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Clinton And Obama Lead In Entrance Polls

By Big Tent Democrat, Section Elections 2008
Posted on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:01:41 PM EST
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Update [2008-1-3 20:38:37 by Big Tent Democrat]: CNN - 56% women, 26% Independents. Axelrod says anecdotal of evidence of over 200,000 turnout. No idea if Axelrod knows or is blowing smoke.

Update [2008-1-3 20:21:56 by Big Tent Democrat]:

Half are first time caucusgoers and a ton of older women. Singer says Entrance polls says Clinton 36, Obama 31.

Via Todd Beeton:

130,000 Iowans expected to vote in Democratic caucus; 80,000 expected to vote in Republican caucus.

Keith Olbermann just said Obama and Clinton leading in Entrance Polls. Apparently too close to call.

Edwards 3rd.

Update [2008-1-3 20:7:59 by Big Tent Democrat]:Huckabee and Romney apparently close according to exit polls.

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    Clinton And Obama Lead In Entrance Polls | 15 comments (15 topical)

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    130,000? (none / 0) (#1)
    by BDB on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:03:25 PM EST
    Seems low to me.  But what do I know?

    We knew it would be too close to call (none / 0) (#2)
    by Maryb2004 on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:03:44 PM EST
    but 130,000 doesn't seem to hit the numbers Obama needs as a general matter.  Unless most of them are new.

    I thought he was hoping for over 150,000?

    that 130,000 (none / 0) (#3)
    by commissar on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:07:44 PM EST
    look at todd beeton's post. he was referring to the ticker at the bottom of MSNBC. It's not an entrance poll number. It's just a historical guesstimate.

    There are no real numbers or exit poll data out yet.

    Seems to be an AP projection (none / 0) (#6)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:12:08 PM EST
    of this one.

    Parent
    anecdotal turnout (none / 0) (#8)
    by commissar on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:27:45 PM EST
    200+ Dem caucus-goers this year versus 86 in '04 in Precinct 214(?) per David Gregory on MSNBC.

    Parent
    entrance , not exit (none / 0) (#4)
    by commissar on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:08:16 PM EST
    my bad

    CNN comment on entrance polls (none / 0) (#5)
    by commissar on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:11:46 PM EST
    same as BTD's general headline. no word on turnout.

    CNN's Bill Schneider (none / 0) (#7)
    by BDB on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:23:06 PM EST
    Reports that the Dems turnout is driven by 1) Women, 2) Older Voters and 3) 50% first timers.  If that's true, I think Clinton takes it.

    20% Independents (none / 0) (#9)
    by BDB on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:37:40 PM EST
    Donna Brazile just reported on CNN that 20% of caucus-goers so far are independents.  If that figure is right, Obama is going to have a long night.  IF it's right.

    I heard 26% (none / 0) (#10)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:39:26 PM EST


    Parent
    200,000 Turnout? (none / 0) (#11)
    by BDB on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:40:55 PM EST
    OTOH, MSNBC is reporting that Obama's campaign is saying turnout could come close to 200,000 - that would seem to be good news for Obama.

    MSNBC is also reporting its entrance poll indicates Obama is in the lead and Clinton and Edwards are fighting for second.

    Not what I saw again (none / 0) (#13)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:43:15 PM EST


    Parent
    Maybe I misheard (none / 0) (#14)
    by BDB on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:48:04 PM EST
    I thought that's what Keith said, but it sounded different than what he initially reported, so I thought it was odd.  Maybe I just misheard.

    Parent
    how exciting (none / 0) (#12)
    by Judith on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:43:05 PM EST
    no matter who wins - that sounds like a blast!  Thanks for the update.

    20% In and still razor close (none / 0) (#15)
    by BDB on Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:50:06 PM EST
    Which, IMO, is how it should be.  Polls show the voters are split, so should the delegates.

    Clinton And Obama Lead In Entrance Polls | 15 comments (15 topical)

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