The Cult Responds
They got me. You see I wrote this:
I am sorry to continue to harp on the need for a Unity Ticket, but I feel it is important. . . . [I]s no one but me worried about needing a unified Democratic Party in November? I pray there are grownups in the Obama camp that will give him a reality check on this.
See what a concern troll I was? I wanted a Unity Ticket!! You see, I thought that was the surest (the Cult does not understand the concept of maximizing your chances) bet for winning in November. But the funny thing is they could have gone even further back. I wanted a Unity ticket after Super Tuesday. But I guess they missed my August 6, 2008 post explaining Why Obama Is A Shoo In And How He Can Win In a Landslide:
The latest CBS News poll (PDF) tells you all you need to know as to why Obama is a shoo in in this election and what he needs to do to win a landslide. The poll has Obama leading 45-39 over McCain, the same margin he has held now for 3 months. But Obama is not winning by wooing Independents or Republicans. Heck, he is not even dominating Dems as he should. He is winning, and is a shoo in, because the country hates Republicans. Starting with George Bush who has a 25% approval rating.
Obama wins because Dems lead Republicans in party ID by 7 to 10 points. McCain does better with Republicans, 78-11, than Obama does with Democrats, 74-10, while they split Independents 40-40. But there are more Democrats than Republicans now. That is why Obama is winning.
And how does Obama lock in the win in this election and achieve a landslide? By closing the deal with Clinton supporters. The polls shows that Obama only wins Clinton supporters 52-19 with 24% undecided. McCain leads among white women by 42-38 with 17% undecided.
Pick Hillary as his VP and Obama will win in a landslide - a 7 to 10 point win. Don't pick her and it will be a 2-5 point win. It is that simple, as it has been since June.
Obama won by 6.5 points (My exact prediction for those who care). What happened between August 6 and November 4? Anyone care to guess?
Finally, the Cult still will not discuss the issue at hand - John Brennan and his positions on domestic wiretapping and torture.
Update - What is the argument here? I am not sure what the quibble is?
Further Update - the Cult is still scanning my posts and adding to his post. He finally found one I got totally wrong. My mistake was this - like Mark Penn's actually - I did not realize that Obama would utterly dominate the caucuses. I think this held true in the primaries - "He can not win women, Latinos, older voters and lower income non-African Americans." He did not win women, Latinos older voters and lower income non-African American voters. but he ran up the score in the caucuses and one by a very thin margin. You got me on that one Cult.
By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only
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