Saturday College Football Open Thread
A lot of big games on the slate today. I will avoid the Halloween trick or treat cliches in my review and picks.
In Autzen, the Oregon Ducks host USC. Since the debacle in Boise, Oregon has won 6 straight in impressive fashion. USC has not been as impressive this season. USC is a 3 point favorite, a line that does not reflect the respective performances of the two teams and the Autzen home field advantage. I like the Ducks (+3).
Oklahoma State has a history of blowing big leads against Texas. The Cowboys host the Longhorns today in T. Boone Pickens Stadium. Texas is a 9.5 point favorite. Des Bryant is ineligible and headed for the NFL. I like Oklahoma State (+9.5). Texas' offense has not been as explosive this year. More . . .
Florida and Georgia meet in the World Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party in Jacksonville. Florida opened as a 17 point favorite but the line has been bet down to Florida (-14.5). Florida's defense has played well but the offense has been awful. Tebow in particular has been terrible. I like the Dawgs (+14.5).
Iowa is the highest rated team in the computer ratings used by the BCS (the ones that ignore scoring margin. In the real computer ratings, Iowa is 12th.) Iowa is a 17 point favorite. According to Sagarin, Iowa should be a 26 point favorite. The problem with Sagarin's rating is Iowa has won only one game by more than 11 points (against Iowa State the second week of the season.) I've won all year with Iowa. Even though the line seems too big to me, I am sticking with the Hawkeyes (-17).
In a very interesting game, the Chippewas of Central Michigan travel to Chestnut Hill to face Boston College. The line is a fair one, BC (-6.5). But I am picking the Chippewas (+6.5).
Ole Miss travels to the Loveliest Village on the Plains to meet Auburn. Auburn is a home dog (+6.5.) Has Ole Miss turned the corner? Has Auburn spit the bit? I think Auburn saves its season today and beats Ole Miss. I like Auburn (+6.5).
Tennessee is a 6 point favorite at home over South Carolina. I guess everyone has decided Tennessee is back. I remain unconvinced. I like the Gamecocks (+6).
Notre Dame is a 27 point favorite over Washington State, a terrible team. But Notre Dame can't be anybody by 27 now imo. I like the Palus(+27).
I am 29-17 (.630) on the season with my picks against the spread.
Go Gators! Go Yankees!
This is an Open Thread.
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