By Big Tent Democrat
Speaking for me only
In my earlier discussion about why Hillary Clinton should fight for revotes in Michigan and Florida, I noted that most bloggers, including Kos, had adopted Mark Schmitt's view that Clinton did not want revotes in Michigan and Florida - she wanted uncertainty. Now that it appears that there will be no revotes, Kos adopts my view of this Clinton uncertainty/revote issue:
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A Quinnipiac poll out today shows Hillary Clinton has expanded her lead over Barack Obama in Pennsylvania over the past three weeks.
Among likely Democratic primary voters, she now has a 12 point lead, 53 to 41%. On Feb. 27, she led Obama 49% to 43%.
Hillary increased her lead among women while narrowing Obama's lead among men. The numbers:
- White voters go with Clinton 61 - 33 percent, compared to 56 - 37 percent February 27.
- Black voters back Obama 76 - 18 percent, compared to 69 - 23 percent February 27.
- Women back Clinton 59 - 35 percent.
- Men go 48 percent for Obama to 45 percent for Clinton, compared to February 27 when men backed him 50 - 43 percent.
- Obama gets 50 percent of Democrats with a college degree, to Clinton's 45 percent.
- Among voters with no college degree, Clinton leads 57 - 37 percent.
- Voters under 45 back Obama 57 - 39 percent while voters over 45 back Clinton 60 - 34 percent.
Quinnipiac says the momentum is with Hillary. As to race: [More...]
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Back in September, I wrote about the arrest of NORML Founder Keith Stroup in Mass. at a rally for smoking a marijuana cigarette.
The case is headed to court Thursday morning. Keith and his co-defendant are challenging the constitutionality of the law criminalizing adult pot possession and use, and are requesting a jury nullification instruction:
[Their motion asks] the trial judge to inform the jury of their right to return a not-guilty verdict if, in their view, the defendants’ actions did not amount to criminal conduct.
This long-held traditional power of a jury — to refuse to convict if its members agree that such a conviction would create an injustice — is fundamental to the jury’s role as the bulwark of American individual liberty.
A copy of their motion to dismiss is available here. There will be a press conference at Boston's Batterymarch Conference Center after the hearing.
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Cheers to Sen. Chris Dodd for introducing S. 2627 this week. The bill would amend the Higher Education Act to end mandatory elimination of financial aid to students with drug convictions. Loss of financial aid would only occur if the state or federal judge sentencing the student orders aid suspension.
The bill adds a new paragraph to the aid loss section of the statute that reads:
This subsection shall only apply to a student if the Federal or State court that convicted the student of an offense described in paragraph (1) has ordered that the student's eligibility for assistance under this title be suspended in accordance with this subsection.'.
Students for a Sensible Drug Policy says:
Although the penalty should be repealed outright, the judicial
discretion bill would tremendously reduce its impact by turning it into an opt-in punishment instead of an automatic one. Take action now by spending one minute to edit and send a pre-written letter to your senators!
The bill has been referred to the Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions. So far there are no co-sponsors.
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ACLU Washington executive director Kathleen Taylor has an op-ed in today's Seattle Times, Let's Talk About Marijuana. It begins:
A College student loses his financial aid because of a youthful indiscretion. A woman coping with the ravages of ovarian cancer lives in fear of being arrested for using what best eases her suffering. Across town, a front door bursts open and police rush in to handcuff a man relaxing in his living room.
These events have one thing in common: marijuana. Whether it is being kicked out of college for a youthful mistake, being denied relief from pain as a cancer patient, or getting arrested for personal use in one's home, marijuana laws have far-reaching consequences.
The consequences greatly outweigh any danger or risk posed by marijuana. [More...]
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Via the Washington Post:
Rep. John P. Murtha has announced his endorsement of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, bringing his clout as a 17-term member of the House and a prominent anti-war Democrat to bear with more than a month until the primary here in his home state.
“Sen. Clinton is the candidate that will forge a consensus on health care, education, the economy, and the war in Iraq,” Murtha wrote in a statement about his decision.
As to what convinced him:
“Her experience and careful consideration of these issues convinced me that she is best qualified to lead our nation and to bring credibility back to the White House,” Murtha said. He said he “whole-heartedly” recommends Clinton to all voters in his state.
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Via TPM and Oliver Willis, Hillary Clinton was just on CNN and provided this statement about Barack Obama's race speech.
"I did not have a chance to see or to read yet Sen. Obama's speech. But I'm very glad that he gave it. It's an important topic. Issues of race and gender in America have been complicated throughout our history, and they are complicated in this primary campaign.
"There have been detours and pitfalls along the way. But we should remember that this is an historic moment for the Democratic Party, and for our country. We will be nominating the first African-American or woman for the Presidency of the United States, and that is something that all Americans can and should celebrate."
Oliver, a staunch Obama supporter, says "Good on her." If you have more to say on the speech or Hillary's reaction, you can do so here.
Update: A reader writes in that Obama's speech today is similar to one given by Bill Clinton in 1995 commemorating the Million Man March.
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Lynndie England, the poster woman for the torture at Abu Ghraib, finished her three year jail sentence a year ago after serving 1 1/2 years. (It wasn't easy time.) She's just given a long interview to the German magazine, Der Stern, which has an English version up.
The headline: Rumsfeld knew.
[England] tells the magazine that when her unit arrived at the prison outside Baghdad in September, the prisoners were already naked, were forced to wear women's underwear, and were being put in stress positions. "The company that we relieved was doing the exact same stuff," she is quoted as saying. "We just took over from them."
I wonder if he also knew non-medical personnel were performing amputations at Abu Ghraib?
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In a new CNN poll, it's a statistical dead heat between McCain-Hillary and McCain-Obama.
- Hillary 49, McCain 47
- Obama 47, McCain 46
According to CNN Polling Director Keating Holland:
"Clinton appears to do a little bit better than Obama among older voters, women, and self-identified Democrats against McCain; Obama's numbers may be slightly better among younger voters and those who describe themselves as Republicans and Independents."
Update: Gallup's daily tracking has Hillary ahead of Obama today.
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This isn't a compromise, but the possible outcome of a complaint filed with the Rules Committee. Via Marc Ambinder:
Last week, DNC member Jon Ausman filed a petition with the party's rules and bylaws committee pointing out that the charter of the DNC uses the verb "shall" when describing the relationship between superdelegates and the convention, as in -- superdelegates "shall" be seated. The argument, basically, is that the charter supercedes any penalty imposed by the RBC. The counterarguement is that the verb "shall" is later qualified.
The 28 members of the DNC's Rules and Bylaws committee may well decide that the challenge has validity and may well decide to seat the superdelegates from Florida, and then, should there be a similar petition from Michigan, the superdelegates from Michigan.
This has nothing to do with the disenfranchisement of Florida's 1.7 million voters, and I doubt that Florida's superdelegates will make much of a difference in the long run. But....[More...]
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The National Archives tomorrow will release more than 11,000 pages of Hillary Clinton's travel schedules from her years as First Lady.
The Archives said in a statement on Tuesday that the schedules are from the staff files of Patti Solis Doyle, Mrs. Clinton’s former campaign manager who was her chief scheduler in the White House.
“Arranged chronologically, these records document in detail the activities of the First Lady, including meetings, trips, speaking engagements and social activities for the eight years of the Clinton Administration,” the statement said.
Of the more than 11,000 pages to be released, 4,746 pages have redactions, mostly relating to “the privacy interests of third parties,” including Social Security numbers, telephone numbers and home addresses, the Archives said.
I'm not sure why her social activities are relevant, but I suspect in total, the documents will substantiate her experience argument.
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The Supreme Court heard oral arguments today in the case involving the DC handgun bill which should decide whether the Second Amendment conveys an individual right to bear arms.
The Supreme Court appeared ready Tuesday to endorse the view that the Second Amendment gives individuals the right to own guns, but was less clear about whether to retain the District of Columbia's ban on handguns.
...Several justices were skeptical that the Constitution, if it gives individuals' gun rights, could allow a complete ban on handguns when, as Chief Justice John Roberts pointed out, those weapons are most suited for protection at home.
"What is reasonable about a ban on possession" of handguns?" Roberts asked at one point.
That's my problem with the D.C. bill and politicians who claim to support an individual rights' theory but then support every restrictive bill on gun rights. The "reasonableness" test is too vague and open to interpretation.
Where does reasonable regulation end and infringement on an individual's rights begin? [More...]
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