Misreading Polls And The Need To Euthanize The Post Partisan Unity Schtick
The latest Gallup poll demonstrates, for the umpteenth time, that political analysts and reporters do no understand polling:
In a survey of 1,000 adults taken Tuesday, 34% say demonstrations at the hometown sessions have made them more sympathetic to the protesters' views; 21% say they are less sympathetic. Independents by 2-to-1, 35%-16%, say they are more sympathetic to the protesters now.
The findings are unwelcome news for President Obama and Democratic congressional leaders, who have scrambled to respond to the protests and in some cases even to be heard. . .
The reporter who wrote this, Susan Page, is a classic CW type who basically spouts whatever her colleagues are saying. This is another example. My reaction to the poll is this - only 34%? That's great news for Obama. These type of polling questions are simply restating the basic question - do you oppose health care reform? Only 34% say they do? That's not bad at all. As for the "independents" nonsense - it is important to realize that true independents are a small percentage of "independents." 75% of "independents" are weak Dems or Republicans. This silly trope is trotted out all the time. Anything else worth noting in this Gallup poll? Let's see on the flip.
There is a silly argument coming from some on the Left that say there are contradictory findings in the poll regarding the attitudes towards the town hall protests. There aren't imo. For example, some argue that the finding that "shouting down a supporter of a bill" is considered "abuse" whatever that means) by 59% is ocntradictory to the finding that 51% consider "angry attacks" against a bill "democracy" (as opposed to "abuse.") These are not contradictory at all. I can "angrily attack" a bill while not simultaneously "shouting down a supporter." Of course, these questions are the height of stupidity and Gallup again demonstrates how little we can learn from polls. One thing we do learn is this - it is time to euthanize the Post Partisan Unity Schtick - more evidence that the post partisan unity schtick is a complete failure:
Reaction to the protests is highly partisan, with a little more than half of Republicans saying the protests have made them more sympathetic to the protestors' views, compared to 35% of independents and 17% of Democrats. About 4 out of 10 Democrats, on the other hand, say the protests have made them less sympathetic to the protestors' views.
At the end of the day, this is the key finding that if unabsorbed by the Obama Administration and Democratic officials, will spell disaster.
Time to fight. For Democratic value and policies. Time to rally the base. The reaction to all of this should be a hardening of the Obama view on health care reform. If Dems pols do not fight for Dem ideas, then why a lot of the Dem rank and file will decide there is no reason to for them. and that is how the Dem could lose, not just on health care, but on the only thing that matters to the Emanuel types -- elections.
Speaking for me only
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