The thing that has always struck me as worrisome about Obama is that he is not out farther ahead given the nature of the electoral cycle.  I'm still convinced he needs a strong cushion going into the fall in order to withstand the 527's and the natural disadvantage of being the less experienced candidate, which is typically less appealing to late deciders. But it is way to early to know what the cushion is going to be.

More domestic exploitation would lessen the need for intervention in the ME and Central Asia to manipulate prices.

Building new rigs would kickstart the steel industry and give engineers more jobs.

Oil men and construction workers could work domestically rather than abroad in dangerous hotspots.  

Regarding what Obama can do to win Florida, I honestly think it's pretty much what he needs to do to win the general: convince people that he knows enough about policy and has the judgment to run this country.

After Bush, I think that many Americans will be placing a lot of weight on intelligence and judgment. The candidate who can convince people that he'll be the most competent will win. Well, except for the young folks and African Americans: they'll vote for Obama because his candidacy speaks to them intensely and personally. They're excited about Obama. I don't begrudge them that excitement. I just bring this up because I don't think there's anything Obama can do to lose their votes, just as there's nothing McCain can do to lose Elizabeth Hasselbeck's vote. :)

In the end, it's going to come down to which conveys competence to those in the vast middle who  mainly want someone who can begin to clean up this god-awful mess that Bush has made of our country. Right now, I have no earthly idea which one will appear more able to do that. But I think that'll be the trick.

People are worried about the war, our standing in the world, our debt, and the economy. Personally, they worry about creeping inflation and unemployment, preserving the social safety net, and healthcare.

The ideology of the GOP's movement conservatism has failed. Most people know now that tax cuts aren't magic and neither are wars of aggression. Any other Republican would be toast, but McCain, with his "maverick" rep., can be perceived as a re-brander of the GOP as the party of the middle, much as Obama is rebranding the Democrats as the party of the "creative class," the new symbol of which is a sky-high bus that looks like the top bun of a huge Dagwood sandwich.

The good news for Dems is that McCain seems to have a crappy organization and not a lot of support within the GOP, which is in even more serious disarray than the Democratic party is. So McCain may not be able to present himself as the guy with the answers and the judgment we need right now to right our ship of state in the world at large and strengthen our social safety net and get our financial house in order and move us toward energy independence.