ABC/WaPo Poll: RVs, Obama By 6, LVs Obama By 4
Obama maintains a narrow, six-point edge over McCain among registered voters. Among those most likely to vote, 49 percent back Obama and 45 percent back McCain.
Curiously, WaPo shows a narrowing from the previous RV result but a slight increase in its LV result. It all amounts to no change really. But the changes in the RV result track with two key indicators - President Bush's approval rating, which ticked up 2 (from 28 to 30) and the right track/wrong track result (right track went up from 14 to 19).
The other curious result here is this - "Obama's overall lead in the new poll is attributable in large measure to a nearly 20-point advantage among female voters. He trails McCain by nine points among men." This does not translate for me. Women are likelier voters than men. this should translate into a 6 point LV lead for Obama. the only explanation I can see is that Obama does not have as big a lead among the likeliest women voters (older womnen). More . . .
This poll also gives Obama his best result with Clinton voters:
The conventions are also about solidifying support among the party faithful. So far, Republicans have been slightly more likely to back McCain than Democrats have been to support Obama (84 to 79 percent in this poll), in part because 20 percent of those who supported Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton in the primaries said they now favor McCain over Obama. But 70 percent of her supporters back Obama -- the highest level since she suspended her campaign in June.
The NBC poll had Clinton supporters at 52% support for Obama, the CBS poll had it at 60%, and now the ABC poll had it at 70%. In any event, John McCain has an ad aimed at Clinton supporters:
In a blistering new ad, John McCain’s campaign accused Barack Obama of passing over Hillary Clinton as his running mate because she pointed out his flaws during the Democratic primaries. . . . “She won millions of votes. But isn’t on his ticket. Why? For speaking the truth,” the narrator in the ad says.
Here is the ad:
I am watching MSNBC this morning and A.B. Stoddard is talking about "what Hillary needs to do." I got news for Stoddard, Hillary is not running in November, Obama is. The question is what does Obama need to do. He had a layup for handling this problem and decided not to take it. Now we get to see how he wants handle the problem, a problem he could have avoided and chose not to.
By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only
| < The Gang's All Here | M-D NV Poll: McCain By 7; Q CO Poll: McCain By 1 > |





