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WaPo/ABC Tracker: Steady Obama 8 Point Lead

By Big Tent Democrat, Section Elections 2008
Posted on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 04:28:32 PM EST
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In marked contrast to other polls, the WaPo/ABC tracking poll has been incredibly consistent, Obama has led by 8 or 9 for a week now. Today he leads by 52-44.

The tale will be told on Election Day, but if this poll is accurate, you could argue that these last 2 weeks of campaigning have had no effect at all.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

< The New Lieberman | NYT/CBS Poll: Obama by 11 >

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    WaPo/ABC Tracker: Steady Obama 8 Point Lead | 16 comments (16 topical)

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    foxnews (5.00 / 2) (#4)
    by Jlvngstn on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 04:43:22 PM EST
    has been running it is a 3 point game all day.  I don't believe the polls mean anything for the past ten days either.  Wish I could tivo life to the election and get it over wit....

    Fox drives me crazy, but so does Olbermann (5.00 / 2) (#10)
    by barryluda on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 06:19:19 PM EST
    But at least Olbermann doesn't pretend what he does is news.

    And for some reason, I now am really liking Rachel Maddow.

    Parent

    i cant do ko and still have not warmed (none / 0) (#13)
    by Jlvngstn on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 07:17:21 PM EST
    to rachel.

    Parent
    Of course, KO pretends to be a journalist (none / 0) (#14)
    by Cream City on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 07:28:29 PM EST
    Did you think Edward R. Murrow was a Hollywood movie star?  An early media bloviator ala KO?

    Parent
    you could, (5.00 / 1) (#6)
    by cpinva on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 04:57:13 PM EST
    you could argue that these last 2 weeks of campaigning have had no effect at all.

    but you'd be wrong. it's given the mccain/palin campaign, and all the "conservative" media, the opportunity to go truly batsh*t crazy.

    that alone was worth the price of admission.

    I do think (none / 0) (#1)
    by zvs888 on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 04:32:13 PM EST
    There were like 2 days, Sunday and Tuesday which had relatively strong McCain polling days if you watched Rasmussen.

    But the other days including yesterday were back to normal, so I do think they were just blips.  Rasmussen is back to where it was before...

    Interesting (none / 0) (#2)
    by andgarden on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 04:37:32 PM EST
    You mentioned the other day that you think Gary Langer is very good. If that's right, and he's right about this, Obama is going to have a superb Tuesday night.

    Incidentally, I think we should be prepared for a tsunami of polling between now and Monday. I am salivating at the prospect.

    so the 4 points of undecided (none / 0) (#3)
    by coigue on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 04:41:34 PM EST
    are still not sharing with them. Hopefully something that McCain says will not stick for them

    Don't forget the stable Battleground poll! (none / 0) (#5)
    by steviez314 on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 04:52:43 PM EST
    Their graph has flatlined.  The election should be declared dead and buried.

    Registering to vote and voting is a big difference (none / 0) (#7)
    by Saul on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 05:40:31 PM EST
    Let's see if the young are voting.  Most of the people I see in early voting are seniors 40 years on up.  I don't see a whole lot of young voters 30 on down in the voting lines.  Maybe Tuesday will be different.  I'm in Texas which is not a battle ground state and will probably go to McCain

    re" seniors 40 years on up" (5.00 / 2) (#11)
    by oculus on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 06:31:58 PM EST
    Is the AARP aware of this definition?

    Parent
    Hooray (5.00 / 1) (#15)
    by Steve M on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 07:34:53 PM EST
    only 2 years till I get cheap coffee!

    Parent
    Orlando paper sees the same thing (5.00 / 1) (#12)
    by Cream City on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 06:59:56 PM EST
    with low to almost nonexistent youth voting.  But why was there an expectation that they'd vote early?  It's a procrastinating age group.

    Will they vote at all?  Dunno -- but talked to an Obama-mad young relative yesterday, covered with buttons galore, and she mentioned that she never had quite gotten to the polls in the primaries but sure was gonna get out next week . . . and then asked which day next week was election day, anyway?:-)

    Orlando paper does see huge black early voting turnout, though.  Again, though, no evidence as to whether that has any connection with election-day voting.  It would seem arguable that it could be unrepresentative, i.e., a group of people (no matter their race -- maybe they're older, maybe they're 12-hour hospital workers, whichever) that could not get to polls next Tuesday, and exactly the reason they're voting now.

    Parent

    Probably? (none / 0) (#9)
    by Thanin on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 06:15:26 PM EST


    Parent
    Our Apparent Good Futune (none / 0) (#8)
    by leovaldo on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 06:03:06 PM EST
    Being guilty of jumping the gun and sticking my nose out, I am very grateful to the holy forces that be, especially to President George W. Bush for without his horrendous incompetence and stupidity, not to mention his apparent desire to destroy this democracy and its economy, none of this would have happened, at least the way it did.
    So many Republicans have come to realize how wrong they were. In me it causes joyfulness.
    leovaldo

    Well,,they are cutting costs (none / 0) (#16)
    by joanneleon on Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 07:42:43 PM EST
    and laying people off like crazy at news agencies lately.  Maybe they just tweak the numbers and republish every day ;)

    Just kidding, of course.

    WaPo/ABC Tracker: Steady Obama 8 Point Lead | 16 comments (16 topical)

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