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Suffolk NH Poll: A Tie

By Big Tent Democrat, Section Elections 2008
Posted on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 12:00:34 PM EST
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Their latest tracker:

Clinton 35 (36)
Obama 33 (29)
Edwards 14 (13))
Richardson 5(5)
1/4-5

Obama is surging. Clinton stagnant. Edwards dead in the water at 20 points behind. What effect will the debate have? We'll see.

On the GOP side, Romney up 4 in this poll over McCain. Ron Paul in 3rd.

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    Suffolk NH Poll: A Tie | 19 comments (19 topical)

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    This isn't UNH (none / 0) (#1)
    by illissius on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 12:20:41 PM EST
    it's just Suffolk. UNH partners with CNN, Suffolk is separate. This is relevant because UNH is one of the most respected and Suffolk one of the least. http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_of_pollsters_rating_the_n.php

    My Bad (none / 0) (#2)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 12:24:58 PM EST


    Parent
    however rassmussen (none / 0) (#3)
    by skippybkroo on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 12:40:41 PM EST
    rassmussen has obama up 10 points in all of nh.

    12 actually (none / 0) (#4)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 12:58:49 PM EST
    See my post below.

    Parent
    The Inevitable Obama Bounce (none / 0) (#5)
    by Aaron on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 01:35:00 PM EST
    RCP Average 01/02 to 01/05

    Obama -- 34.3%

    Clinton -- 30.9%

    Edwards -- 18.9%

    He's a shoo in I think (none / 0) (#6)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 01:58:20 PM EST


    Parent
    Agree. Latter day JFK. (none / 0) (#7)
    by oculus on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 02:08:37 PM EST


    Parent
    I am waiting for (none / 0) (#8)
    by Judith on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 02:46:01 PM EST
    the big states to weigh in. But if he can pull in all sorts of epople who wouldnt otherwise vote then I think you may well be right.

    I am praying for competence.

    Parent

    She's in trouble (none / 0) (#9)
    by DA in LA on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 03:38:04 PM EST
    If she attacks him, it is the "same old, same old" going after the politics of hope and change, the old guard attacking the new guy who offers something good.

    Early on I thought his rhetoric as dumb, now I see it as effective because of his front runner status.

    I still think he'll get his clock cleaned in the general, but that's another story...

    Parent

    Any prediction on how California (none / 0) (#10)
    by oculus on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 03:44:00 PM EST
    will go?  Who has which movie stars on board anyhow?  I think whichever Dem. is willing to stand up publically for Roe v. Wade takes CA.

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    No prediction. Too early (none / 0) (#11)
    by DA in LA on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 03:49:41 PM EST
    Roe v Wade will not have anything close to the impact that the war and health care will here.

    Right now the state favors Hillary.  Independents cannot vote in primaries, so gives her a better chance..

    I'm really at a loss because it has been such a long time since voting in California actually mattered.

    They really need to fix this primary mess.

    Parent

    Can't remember. How long before (none / 0) (#12)
    by oculus on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 03:59:07 PM EST
    the primary do independents have to change registration and still vote in the primary?

    Parent
    California (none / 0) (#13)
    by DA in LA on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 04:22:12 PM EST
    deadline is January 22nd.

    Parent
    Good idea or bad idea on (none / 0) (#14)
    by oculus on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 04:25:52 PM EST
    the part of Hillary Clinton's campaign?

    Clinton NH MAILER

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    I think it is a legitimate critique (none / 0) (#15)
    by DA in LA on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 04:44:12 PM EST
    But not in the way it was framed.

    I also don't think it is an issue Dems should be fighting over when they are both pro-choice.

    Parent

    She has to do something to trumpet her (none / 0) (#16)
    by oculus on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 04:47:13 PM EST
    pro-choice cred to women who do care about this issue.  Not sure this was the best way to bring it up though.  

    Parent
    Yeah, I understand. (none / 0) (#17)
    by DA in LA on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 05:34:22 PM EST
    She lost the female vote.  Very surprising.  But, as my wife says, "I wish the first woman who had a shot at being president was better than the men.  Hillary is just the same thing."

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    Interesting. But she thinks (none / 0) (#18)
    by oculus on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 05:40:57 PM EST
    Obama isn't "just the same" apparently.

    Parent
    True (none / 0) (#19)
    by illissius on Sun Jan 06, 2008 at 06:40:06 PM EST
    but her strategy to turn out the female vote did work, to a degree. It was just that Obama's strategy of turning out various demographics irrespective of gender worked better. Hillary got 7% more votes from women than men (30-23), but Obama got more from both (35).

    Parent
    Suffolk NH Poll: A Tie | 19 comments (19 topical)

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