CBS-NY Times Poll; Hillary, McCain Lead Nationally
A new CBS-New York Times poll finds Hillary Clinton maintaining her double-digit national lead over Barack Obama and John McCain ahead on the Republican side. Complete Repbulican poll results are here (pdf) and Democratic results here.
In the race for the Democratic nomination, Clinton leads Illinois Sen. Barack Obama by a margin of 42 percent to 27 percent. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards comes in a distant third at 11 percent.
Huckabee is in second place after McCain and Rudy Giuliani is sinking fast.
The biggest drop downward is in former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani’s support, from leading at 22 percent in the last poll to ten percent now.
Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson are tied with only 8% each.
Update: A new Washington Post - ABC Poll is also out. McCain and Hillary lead, but the numbers are different:
Hillary Rodham Clinton, 42 percent
Barack Obama, 37 percent
John Edwards, 11 percent
Dennis Kucinich, 2 percent
More...
John McCain, 28 percent
Mike Huckabee, 20 percent
Mitt Romney, 19 percent
Rudy Giuliani, 15 percent
Fred Thompson, 8 percent
Update: Larry King just said Mitt Romney will be on his show tomorrow night, the eve of the Michigan primary, where McCain and Romney are in a very tight race. I wonder if it will help.
Update: Analysis of the CBS-New York Times results, and again, these are national:
Hillary leads among men and women. Obama leads among black voters. While the youth vote still favors Hillary, Obama is catching up there. Hillary's lead among those over 45 is increasing.
Those who identify themselves as Democrats rather than Independents voting in the Democratic primary more strongly favor Hillary. And the Dems who have chosen Hillary are more happy with their choice than those who have chosen Obama.
The poll also says the race is still fluid. Only 57% of Dems say their mind is made up. Of those whose minds are made up, Hillary's supporters are less likely to change, but not by much.
On race:
More than nine in 10 Democratic primary voters would personally vote for a black, but fewer (71%) think most of the people they know would do so. More whites (71%) than blacks (58%) think most people they know would vote for a black candidate....White voters (58%) are more likely than black voters (48%) to think the country is ready to elect a black president.
I'm only scratching the surface here. Read the full poll results.
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