53 PM EST
    I just turned 24 last week, and I agree, I feel ancient by the political standards of this race.

    [ Parent ]
    Fascinating (none / 0) (#206)
    by catfish on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:35:24 PM EST
    Hope this isn't off-topic but would love to hear what makes you feel old. Is it the hope thing - do people call you cynical for choosing your candidate?

    I'm 38, and yes, feel quite old. My 70-something friends like Obama and look forward to when his "army of young supporters" start changing the country. Ack!

    [ Parent ]

    Sign me up (none / 0) (#155)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:09:56 PM EST
    But I'm 45, so maybe I was kidding myself.


    [ Parent ]
    I didn't think of my self as "young" (none / 0) (#160)
    by vj on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:14:07 PM EST
    But certainly not old.  But this election has made me feel a bit older.  I'm 45.

    [ Parent ]
    Nope, I'm a teacher, so I (none / 0) (#169)
    by Cream City on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:19:49 PM EST
    am reminded daily of how incredibly old I am.

    [ Parent ]
    Right. Me too. I keep getting older and older and (none / 0) (#210)
    by derridog on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:36:52 PM EST
    the students stay always the same age.

    [ Parent ]
    Women like Obama (5.00 / 1) (#130)
    by catfish on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:59:56 PM EST
    Am I the only one to get a misogynist vibe from both the candidate and his campaign?

    No you aren't (5.00 / 2) (#142)
    by Arabella Trefoil on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:03:44 PM EST
    I definitely feel the vibe. I can't quantify it, though.

    [ Parent ]
    You are not alone (5.00 / 1) (#146)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:06:25 PM EST
    But I would say sexist, not necessarily misogynist.

    [ Parent ]
    No. (5.00 / 1) (#149)
    by Boston Boomer on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:07:34 PM EST
    You're not the only one by any means.


    [ Parent ]
    I know it's been counted (5.00 / 1) (#157)
    by Edgar08 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:10:59 PM EST
    But how many women are in Obama's campaign/inner circle?

    [ Parent ]
    Apart from Michelle? (5.00 / 1) (#183)
    by Maria Garcia on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:25:52 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Decidedly no (5.00 / 1) (#170)
    by echinopsia on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:20:32 PM EST
    you are not the only one.

    A non-sexist would not take advantage of the sexism that's been used against Clinton. It would not hurt him to denounce it - it would help him, especially with the demographics that are staunchly pro-Clinton. But he won't do it.

    Not only sexist but a dumb campaign move. I guess he doesn't want to risk losing the misogynist vote.

    [ Parent ]

    Vibe (none / 0) (#257)
    by Athena on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:04:46 PM EST
    No, you're not alone.  A barely disguised contempt is apparent.

    [ Parent ]
    CNN reports Bush and Cheney (5.00 / 3) (#134)
    by Cream City on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:01:40 PM EST
    will be arrested for war crimes if they go to Brattleboro, Vermont, which voted for that measure by about two to one. Blitzer now is asking what that means. Uh, Wolfie, it means that Bush and Cheney will be arrested . . . etc. But this shows how significant the issue of the war is in Vermont -- as it also is reported that it leads all the states in war casualties, per capita.

    I would pay to see that. (5.00 / 1) (#141)
    by Molly Bloom on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:03:43 PM EST

    "Once in a while you get shown the light In the strangest of places if you look at it right"
    [ Parent ]

    We gotta start taking bets.. (none / 0) (#139)
    by reynwrap582 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:03:20 PM EST
    I put my money on the Secret Service over the Brattleboro Police.

    [ Parent ]
    you're right, jeralyn (5.00 / 2) (#144)
    by Turkana on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:05:34 PM EST
    the whole key to clinton's chances is to have a credible argument, for the super delegates. that means winning tonight, winning pa, winning revotes in fl and mi. that would mean big momentum, obama clearly looking like he's stumbling, national polls probably trending clinton, and head-to-heads showing her at least as strong against mccain. it's an inside straight, but not impossible. if she wins tonight...

    Ohio (5.00 / 2) (#152)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:09:13 PM EST
    Ohio New Netwok reports that 59% of voters in Ohio were women. They voted for Clinton by more than a 10 point spread. This is based on exit polling.

    Yay for the new server! (5.00 / 2) (#154)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:09:23 PM EST
    I want HC to win Texas and Ohio so we can see Obama speaking after not having a great night. Maybe he will learn some humility and I'll like him so much more if he goes on to win.

    I thought history has shown (5.00 / 1) (#163)
    by Virginian on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:18:13 PM EST
    he doesn't give speeches after a loss...

    [ Parent ]
    okay, one thing is now clear (5.00 / 1) (#164)
    by Turkana on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:18:36 PM EST
    only 11,000 people voted, in Ohio...

    Texas is looking bad. Especially compared (5.00 / 1) (#168)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:19:09 PM EST
    to exit polls. Too early?

    Very earlky especisally since you have no idea (5.00 / 3) (#171)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:21:02 PM EST
    where the vote is coming from. South Texas is the key to Hillary.

    [ Parent ]
    Based on the awful Texas SOS Website (5.00 / 2) (#186)
    by BDB on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:26:17 PM EST
    It looks like most of it is early voters in Dallas county.  But, again, the SOS website sucks.

    [ Parent ]
    Too early (5.00 / 2) (#177)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:22:50 PM EST
    Obama got some polling stations in Ohio reopened apparently.

    [ Parent ]
    Obama Spin (5.00 / 1) (#175)
    by BDB on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:21:49 PM EST
    Clinton can't win.  As Jerome Armstrong pointed out, neither can Obama!

    Did anyone see that Obama has sued in Ohio? (5.00 / 1) (#176)
    by Jeralyn on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:22:41 PM EST
    Got this by email: The Secretary of State in Ohio says Obama has filed a lawsuit. here's the email.

    Secy of State Brunner just confirmed ton C-Span hat Obama has filed a lawsuit in Cuyahoga County regarding insufficient ballots, although she says that no voters were turned away, and that the polling places were authorized to photocopy ballots where necessary (provisional ballots, I believe). She also said that there have been issues with the Obama campaign all day, so the suit did not surprise her. Her exact words were that there had been "significant difficulties" with the Obama campaign today. She mentioned 2 issues specifically:

    • Obama observers w/out credentials
    • Reports of Obama people standing w/in 100 feet of polling places.

    I believe she said that it is in Sandusky County were they are allowed to photocopy ballots. She said that her office issued a directive on the procedure for hand counting ballots.
    Yes (5.00 / 2) (#184)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:25:54 PM EST
    He wanted to extend the hours for Cleveland claiming that the weather and a lack of ballots has restricted voting.  The judge agreed and extended the polls until 9:00.  

    I think this is why the Ohio results are holding at the same number.

    [ Parent ]

    Case like that was thrown out here (5.00 / 2) (#189)
    by Cream City on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:27:37 PM EST
    in Wisconsin a while ago. As long as ballots are provided -- photocopied is fine -- it's no case. This seems reminiscent of the sort of legalistic, last-minute stuff in Obama's past in Chicago . . . or like a way to cloud the coverage of results if not going his way.

    [ Parent ]
    Yes (none / 0) (#198)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:29:30 PM EST
    Clearly a nefarious plot by Obama.  

    His lawsuit to extend the poll hours is all part of his evil plan.

    [ Parent ]

    Nothing about poll hours (none / 0) (#202)
    by Cream City on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:33:58 PM EST
    in the post to which I replied. Calm down.

    [ Parent ]
    They had some (none / 0) (#207)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:36:16 PM EST
    state official on Fox explaining that the lawsuit is about keeping the polls open.

    [ Parent ]
    The law suit (5.00 / 1) (#193)
    by Arabella Trefoil on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:28:13 PM EST
    is significant news. If Obama's people are crossing the line like this, does it help him to call attention to it?

    I can't wait to hear "But Clinton did it too!" Or "Clinton made it rain!"

    This makes Obama look weak.

    [ Parent ]

    these early texas returns (5.00 / 1) (#182)
    by Turkana on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:25:49 PM EST
    are largely houston, dallas, and austin.

    Why do you say that? (none / 0) (#187)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:26:32 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    go to the cnn site (none / 0) (#197)
    by Turkana on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:29:22 PM EST
    and put your cursor over the county maps.

    [ Parent ]
    Be careful with the data (none / 0) (#204)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:34:44 PM EST
    The cities are still reporting 0% of the delegates on that map.  

    From a sheer numbers pov the vast majority of Dems in Texas will be in the cities.

    [ Parent ]

    if we knew the margins (5.00 / 1) (#211)
    by Turkana on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:37:21 PM EST
    each side needed, in the cities, we could get an idea of where things stand.

    [ Parent ]
    Very true (none / 0) (#218)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:41:46 PM EST
    Heck if we knew how many Dems voted today we would get an idea of what's going on.

    With 800,000 votes already in I have to imagine that is somewhere between 40-50% of the total vote in Texas.  New York has 19 Million people to Texas's 23 but a much more Democratic base.  And they had 1.8 Dem voters.

    [ Parent ]

    and yet it says (none / 0) (#223)
    by Turkana on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:45:47 PM EST
    1% of precincts.

    [ Parent ]
    That's the problem I'm noticing (none / 0) (#228)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:49:01 PM EST
    Ohio has 1% voting and about 20,000 votes.  Texas has 1% voting with 800,000 votes.  What the heck is that all about?  I think they are messing with us.

    [ Parent ]
    early voting? (none / 0) (#236)
    by A DC Wonk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:54:00 PM EST
    Perhaps the 1% means "all the early voting we've collected, plus 1% of precincts reporting for votes cast tonight?"

    That's the only way it makes sense to me -- but I'm just grasping at straws here.

    [ Parent ]

    All early voting (none / 0) (#246)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:57:52 PM EST
    counts as one precinct, I think.

    [ Parent ]
    Blitzer just said (none / 0) (#252)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:01:36 PM EST
    that the 1% represents the number of precincts that have completed counting and that a lot of precincts had provided partial numbers.

    [ Parent ]
    You would be wrong (none / 0) (#232)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:51:20 PM EST
    There will be over 2.5 million votes cast tonight

    [ Parent ]
    2.5 million (none / 0) (#241)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:55:38 PM EST
    votes in the Dem primary?  As I said I didn't know the total vote count.  

    No need to be a snot about it.

    [ Parent ]

    Check RCp (none / 0) (#230)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:49:15 PM EST
    Nothing surprising in the margins YET though Hillary's  margins in the South. It's way early though.

    [ Parent ]
    Someone should tell (5.00 / 1) (#192)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:28:07 PM EST
    Blitzer that Cayuhaga<sp> is still open and that's why the results have been frozen for 30 minutes.

    CNN's map looks like the Texas vote is (5.00 / 1) (#196)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:29:12 PM EST
    from big cities so far.

    gotta love it - (5.00 / 1) (#208)
    by Briana on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:36:47 PM EST
     .. Chuck Todd .. ;)

    Hi All .. . and thanks for doing this ..

    looks like Hillary is doing fine in the rural areas in Texas , so far - on the Cnn map thing anyway .. battle going on in Houston . Hillary 50&
    Obama 49% ..

    HC is racking up in West TX and South TX. (5.00 / 2) (#209)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:36:48 PM EST


    Tiny numbers in those counties though. (none / 0) (#222)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:44:41 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Awwww...gie her a hug! (5.00 / 1) (#212)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:38:58 PM EST
    MSNBC - Andrea Mitchell now saying that, contrary to her previous reports, Clinton will have enough institutional support to continue on after tonight even if she does not win both Ohio and Texas.

    Institutional support.... (none / 0) (#216)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:41:45 PM EST
    Like we crazies at the talk-left asylum? ;-)

    In other words, did she give any specifics?

    [ Parent ]

    That means that the party leaders (none / 0) (#235)
    by Cream City on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:53:37 PM EST
    will not listen to Andrea Mitchell or others in the media but, instead, will listen to the voters. That must be making Andrea's mophead explode.

    [ Parent ]
    Polls staying open (5.00 / 1) (#242)
    by robertearl on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:55:50 PM EST
    In Ohio due to bad weather.

    I cannot stand this anymore (5.00 / 1) (#250)
    by MichaelGale on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:00:20 PM EST
    I am just to anxious.  Will check back later.

    You are doing a great job.  Thank you BTD and TL

    TX Exits released ... (5.00 / 1) (#256)
    by Robot Porter on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:04:45 PM EST
    looks like another win for Hillary

    Turnout:  Women 57, Men 53

    Clinton 53 Women, Obama 52 Men

    Of course ... (none / 0) (#261)
    by Robot Porter on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:05:49 PM EST
    I mean 43 men in turnout.

    [ Parent ]
    CNN Exit poll (5.00 / 1) (#259)
    by Shawn on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:05:06 PM EST
    Hillary ahead 50/49.

    If 14% more women voted, how can it be (none / 0) (#264)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:10:44 PM EST
    that close?

    [ Parent ]
    Headline Chicago Sun-Times today (5.00 / 2) (#266)
    by RalphB on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:12:07 PM EST
    Sen. Obama, time to call us about Rezko: (312) 321-2417

    Come Clean (none / 0) (#271)
    by Athena on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:14:59 PM EST
    Saw that.  The Sun-Times people are really going after him now - emboldened by his poor performance before the press yesterday.

    [ Parent ]
    Dare I point out how thrilling it is (5.00 / 2) (#274)
    by oculus on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:15:56 PM EST
    HRC seems to be beating the odds?

    Still There (none / 0) (#277)
    by Athena on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:17:24 PM EST
    She won't go away....and I'm watching the mourners gather on MSNBC.

    [ Parent ]
    Pesky, isn't she? (none / 0) (#279)
    by oculus on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:18:41 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Tenacious! (none / 0) (#284)
    by echinopsia on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:25:03 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    I'm getting a laugh (none / 0) (#280)
    by Arabella Trefoil on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:19:50 PM EST
    over the folks who demand the HRC step down for the good of the party. C'mon, play fair. Get out of Obama's way.

    [ Parent ]
    my sister just called from a texas caucus (5.00 / 1) (#281)
    by hellothere on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:21:19 PM EST
    i could hear yelling in the background. she cut me off and said she couldn't talk anymore.

    Seneca (none / 0) (#10)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:17:41 PM EST
    Not here. not tonight.

    Go to Daily Kos.

    Honestly, BTD (none / 0) (#20)
    by Seneca on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:23:28 PM EST
    Was that comment uncivil? I expressed my view about a candidate. It certainly is not your view, but it was a reasonable, bona fide view.

    [ Parent ]
    Not here not tonight (none / 0) (#26)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:25:49 PM EST
    Seneca. Go express that "reasonable" view at another web site.

    [ Parent ]
    MSNBC spin (none / 0) (#12)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:19:29 PM EST
    is now that Obama can get more delegates from Vermont than Clinton may get from a win in Ohio and Texas. What is that about? Weird and funny spin.

    Andrea Mitchel looks like she is going to a wake.

    Heh ... (none / 0) (#13)
    by Robot Porter on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:21:23 PM EST
    will they be putting on their mourning clothes before the night is over?

    [ Parent ]
    Mitchell (none / 0) (#15)
    by Shawn on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:22:07 PM EST
    Andrea Mitchel looks like she is going to a wake.

    Whose?


    [ Parent ]

    Gloria Borger on CNN (none / 0) (#17)
    by Coldblue on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:22:23 PM EST
    said pretty much the same thing.

    [ Parent ]
    Good news about Mitchell (none / 0) (#18)
    by Kathy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:22:37 PM EST
    they always look so depressed when they think Clinton might win.

    [ Parent ]
    Yeah (none / 0) (#21)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:23:31 PM EST
    but what color is her pantsuit?

    [ Parent ]
    So Because Obama Won Vermont (none / 0) (#66)
    by BDB on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:41:36 PM EST
    it won't matter if Clinton wins Texas and Ohio?  And they complain about Clinton moving the goal posts.

    [ Parent ]
    Liberalism (none / 0) (#25)
    by Dalton Hoffine on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:25:14 PM EST
    Specifically, I like Obama's stances on federal student aid funding (as well as Clintons--Obama's are a bit more promising), his former support of single-payer health systems (I don't believe much either of them say in the race), his globalist voting record, and strong support for veterans' rights and the environment.

    I also like the sort of "High Broderism" that has been critiqued a lot lately. I don't care too much about Democrats or Republicans, and I'm not for firm standing on issues--I'd rather make compromise after compromise as long as we get things done, because I think it's the best way to get to the heart of most of America.

    I have to ask which Republicans can Democrats (5.00 / 1) (#104)
    by Molly Bloom on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:51:17 PM EST
    compromise with?

    I am fairly pragmatic, I just don't this version of the GOP compromising... on anything. The Bob Michael Republicans (the old compromisers) were taken out back by the Newt- Delay gang and shot at dawn.

    "Once in a while you get shown the light In the strangest of places if you look at it right"
    [ Parent ]

    To name a few: (none / 0) (#116)
    by Dalton Hoffine on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:54:55 PM EST
    I think folks like McCain, Lugar, and folks closer to the "Log Cabin Republican" base have perfectly rational minds and great thoughts. I think the 'Pubs are gonna go back towards moderatism with McCain, though. The evangelical base is dwindling and in disarray. Some are even coming over towards the left.

    [ Parent ]
    Neither McCain nor Luger are moderate (none / 0) (#137)
    by Molly Bloom on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:02:15 PM EST
    both are right wing- though not tele evangelist right wing.  McCain will not cede an inch on Iraq, though Luger might.

    That's two Repbulicans- neither are what I would call Bob Michael Republicans. Will they give on judges? How about FISA? How about tax cuts for the rich? Will they vote to raise taxes if necessary?

    My answer would be maybe, no, no and no.

    "Once in a while you get shown the light In the strangest of places if you look at it right"
    [ Parent ]

    But your a Marxist/Socialist? (none / 0) (#51)
    by catfish on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:36:09 PM EST
    I'm a self-proclaimed socialist/Marxist, for example.

    But you don't care about Democrats or Republicans?

    I also like the sort of "High Broderism" that has been critiqued a lot lately. I don't care too much about Democrats or Republicans, and I'm not for firm standing on issues--I'd rather make compromise after compromise as long as we get things done, because I think it's the best way to get to the heart of most of America.

    So you're a pragmatist?

    My head hurts.

    [ Parent ]

    Go Jeralyn! I can only imagine how bad (none / 0) (#31)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:28:09 PM EST
    Berstein is for you to say that.

    Risks (none / 0) (#32)
    by Dalton Hoffine on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:28:28 PM EST
    I think we realize the risks involved here with picking someone new.

    Something that resonates heavily with us is the argument that just because he doesn't have experience, that doesn't mean he's incompetent.

    Every day, we hear from potential employers "You have no experience. Sorry.", but we think that we could do a really good job. We get hit with the reverse end of ageism, where there's no confidence in us just because we're young and unproven. So his message resonates a bit more than the familiar refrain of "experience, experience, experience."

    Not saying it's a bad thing. I just think some of us feel a little offended by it.

    CNN OH Exit poll: (none / 0) (#39)
    by andgarden on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:31:00 PM EST
    Clinton

    Obama

    Male
    (41%)
    47%
    52%

    Female
    (59%)
    54%
    45%

    Umj Hillaryt won (none / 0) (#44)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:32:59 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    If those numbers are accurate (none / 0) (#61)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:40:07 PM EST
    then why can't they call the election?  That is pretty overwhelming.

    [ Parent ]
    Naw (none / 0) (#62)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:40:52 PM EST
    About 5 points.

    [ Parent ]
    59% women (none / 0) (#101)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:50:00 PM EST
    seems awful high.

    [ Parent ]
    I tell you what seems sketchy (5.00 / 1) (#108)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:51:58 PM EST
    The 9 point spread. I bet it wasbigger.

    I say Clinton won by 6.

    [ Parent ]

    Not really (none / 0) (#106)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:51:26 PM EST
    57 58 has been the norm.

    [ Parent ]
    Got some polls still open (none / 0) (#69)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:42:21 PM EST
    in Ohio. I think Jeralyn said so, yes?

    [ Parent ]
    It's three points (none / 0) (#97)
    by Shawn on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:49:37 PM EST
    And the networks, post Florida-2000, don't call anything unless it's well over double-digits. It took them almost thirty minutes to call Wisconsin for Obama.

    [ Parent ]
    I'm lost here, andgarden (none / 0) (#47)
    by Kathy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:34:13 PM EST
    formatting got outta whack.  Which is which?

    [ Parent ]
    It shows Hillary ahead (none / 0) (#50)
    by andgarden on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:35:53 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    okay (none / 0) (#55)
    by Kathy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:37:38 PM EST
    well, let's be honest, that was how I was inclined to read it anyway!

    [ Parent ]
    Have you done theSUSA comparison yet? (none / 0) (#113)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:54:03 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Tweety's spinning Hillary wins as .. (none / 0) (#46)
    by Robot Porter on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:33:25 PM EST
    bad for Democrats, good for Republicans.

    Are there more GOPs now than in 2004? (none / 0) (#58)
    by Cream City on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:39:00 PM EST
    From pollster.com: "A few minutes ago, MSNBC's Nora O'Donnell reported two key statistics from the very preliminary exit poll tabulations from Texas and Ohio. In Ohio, 22% of Democratic primary voters described themselves as independent and 10% as Republican, that compares to 24% and 2% respectively in 2004. In Texas, 24% in the early tabulations are independent and 10% Republican (which compares to 20% and 5% respectively in 2004). For what it's worth, the combined non-Democrat percentage in Ohio is 8 to 15 percentage points higher than any of the pre-election polls that released party ID results. In Texas, that number is on the high side of what public polls were showing."

    [ Parent ]
    I've said for a while she is more electable (none / 0) (#112)
    by catfish on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:53:38 PM EST
    Dang wish I kept up my blog because I said it a while ago and I can say "see - I said this."

    One reason is her temperament is like a Republican's temperament - the Myers-Briggs article on Slate put Hillary and Harry Truman in the same category.

    And she grows on people, so the Hillary Hate wears off. OK, she doesn't grow on all people. But a lot of people.

    [ Parent ]

    Great observation (5.00 / 1) (#135)
    by Arabella Trefoil on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:01:46 PM EST
    That's an excellent point. Do you mind if I use it? Obama is a case of "the more you know him, the less you like him." Note how he limits access to the press. He totally bombed the other day when reporters overpowered him with eight questions.

    [ Parent ]
    interesting (5.00 / 1) (#159)
    by cpinva on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:13:36 PM EST
    i caught sen. clinton on the daily show last nite. she was hysterically funny. it was obvious she was tired, but she jumped right in with jon stewart; invited him to ohio so he could make fun of her and her staff in person!

    she reinforced her image for me: smart, great sense of humor and just a genuinely nice person. i feel better than ever that i voted for her. with any luck, i'll get the opportunity to do so in the GE.

    [ Parent ]

    Also her lack of vanity (none / 0) (#215)
    by catfish on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:41:43 PM EST
    IMO she isn't very vain. It's a problem b/c (again IMO) she doesn't realize how important it is for her to introduce the "real Hillary" to the country. But something tells me she has no patience for that.

    She (IMO) just likes to work and set goals and work some more. Would think the Repubs would like that too (but not readily admit it.)

    [ Parent ]

    Yes. (none / 0) (#96)
    by Dalton Hoffine on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:49:08 PM EST
    How come?

    Vermont (none / 0) (#102)
    by Lefty Bag on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:50:23 PM EST
    I know there is a lot I don't understand but how can anyone call a State with 1% reporting?  Is there NO chance of the trend changing?

    HRC stays in the race (none / 0) (#126)
    by Arabella Trefoil on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 06:58:38 PM EST
    Obama supporters say that Hillary should drop out "for the good of the party." Why doesn't anybody say that about Obama? He must be scared of continuing the contest.

    The non-stop HRC bashing is pornographic. Will these HRC-bashing folks to work to win the election for the Dems? I sure hope so.

    Obama has not taken Hillary out. And the nomination will not be over tonight. The super delegates may decide it. Or either candidate may have to drop out. We're covered because we have two good candidates. Not like the Republicans who have no fallback.

    Go Dems

    Fox sez (none / 0) (#140)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:03:42 PM EST
    Obama campaign thinks it can win Ohio and that's why it's asking that some polls remain open.  I know, it's Fox, but their election night coverage hasn't been awful.

    sniff sniff sniff (none / 0) (#145)
    by Arabella Trefoil on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:05:35 PM EST
    Faint odor of desperation, maybe. What about the "dirty tricks" I read about earlier?

    [ Parent ]
    Fox is wrong (none / 0) (#151)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:08:22 PM EST
    you can watch the hering in Ohio on C-Span right now. Ohio News Network.

    He needs Ohio (5.00 / 2) (#178)
    by Arabella Trefoil on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:23:16 PM EST
    He needs it tonight! It looks as if his campaign is pulling out all the stops, including engaging in illegal activities at the polling places. And he's suing some precincts as well? He must really, really need to get this over with quickly.

    He and his people know that some really bad stuff is about to hit the fan. Maybe tomorrow the media will gang up on Obama by making him answer more than eight answers.

    It's not going to be over for a long time.

    [ Parent ]

    For this reason (5.00 / 1) (#190)
    by blogtopus on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:27:49 PM EST
    more than most I think Hillary will decide to stay in the race, even if she doesn't win Ohio or Texas. Too many shenanigans, she can claim monkey business and stay in it.

    [ Parent ]
    Very true (5.00 / 1) (#200)
    by Arabella Trefoil on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:31:46 PM EST
    Clinton shows her strengths on this kind of battlefield. She can outlast Obama, no worries. No wonder Obama wants this over quickly. He is used to playing on his own terms. It ain't on his terms any more. He can win a war of nerves.

    [ Parent ]
    If he isn't a media darling (none / 0) (#188)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:27:00 PM EST
    I don't how much stamina he really has.

    [ Parent ]
    I would like to know (none / 0) (#162)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:17:28 PM EST
    how they are releasing exit polls on Ohio when their biggest district is still open.

    The show must go on. n/t (none / 0) (#165)
    by vj on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:18:40 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Texas too (none / 0) (#167)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:19:04 PM EST
    Polls not closed yet but they're reporting.

    [ Parent ]
    IMHO: It's a travesty (none / 0) (#174)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:21:41 PM EST
    that they're doing that.

    [ Parent ]
    Must be the early voting returns (none / 0) (#172)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:21:21 PM EST
    Sen. Obama was supposed to have done well in early voting.

    [ Parent ]
    I think that they must tally (none / 0) (#243)
    by Kathy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:55:51 PM EST
    the absentee/early ballots ahead of time and release the info as soon as the polls close.  That's how it was done during the last election I worked (which was also Clinton).  That's why you see numbers despite 0% or 1% polls reporting.

    I am very heartened (unlike Mitchell) that the higher ups are now saying that Clinton should continue.  Maybe logic is coming back?  Will be interesting to see what the spin is tomorrow.

    It is my opinion that any candidate should think very long and very hard before filing a lawsuit over anything.  I also believe that a lot of these first-timers from out of state are causing a lot of problems.  Especially in states like TX, where outsiders are welcomed but still considered outsiders, this is a problem.

    [ Parent ]

    TPM (none / 0) (#173)
    by Lefty Bag on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:21:23 PM EST
    Does TPM have their numbers reversed?

    TEXAS

    Clinton
    57%
    1,782

    Obama
    35%
    1,080

    Whjo knows? (none / 0) (#179)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:23:25 PM EST
    Who cares?

    [ Parent ]
    Check CNN (none / 0) (#180)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:23:48 PM EST
    They are starting to calculate Texas.

    Link

    [ Parent ]

    Another I don't get (none / 0) (#181)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:24:26 PM EST
    750,000 votes in already and that is less than 1% of the precincts?

    Doing the math that would mean....  75 million voters in Texas?  :)

    FYI: I understand how it works.  I just find it funny.  

    Only one answer: (none / 0) (#185)
    by Robot Porter on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:26:02 PM EST
    Don't mess with Texas.

    They're 75 million strong!  

    [ Parent ]

    Includes the dead ;-) (none / 0) (#194)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:28:48 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Precinct is not (none / 0) (#199)
    by Virginian on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:30:30 PM EST
    reflective of population...one precinct may have 1000 people and another 100,000.

    [ Parent ]
    Enough chatter, ok (none / 0) (#191)
    by Jeralyn on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:28:02 PM EST
    This is an elections results thread.

    Jonathan Chait does the exit poll math (none / 0) (#195)
    by fuzzyone on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:29:09 PM EST
    And says Hillary 51 - Obama 48.  He does not show his work and I don't do math but given the gender numbers that seems like it makes sense (and is, as he says, within the margin of error which I assume is why they are not calling it.)

    That's the math (none / 0) (#203)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:34:31 PM EST
    in Ohio.

    [ Parent ]
    Starting to get more (none / 0) (#201)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:32:17 PM EST
    results from Ohio

    via CNN.

    Hey, You Can Be Like John King! (none / 0) (#205)
    by BDB on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:34:58 PM EST
    That's what Wolf Blitzer just told me.  I hope he doesn't mind if I pass.

    crunching the numbers... (none / 0) (#213)
    by mike in dc on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:40:20 PM EST
    ...looks like a probable pop vote win for Obama in TX, and a narrow win for Clinton in Ohio.  
    Kinda wonder about RI, too.

    Crunching what numbers? (5.00 / 1) (#214)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:41:34 PM EST
    No exit polls out for Texas yet.

    [ Parent ]
    Over 800,000 (none / 0) (#219)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:43:30 PM EST
    votes in already in Texas with Obama holding a 13 point lead.  

    [ Parent ]
    800,000 votes in means just (5.00 / 1) (#239)
    by Militarytracy on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:54:49 PM EST
    about zilch in Texas.  Then take a look at where those big numbers are coming from and you have zilch x 2.  It is going to be long Texas night.

    [ Parent ]
    Um (none / 0) (#226)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:48:03 PM EST
    Sure but they are not evenly spread. Well, Ok, Obama wins by 18. you are right. Sheesh.

    [ Parent ]
    No one said that BTD (none / 0) (#234)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:53:09 PM EST
    Mike said that Obama is probably going to get the pop vote win in Texas.  

    If we assume that Texas winds up with about the same number of voters as New York that means that Hillary would essentially win the REMAINING votes by 15 points or so.

    I don't think that Obama is going to wind up with a 15 point win. But it would seem likely that he will get the popular vote win.

    Now what could really muck with those numbers is if the turnout is surprisingly high in Texas.  However if that does occur that would indicate to me a lot of GOP voters coming over to the Dem primary.  
     

    [ Parent ]

    He said he crunched nuymbers (5.00 / 1) (#240)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:55:32 PM EST
    I asked what numbers? The exit polls are not out. These early returns are from Dallas Houston and Austin and San Antonio.

    West Texas is not even closed yet.

    My question made sense.

    [ Parent ]

    Say What?! (none / 0) (#217)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:41:46 PM EST
    Nora on MSNBC is saying Clinton's base came home in Ohio and she is winning among men!! Is this true?!?!?

    If so, isn't it all Canada's fault? (none / 0) (#220)
    by oculus on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:43:47 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    White men ... (none / 0) (#221)
    by Robot Porter on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:44:15 PM EST
    is what she said, I believe.

    [ Parent ]
    Still... (none / 0) (#225)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:47:24 PM EST
    And that lead in Texasis already closing. He won't hold it.

    [ Parent ]
    Britt Hume and some woman (none / 0) (#224)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:47:02 PM EST
    were talking about coming up with a strategy for McCain to win.  I started getting nauseous and had to change the channel to CNN.

    MSNBarack ... (none / 0) (#227)
    by Robot Porter on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:48:48 PM EST
    claiming Hillary's the candidate of fear, comparing her to Bush.
    Not the candidate (none / 0) (#244)
    by Arabella Trefoil on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:56:34 PM EST
    OF fear. Hillary is the candidate TO fear. She'll just keep comin' at ya.

    [ Parent ]
    KO is playing dumb about why it would be (none / 0) (#233)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:52:13 PM EST
    an advantage to have the caucus forms early.

    Not playing (5.00 / 3) (#237)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:54:10 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Obama's lawsuit... (none / 0) (#245)
    by robertearl on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:56:56 PM EST
    was filed because of polling places in being flooded in Northern Ohio

    I can just see them now, rounding up every (none / 0) (#247)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:59:38 PM EST
    registered voter they can find. Oh well, that beats a caucus where they won't hold the vote open until you can get there.

    Big turn out for Obama in Texas (none / 0) (#248)
    by robertearl on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 07:59:47 PM EST
    Harris County: Obama 62.1 percent, Clinton 37.4 percent.

    Dallas County: Obama 65.9 percent, Clinton 33.5 percent.

    Travis County: Obama 65 percent, Clinton 34.4 percent.

    Tarrant County: Obama 58.9 percent, Clinton 40.6 percent.

    Still just early voters (5.00 / 1) (#253)
    by Democratic Cat on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:02:40 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Just read (none / 0) (#249)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:00:09 PM EST
    BTD's blog statement that 3.6 million voters in the Dem.  That is a massive number.  

    Even assuming that Texas was predominantly Democratic, which we know it isn't,that would suggest that over 60% of all Democrats voted in the primary.  And in reality that number would be close to 75%.

    Traffic (none / 0) (#251)
    by robertearl on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:01:10 PM EST
    There are apparently traffic jams to get to the caucuses in Texas.  That's what fox is reporting.

    From Fox's exit polls in Ohio and Texas: (none / 0) (#254)
    by robertearl on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:04:24 PM EST
    More than half say they would be dissatisfied if their candidate does not win the nomination.

    Like I've been saying, this is very bad news for Dems. Shooting ourselves in the foot?

    Then again,,,,it is Fox News

    exits for Texas. HC won the female vote by (none / 0) (#255)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:04:43 PM EST
    one more than O did the men plus more women voted. That looks better.

    Obama (none / 0) (#258)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:05:03 PM EST
    filed his lawsuit because of ballots...I don't know where the weather talk is comng from.

    The sec of state in ohio is also talking of the Obama's campaigns shenanigans in Ohio as well...

    Check CNN (none / 0) (#262)
    by robertearl on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:07:24 PM EST
    They've been talking about the weather all day

    [ Parent ]
    Yes...CNN has (none / 0) (#273)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:15:31 PM EST
    but that is NOT why Obama filed the lawsuit.

    it was over ballots and the SEC of State said he was lying. They also have issues with stuff pulled by the Obama campaign. Some watched the court hearing on Cspan.

    [ Parent ]

    Huckabee has just dropped out (none / 0) (#263)
    by flyerhawk on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:09:47 PM EST
    Teh crazy is dead.

    Who will tell (5.00 / 2) (#265)
    by Shawn on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:11:02 PM EST
    Chuck Norris?

    [ Parent ]
    Oh bless his heart (none / 0) (#268)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:12:29 PM EST
    I liked him (not his politics).


    [ Parent ]
    He still has time to secede from the union n/t (none / 0) (#270)
    by lilburro on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:14:07 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Rush Limbaugh (none / 0) (#267)
    by robertearl on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:12:10 PM EST
    Has told republicans to vote for Hillary in Texas.
    Could this be a key to her victory if she were to win Texas?

    93% ? (none / 0) (#269)
    by Briana on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:12:37 PM EST
    most likely to win in Nov Hillary .. wow ! what a stat ..

    Anyone know where (none / 0) (#272)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:15:30 PM EST
    I can get SNL ratings?  I'm wondering how good they were last week.  Better, worse than the week before?  

    zap2it.com doesn't have them.

    Jeralyn, Go to CNN and start all over on the (none / 0) (#276)
    by Teresa on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:17:00 PM EST
    exits. Vote by age is the second category.

    CNN, 5% in -- in Ohio (none / 0) (#282)
    by Cream City on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:23:26 PM EST
    it's 60-38, Clinton over Obama (online update).

    [ Parent ]
    RI (none / 0) (#283)
    by americanincanada on Tue Mar 04, 2008 at 08:23:55 PM EST
    Fox just called RI for Hillary.

    Election Results Live Thread: First Edition | 225 comments (225 topical)

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