home

The Popular Vote And The Will Of the People: It's Not An Electability Argument

Many do not accept that the popular vote in the Democratic nomination is the fairest representation of the will of the electorate in the Democratic contest. It is their right of course to feel that way. I disagree with them.

But I do object to what I have seen seeping into the coverage, especially on the Obama News Network (NBC), that the vote in places like Guam and Puerto Rico do not count because they do not vote in the Presidential Election in November. This utterly misconstrues the point. Oh and it is bigoted to boot. The latest was Jon Alter:

[Clinton] could then proclaim that with the help of Puerto Rican voters who cannot vote in a general election, she is the popular vote winner.

(Emphasis supplied.) What Alter and the Obama News Network do not understand is that the popular vote argument is NOT an electability argument. The electorate (the People) defined by the Democratic Party for choosing its nominee included Americans Abroad (and whether they get to vote in November or not depends on various state laws), Guam, and Puerto Rico as well as the 50 (well 48 as of now) states. For purposes of deciding who the Democratic nominee, the Democratic Party said that these were the People.

Of course the method by which the Democratic Party chooses its nominee is by delegates. For better or worse, we are stuck with the travesty of a system that is in place now. but that system includes Super Delegates.

It is clear that neither candidate will win enough elected delegates to secure the nomination. As we have been saying for some time now, the Super Delegates will decide who the Democratic nominee will be. There have been many arguments made that the Super Delegates must respect the result of the pledged delegate race. There is no rule to that effect. It is not a legal or rules based argument. It is a moral argument. Each super delegate, exercising his or her independent judgment, is free to choose any candidate they want, including themselves presumably, or no candidate at all. So the arguments to the Super Delegates are moral in nature, not rules based.

The popular vote argument is also a moral argument to the Super Delegates. It argues that the People (the electorate defined by the Democratic Party as having a vote in the Democratic nomination contest) express their will in the popular vote as the pledged delegate system does not reflect their votes accurately. This is undeniably true.

Is the popular vote count accurate? Accurate enough? We can argue about that. But what can not be argued is that the popular vote in Puerto Rico, Americans Abroad and Guam is NOT part of the popular vote of The People (as chosen by the Democratic Party to have a say in the nomination of the Democratic candidate for President.)

Unless of course you want to argue that American citizens in Puerto Rico count for something less than other American citizens. Now I expect that the Obama News Network and other figures in the Media will have no qualms expressing such bigotry. They have not been shy to demonstrate their sexism.

But I would hope that Democrats and progressives would not make such a bigoted argument. But my hopes have been dashed before.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

< Contempt For The Voters And Their Votes | The Most Inclusive Popular Vote Total >
  • Premium Ads

  • Blog Ads

  • Contribute To TalkLeft

    donate to TalkLeft


  • Display: Sort:
    It doesn't matter (5.00 / 3) (#1)
    by gyrfalcon on Fri May 23, 2008 at 10:45:29 AM EST
    The only thing that matters to these people is "Make her stop."  They will use any argument at all in aid of that goal.


    In 2000 People Were P'O'd About Gore Not (5.00 / 1) (#205)
    by PssttCmere08 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 03:29:57 PM EST
    winning....'HE GOT THE POPULAR VOTE' 'WE NEED TO GET RID OF THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE'  'HE SHOULD WIN BECAUSE HE GOT THE POPULAR VOTE"

    For Hillary..."The popular vote isn't what should count".  Anyone for a big plate of hypocrisy?

    [ Parent ]

    Clearly stated. Good job. (5.00 / 4) (#2)
    by oculus on Fri May 23, 2008 at 10:47:12 AM EST
    [Please do more posts like this: with you doing the writing.]

    Cynicism pretending to be (5.00 / 9) (#4)
    by madamab on Fri May 23, 2008 at 10:53:10 AM EST
    idealism.

    Yup, that's about right. His "smart" (pundit and "Creative Class") supporters believe that Obama is cynical, like them; whereas the "idealistic" supporters believe he is all about change and hope and beautiful, unifying rainbows and unicorns.

    That's the beauty of a blank slate candidacy. All things to all people.

    Appropos of the word of the day: (5.00 / 7) (#9)
    by oculus on Fri May 23, 2008 at 10:57:11 AM EST
    This week's theme: eponyms.

    tartuffe (tahr-TOOF) noun

       A hypocrite who feigns virtue, especially in religious matters.

    [After the main character in Tartuffe, a play by Molière, pen name of
    Jean-Baptiste Poquelin (1622-1673). As if to prove themselves, the religious
    authorities in Paris had the play banned soon after it was introduced.]

      "Tony Blair is like Harold Wilson, an empty vessel whose strength
       derives from his emptiness. (Religion is so often a substitute
       for depth.) Because he is a Tartuffe who does not really believe
       in anything, he is brilliant at seizing advantage; when he can't
       manipulate events, he surfs over them."
       A.N. Wilson; Further Trials of Teflon Tony; The Evening Standard
       (London, UK); May 19, 2003.




    [ Parent ]
    I'll be blogging tartuffe to death (5.00 / 2) (#24)
    by Militarytracy on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:09:33 AM EST


    [ Parent ]
    The Democratic Party Now Depicted As The (5.00 / 12) (#5)
    by MO Blue on Fri May 23, 2008 at 10:53:49 AM EST
    Party of Exclusion. Any voter or group of voters who do not achieve the desired outcome should be excluded. Great for the party image. No?

     

    I was just thinking this (5.00 / 8) (#13)
    by madamab on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:03:06 AM EST
    last night.

    Republicans have been branding Democrats as elitists for many years now, but we had not earned the label as a party.

    How about now?

    [ Parent ]

    The NEW Democratic Party Has Not Only Earned (5.00 / 6) (#19)
    by MO Blue on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:07:58 AM EST
    that label but embraced it proudly strutting it out for all to see.

     

    [ Parent ]

    The most horrifying moment for me (5.00 / 12) (#28)
    by Serene1 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:14:27 AM EST
    this campaign was seeing Democrats chant rulz rulz rulz on TV as if their life depended on it.

    [ Parent ]
    The new Democratic Party (5.00 / 2) (#99)
    by BarnBabe on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:49:13 AM EST
    will find out that it can not hijack the old Democratic Party and expect votes. We all pushed so hard for the 2006 revolution. And it was close. Now, we have a split party and yet we all have the same basic agenda. Why is there always someone who just has to be above someone else. As Hillary & Obama are close on the issues, the new and old Dems are close on the issues. All comes down to control and power. The fear that Hillary will not be controlled.

    [ Parent ]
    If we're going to start talking about who (5.00 / 4) (#6)
    by vicndabx on Fri May 23, 2008 at 10:54:04 AM EST
    counts and when, one could argue states with considerably less democrats than republicans that noneless help choose the nominee don't count either.  I.e. all those red-states that really aren't going to be in play come November don't matter either.  A slippery slope indeed.

    That's my problem with Schaller, really (5.00 / 1) (#10)
    by Eleanor A on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:00:14 AM EST
    And with his argument the Dems should spend zero dollars and effort in states that aren't going to go blue for the Presidency (many states, like even Alabama, have majority-run Dem legislatures, and are blue at the state level, which makes one wonder what the problem is with the national brand identity...)

    Whose party is this, anyway?  Last I heard, nearly 40% of the AAs in the country live in the South.  Should the party dismiss their concerns out of hand?

    [ Parent ]

    Kerry didn't even try in the South (none / 0) (#90)
    by Josey on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:46:31 AM EST
    but the Obamacrat Party will spend zillions this time selling a nominee associated with anti-America characters and a pastor-mentor-counselor ranting against white people, America, Catholics, Jews....
    Yeah - Obama will definitely win the south!
    [bang head!]


    [ Parent ]
    I don't think advocating playing to your (none / 0) (#91)
    by vicndabx on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:46:44 AM EST
    strengths = dismissing constituent concerns.  I think it reflects a reality based on cold hard numbers.  If anything, the state and local representatives are the ones best positioned to address local concerns.  We can and should spend money in a state helping to get those down ticket elected w/o pretending the majority in a state like your candidate for president.  In addition, we are starting to see more dems that although they have a "D" after their name, are really republican-lite.  Not that there's anything wrong w/that - they too are playing to their strengths based on their constituents.

    [ Parent ]
    I've gone over this before (none / 0) (#131)
    by Salo on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:08:14 PM EST
    The Democratic party doesn't realize it but it is a North Eastern Ivy League Brand. At the national level the Party is a regional identity. Kerry, Dukakis etc.  If you have a plumby accent you are automatically veiwed as leadership material.  You need an Ivy league degree. If you have a southern accent you are an uncouth illiterate outsider. Public university nuh uh. Californian candidates don't get much of a look in either--too casual.

    Trouble is we only win when we run a southerner or borderer.

    obama might win, but his victory depends on the collapse of GOP credibility nationwide--especially in their Rocky West and Southern heartland.

    [ Parent ]

    Also we don't run generals! (none / 0) (#134)
    by Salo on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:09:59 PM EST
    Clark was viewed in a hyper suspect way in 2004.

    he'd have probably beaten Bush, but he was an outsider southern type.

    of course the southerner is the default type that wins the Presidency.

    [ Parent ]

    Gee, did President Grant (none / 0) (#144)
    by zfran on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:14:52 PM EST
    not count then?

    [ Parent ]
    I thought we were supposed (none / 0) (#145)
    by zfran on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:15:50 PM EST
    to run the best and most qualified?

    [ Parent ]
    he was a Republican. (none / 0) (#190)
    by Salo on Fri May 23, 2008 at 02:13:14 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    I'm not sure (none / 0) (#191)
    by Eleanor A on Fri May 23, 2008 at 02:13:22 PM EST
    I think it's that simple.  Trouble is, by the time a person accumulates enough experience to run for the Presidency, s/he has a long voting record reflecting the values of the folks in his/her state.  More urban states tend to be more liberal on issues like gun control and abortion.

    The Republicans demonize us EVERY time on these social issues, and it's high time we stopped letting them.  A lot of the problem, IMO, is they outwork us 2 to 1 on the ground game - the GOP has put a lot of work into its talk-radio voter outrage generating tactics, encouraging its supporters to buy up newspaper chains, etc.

    This all really has turned into a culture war, and having Obama supporters calling those who don't agree with them ignorant, foolish racists is NOT helping.

    I suspect we could turn it around, but at this point I'm really worried that quite a few Northern Dems think Southerners are so far beneath them they wouldn't even try.  I think it's going to take a thorough debunking of the Western strategy - which we may see this fall - for them to realize we have to stand together or we'll fall apart.

    [ Parent ]

    But Obama is not southern, or nor'eastern (none / 0) (#140)
    by zfran on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:13:23 PM EST
    but has a southern drawl (much like GWB) when speaking to "the flock." Just preachy, or elite enough to think people don't know the truth?


    [ Parent ]
    Wow, some people have just gone over the (5.00 / 2) (#7)
    by Militarytracy on Fri May 23, 2008 at 10:55:12 AM EST
    flippin edge now.  I visited Puerto Rico with my grandma Lorraine ten years ago.  My grandmother was in cancer remission and during that period decided she needed to see the world and I wanted to see it with her when I could.  The tourist areas of Puerto Rico were gorgeous but as always I explore and when I went outside of the tourist zone I discovered that I wasn't all that wanted by the population.  I got the feeling that Puerto Ricans felt used and unappreciated by the 50 states, and to them I was a representative of that.  It was a while ago, perhaps things have changed and improved but I can't imagine that happening under the Bush administration.  Talking smack about how Puerto Rico doesn't count will surely help the situation too!

    Not only for Puerto Ricans (5.00 / 5) (#58)
    by A little night musing on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:34:13 AM EST
    I've said this before, and I feel it's important. I get the clear impression that all the Latinos in my heavily-Latino neighborhood are watching how PR and its primary are being treated. It's kind of a surrogate for treatment of Latinos in general, or the closest thing to it.

    Dissing the PR primary is definitely not the way to go, unless Obama and his surrogates want to throw the Latino voters under the bus (again?).

    [ Parent ]

    This is what I don't get about (5.00 / 3) (#92)
    by nycstray on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:47:03 AM EST
    Obama/supporters. PR is about PR and also about more than PR. There's the big picture called the GE looming out there and I'm sitting there watching all the different demographics in my Brooklyn 'hood getting thrown under the bus. And believe me, there aren't enough latte liberals and AA's to make up for it.

    [ Parent ]
    This treatment of women etc. is indefensible! (5.00 / 1) (#158)
    by Ellie on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:32:40 PM EST
    The fauxgressive contempt towards women (f-cking wh0res) and any groups not immediately useful politically is just heinous.

    It's the political version of the same people who are dying to dismantle Social Security because the impediment to doing is the only obstacle to winning big at online poker.

    Maybe even ... One. Million. Dollars! [/Dr. Evil]

    I don't get it, but then I also never got the "logic" behind shredding hard-earned rights if one didn't happen to be using them at that exact second.


    [ Parent ]

    Other Ramifications as well (5.00 / 4) (#81)
    by BackFromOhio on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:43:50 AM EST
    I think the dissing the vote in Puerto Rico by Obamacons and NBC will have a ripple effect among Latinos who do get to vote in the Presidential Election. To me, aside from its obvious prejudicial nature, is yet another mistake the Obama campaign & his supporters make. They are taking far too many otherwise pro-Dem voter groups for granted, and in the process they are redefining what it means to be a Dem -- and not in a good way. Latinos are now approximately 22% of our population.  It is my understanding that Latinos have a generally favorable view of McCain, and any Democrat who treats them with disrespect does so at his peril.  In short, there are 2 downsides to the Alter etc. attitude -- bad political strategy and, to me, prejudice.  To see MSNBC pundits laughing on camera when the Puerto Rican popular vote is mentioned is truly disturbing. We've lived under Bush-Cheney rules for so long that I fear there is no longer any moral compass to our public conversations.  

    [ Parent ]
    The real travesty here... (none / 0) (#146)
    by Y Knot on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:17:23 PM EST
    ...is not that people are saying (correctly) that their votes won't count in a general election.  I think the real travesty is that we HAVEN'T appreciated them.   I mean, honestly, how many of us ever even think about Puerto Rico?

    But now, there's a primary where their votes matter, and suddenly it's a travesty that someone says their voice is less important?  Why haven't we allow them to join the union?  (Which, I'll admit right now, I'm only assuming they want.)  That last one isn't a rhetorical by the way, I really don't know.

    If we really cared about their voices, we'd be clamoring to let them be heard in November... not getting all indignant because someone pointed out the cold, hard truth that they won't be.

    [ Parent ]

    FYI (none / 0) (#200)
    by gyrfalcon on Fri May 23, 2008 at 02:36:26 PM EST
    The folks in PR are strongly split about whether they want to become a state or not.  THey've been battling over it for years, and I think the last time there was a referendum there, it lost pretty solidly.  I actually don't think it's not that we don't "let them" become a state, it's that they haven't decided that they want to.

    [ Parent ]
    I was waiting for them to come (5.00 / 3) (#8)
    by Serene1 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 10:56:31 AM EST
    up with this argument.

    Now we can safely argue back that the awarding of delegates and caucuses voting are equally nonsensical just like puerto rico voting since both  have no role to play in the GE in terms of deciding the actual electability of the candidate.


    How can someone wait for members (5.00 / 2) (#11)
    by Militarytracy on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:02:41 AM EST
    of the Democratic party to come up with this argument?  I know that I tend to be overly optimistic at times but the day I wait for the Democratic party to come up with this "f"ing argument is the day that the Democratic party needs to check itself into the Betty!

    [ Parent ]
    I don't think the Betty (5.00 / 5) (#14)
    by madamab on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:04:01 AM EST
    treats Kool-Aid addiction.

    Sigh.

    [ Parent ]

    Let's Tick Off Another Group Of Voters (5.00 / 7) (#15)
    by MO Blue on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:04:15 AM EST
    Let's just pretend that there are NO Puerto Ricans living in the U.S. who can vote in the GE and continue to marginalize their relatives and friends who live in Puerto Rico. A great strategy for the GE.

    Okay, she's the popular vote winner (5.00 / 1) (#17)
    by Seth90212 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:06:02 AM EST
    So what? Where is she going to find the delegates to secure this nomination? There aren't that many supers left on the table. Besides, Obama picks up about 8 supers for every 1 she gets. He chased her down from over 100 down to now 30 or so up. There are only 200 supers left. You really expect Hillary to corral all the remaining supers because she's the popular vote "winner?" Or do you expect those who have solemnly declared for Obama to abandon him for her? The few delegates switching sides have been from her to him. One of her supers did so today. So what exactly is Hillary's path?

    That's fine (5.00 / 5) (#21)
    by cawaltz on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:08:32 AM EST
    That's all we're asking. Let HER make her argument without demonizing her. Count the votes. It's really that simple.

    [ Parent ]
    The Obamans don't want to. (5.00 / 3) (#36)
    by madamab on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:20:49 AM EST
    The figures are in dispute and could very well amount to a disadvantage for their candidate.

    This idea is very scary to them. The thought that their candidate might lose has caused them to scream WWTSBQ for months, hurl nasty invective at her supporters, and accuse Hillary herself of every dubious motivation in the book, while claiming Obama is a felicitous combination of both Jesus and whatever pop/rock star is in vogue this month.

    We have all known since Super Tuesday that neither candidate would win without the SuperDelegates. Winning the popular vote is an excellent metric on which the SuperDelegates could base their calculations as to who is more likely to beat John McCain in the fall.

    The Obamans are afraid that their fave can't make his case to the SuperD's.

    That's what all the fuss is about. Everything else is just sound and fury.

    [ Parent ]

    I know (5.00 / 2) (#51)
    by cawaltz on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:29:06 AM EST
    and the rest of the world knows. They are fooling no one but themselves.

    If Obama can't make HIS case to the Democratic faithful how in the world does he make his case to the general population come time for the GE is the question I have?

    The simple fact is that part of the pushback from Clinton supporters is because they feel it is to the party's detriment that we have a strong and viable candidate that doesn't have to be carried over the finish line, but can make it on his/her own.

    It's absolutely maddening that he is being treated with kid gloves intead of being told "you're a big boy, make your case and don't screw it up because if you do the position is hers."

    [ Parent ]

    So how did these wily Obama (none / 0) (#60)
    by Seth90212 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:34:38 AM EST
    people prevent Hillary from winning the pop vote? Furthermore, how did they prevent SD's from considering pop vote in their assesments?

    Can't make his case to the SD's? Have you been following the SD movement since Super Tuesday?

    [ Parent ]

    They haven't yet (5.00 / 1) (#95)
    by cawaltz on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:47:24 AM EST
    Last I heard we have 3 more primaries/caucuses. The reason the "popular vote doesn't matter" argument is being floated is because there is a good chance that Puerto Rico WILL put her in the lead.

    If he is able to make the case to SuperD's then why worry and why not do as BTD has said and settle down and let HER make her argument and count the votes as they stand.

    The Obama cam doesn't look strong when they ridicule and refuse. They look like petulant little kids who are afraid their cooke might be awarded to someone else.

    [ Parent ]

    Golly gee willikers! (none / 0) (#82)
    by madamab on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:44:20 AM EST
    So Obama has 2209 delegates!

    AND the rest of the primaries have been held as well!

    Oh wait....

    LOL!

    [ Parent ]

    Your opinion would be of interest (5.00 / 1) (#22)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:08:38 AM EST
    if you were a Super Delegate.

    [ Parent ]
    I expect many of them to endorse her (5.00 / 2) (#38)
    by Eleanor A on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:21:11 AM EST
    Because the tiny number of folks participating in caucuses that went for Obama is not representative of Dems at large in many states.

    Many of the SDs will not want to be associated with Obama's brand of politics.  Certainly some headcounting is going on behind the scenes, and my guess is it has a lot to do with why Hillary's still in this.

    If Obama's the anointed one, how come ALL the remaining SDs haven't come out for him?  It's a few different reasons, but mostly because they're accountable to voters - which Howard Dean and Donna Brazile are not.  

    [ Parent ]

    They should have stampeded his (5.00 / 2) (#44)
    by Salo on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:24:51 AM EST
    HQ by now.  it's an uncanny sort of silence.

    [ Parent ]
    Well one SD switched from Clinton (none / 0) (#98)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:48:15 AM EST
    to Obama today Dennis Cardoze CA-18.  So he must be one to whom popular vote argument is not valid.  Also Congressman Jim Costa (CA-20) endorsed Obama today.  Obama also picked up 2 NH Edwards delegates.

    Maybe not a stampede, but not exactly a silence either.

     

    [ Parent ]

    And yesterday (5.00 / 2) (#113)
    by Ga6thDem on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:58:11 AM EST
    one superdelegate switched from Obama to Clinton from Guam.

    [ Parent ]
    Nope. She had never endorsed Obama (none / 0) (#138)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:13:08 PM EST
    and was never in his SuperD column.  She had stated some vague notion of supporting the winner of the Guam caucus.  The delegate count was tied; he won the popular vote by 7 (a virtual tie). She chose Clinton.

    [ Parent ]
    She said (none / 0) (#143)
    by Ga6thDem on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:14:38 PM EST
    that she was going to go with the winner of the caucus. Did Obama lose the caucus after all?

    [ Parent ]
    Was she ever a Super who was (none / 0) (#160)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:38:55 PM EST
    listed as Obama's that had to be subtracted from his column?  No.  

    Fact is the day of the primary there was discussion on this very site about where her vote would go.  I think Cream City made the point that the results were a tie so her vote could to either.

    I thought her vote would go to Obama, but I was trying to "read tea leaves" and was wrong.


    [ Parent ]

    Do you really want me to list (none / 0) (#163)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:50:02 PM EST
    the many SuperDs who have switched from Obama to Clinton besides the one from CA that just switched today?

    The only one who you can come up with really didn't "switch."  She was undeclared and some guessed, wrongly,  she would chose Obama.

    How about
    Don Payne NJ
    Joe Andrew
    David Scott GA
    Dana Redd NJ
    Jennifer McClellan VA
    George McGovern
    Bill Richardson

    [ Parent ]

    Errors (5.00 / 1) (#185)
    by jfung79 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 01:48:03 PM EST
    George McGovern is not a superdelegate.
    Bill Richardson never endorsed Hillary.

    [ Parent ]
    Thank you. I stand corrected. (none / 0) (#188)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 01:58:59 PM EST
    There are other Supers that have switched but in my haste to respond I listed incorrectly.  

    Though the reaction to Richardson (Judas, etc.) makes one think the Clinton camp thought he was "in the bag." Nevertheless, he was not the actual SD "switch" I was talking about.  

    **Of course, if someone insists the Guam SD "switched," then Richardson would be fair.

    [ Parent ]

    Wow (none / 0) (#177)
    by Ga6thDem on Fri May 23, 2008 at 01:29:27 PM EST
    you are forgetting that Obama threatened Scott with a primary opponent. Right now he is destroying the candidacy of Barrow who endorsed him.

    [ Parent ]
    Whoops! While I was commenting above (none / 0) (#170)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 01:05:09 PM EST
    Obama picked up another SuperD - Oregon DNC member Jenny Greenleaf.  Wanted to make sure my facts were accurate.

    [ Parent ]
    Your gloating (5.00 / 1) (#173)
    by blogtopus on Fri May 23, 2008 at 01:09:54 PM EST
    will serve you nothing as Obama dives into what might be the biggest drubbing of a political candidate since McGovern.

    Oh, did I say McGovern? Sorry!

    [ Parent ]

    Not gloating. Correcting. (none / 0) (#175)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 01:22:14 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Though on further review (none / 0) (#192)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 02:13:54 PM EST
    perhaps I shouldn't have added the "Whoops another one just endorsed"  comment.

     My rule on commenting (and I'm new at this, not young, just new at this) is not to say anything online I wouldn't say to the person's face.

    I've certainly read worse comments here - but if I had it to do all over again I wouldn't have added the "whoops."  

    And I would have made sure my SuperD list was 100% correct.

    [ Parent ]

    Thanks Indi (none / 0) (#194)
    by blogtopus on Fri May 23, 2008 at 02:17:57 PM EST
    I appreciate the clarification. In return, I'm sorry for the 'sorry!' addition.

    [ Parent ]
    If they had all come out for him (none / 0) (#65)
    by Seth90212 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:37:55 AM EST
    you'd be here screaming conspiracy and sexism. Carter, Gore, Pelosi and Brazile haven't come out. But do you have any doubt as to their preferred candidate? They will all come out in due time. Meantime, they want to give Hillary an opportunity to make a graceful exist. They do not want to humiliate her.

    [ Parent ]
    Just deal with it. (5.00 / 1) (#80)
    by madamab on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:42:51 AM EST
    The nominee won't be decided until after the last votes are counted. She won't quit. She won't hand it to Obama on a silver platter.

    Just. Deal. With. It.

    [ Parent ]

    They don't want to humiliate her? Have you been (5.00 / 2) (#109)
    by leis on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:55:12 AM EST
    watching the same primary I have?

    [ Parent ]
    Heh (none / 0) (#151)
    by cawaltz on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:24:01 PM EST
    Hillary's sensibilites are why they are decrying her "evil". They are attempting to save her from herself. Who would have ever have guessed?

    [ Parent ]
    Heh. (none / 0) (#156)
    by Eleanor A on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:29:38 PM EST
    I live in Nashville and as far as Gore goes, as a matter of fact, I do have a doubt.  Which is beside the point.

    I think that's a pretty weak argument.  If your candidate is as strong as you claim, the SDs would see that he is inevitable, and all of them would be rushing to jump on his bandwagon to enjoy the fruits of his fundraising machine.  

    The fact of the matter is that they're all waiting to see what the voters are going to do.  I stand by my argument:  Since the participants in caucuses are a tiny fraction of Democratic voters,  it's easy to see that they likely do not reflect the will of the electorate in most cases.  And that's not even including SDs' Republican constituents, who will be using Barack Obama's voting record, ill-chosen personal associates, and admitted drug use to tar and feather every Democrat as far as the eye can see into the forseeable future.

    Hey, Obama's free to sink like a lead balloon if he likes, but I suspect that more than a few elected representatives won't want to join him in going down with the ship.  

    [ Parent ]

    Better question is (5.00 / 1) (#162)
    by Seth90212 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:49:46 PM EST
    why have the CA supers not stampeded to Hillary? She won the state convincingly. An even better question is: how did she go from 100 up to 30 down?

    Maybe you think Hillary is so weak that Obama should just roll her. I think she is a formidable candidate who began overwhelming advantages in her favor. The Obama victory is actually one of the biggest upsets in American political history.


    [ Parent ]

    Not sure you can (none / 0) (#189)
    by Eleanor A on Fri May 23, 2008 at 02:05:42 PM EST
    extrapolate the whole country from California's numbers (CA being a more urban state than most of the South - WV, AR, TN, for example.  For the record, this site claims Obama has 25, HRC 33, with 13 uncommitted...if the undecideds break for HRC, which they may do - they're either House members in nearly split districts or DNC members - that'd be a nearly 2 to 1 advantage for Hillary.  So I know not what your point might be.)

    As far as Obama gaining the SD lead, I think there are many plausible explanations, given Obama's caucus wins in small states having been over-weighted, his free pass from the press lending him a faux air of invulnerability, etc.

    Also, looking at the list of folks who haven't made endorsements, most of them are either DNC Reps (who one might assume could endorse Obama without fear if they so chose), or members of the House.

    What IS holding them back, if it's not fear of being held somehow accountable?  It'll be interesting to find out.

    [ Parent ]

    Well when they do, they can be counted (none / 0) (#179)
    by Ellie on Fri May 23, 2008 at 01:34:06 PM EST
    If they haven't, or if they don't, they can't.

    It just begs the question: if everyone wanted this to be over weeks ago, why isn't it?

    If Obama's a surefire winner without the unneeded voters his campaign assure have been replaced with new and better voters, why not make it official and move on?

    [ Parent ]

    Someone needs to apply some duct tape (5.00 / 5) (#18)
    by cawaltz on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:06:56 AM EST
    to Obama surrogates mouths. I said it in the last thread and I'll say it again they seem intent on offending a demographic a day. When they aren't calling Clinton supporters low information and uneducated, they are arguing that WV and KY are racist. They are insisting that MI and Floridians don't count. They talk about a new coalition that doesn't need white working class or Hispanics. Everytime they open their mouths they insult another demographic. (Congratulations Puerto Ricans, it appears you are the latest. Don't feel too bad.)

    I don't think Obama is a bad candidate. I DO think that ALOT of Obama's supporters though are an argument against him because they do not seem to understand that in order to garner votes you need to be inclusive, not dismissive. Their strategy to alienate is not a good one that would mean victory in a GE.

    The Obama (5.00 / 4) (#27)
    by Ga6thDem on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:14:25 AM EST
    campaign isn't worried. After all, once the unity pony jumps over the rainbow all those racist, low information, hispanic, women and white working class voters will magically jump on his back, right?

    [ Parent ]
    You know what I'd like to (5.00 / 3) (#45)
    by madamab on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:26:07 AM EST
    say to that?

    "Iron your own d**n shirt.

    Sweetie."

    [ Parent ]

    It's interesting (5.00 / 2) (#41)
    by Salo on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:23:49 AM EST
    that he seems to want every real battle ground state to be disenfranchised or insulted.

    His candidacy seems counterintuitive to me.

    [ Parent ]

    I blame Obama (5.00 / 1) (#61)
    by waldenpond on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:35:07 AM EST
    He has got to show leadership at some point.  It is absolutely needed for the GE.  The more he allows people to get thrown under the bus, the more ammo he gives the Repubs.  If he were to speak out about these statements this would all end.  Obama has managed to slap down liberal groups, why not MSNBC for friggin sakes?  Obama saying 'every vote counts' 'every voice should be heard' 'we are going to be in every state until the last primary has been held'  Wouldn't it be great if Obama spoke out about these comments?  I would be impressed if he reached out to PR, MT and SD.  I would think he was preparing for the GE if he were in the remaining states rather than ignoring them.

    Count everyone's vote is a great GE strategy.  Stop allowing the media and surrogates to throw voters under the bus and show some backbone.  sigh

    [ Parent ]

    It's not just MSNBC (5.00 / 2) (#76)
    by cawaltz on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:42:13 AM EST
    It's ALOT of his surrogates. I'm trying to think of the last day I haven't seen something not cringeworthy coming from people supporting him. Many of them are extremely disrespectful, and even worse don't seem to be aware of the fact they come off that way.

    If you want to convince people to play on your team you don't call them dumb or racist or say they don't matter. It's not good politics.

    [ Parent ]

    Contempt for voters? Well, Obama is now coming to (5.00 / 2) (#23)
    by SunnyLC on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:09:13 AM EST
    NM probably to try to offset his awful comment about the Bataan Death March..

    "Obama to Visit Site of Bataan Memorial Death March on Memorial Day...To Repair Dumb Comment Damage? (Or...To Straighten Out Foreign Policy Mix-up with Bill Richardson?)"

    http://insightanalytical.wordpress.com

    With links to some videos, too....Will follow up on this for the local flavor when this happens...

    Heh (5.00 / 3) (#33)
    by Steve M on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:18:53 AM EST
    Just remember, when Hillary brought up Zimbabwe, it was the Most Offensive Analogy Ever.

    [ Parent ]
    It feels like (5.00 / 2) (#39)
    by Salo on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:22:22 AM EST
    a banana republic to me.  I'm used to smooth elections coming from the Uk.  This sort of rancour in the party means that we have huge trouble.

    Swing voters may see this mess and decide the Dems are incapable of governing efficiently.

    [ Parent ]

    What's sad is that (5.00 / 2) (#42)
    by madamab on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:24:22 AM EST
    we are a lot better at governing, but much, much worse at campaigning.

    I thought Obama had the campaigning thing down, but he has managed to piss off millions of core Democratic voters in the process.

    Sigh.

    [ Parent ]

    Governing (5.00 / 1) (#110)
    by BackFromOhio on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:55:21 AM EST
    I have a very queasy feeling that Obama will not be good at governing.  He can't ever seem to decide what he thinks, why and stick to it.  Other than what benefits him at the moment.  To me, this does not make for someone who is good at governing.  I also think that to govern effectively, you have to respect others with differing opinions, so you make them feel heard, even if your ultimate decision is not what they want.  The Obama camp seems to deal with contrary opinions with disrespect and ad hominem attacks.

    [ Parent ]
    I'd think twice (none / 0) (#122)
    by Salo on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:01:34 PM EST
    about being in his cabinet if I were a top flight Democrat.  He strikes me as a guy who will be happy to see folk fall on their sword for the greater good.

    OTOH he might be a great boss. who knows?

    [ Parent ]

    Obama knows what he's doing (5.00 / 1) (#114)
    by Josey on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:58:27 AM EST
    I used to think he was insensitive and unaware his actions and messages had pissed off large chunks of the Dem Party.
    But now I believe it's all part of his #1 job that the elite Washington establishment gave him to do: Stop Hillary!


    [ Parent ]
    I don't know how true the (5.00 / 1) (#54)
    by Serene1 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:31:19 AM EST
    delegate intimidation stories were but mydd had a detailed post on Texas delegate selection which used unfair tactics to favor one candidate.

    If that be the case then how reliable is this delegate and caucus metric. Then isn't popular vote or the electoral map vote the better and more fairer metric since it would be more closer to the will of the people (democracy) and more closer to determining the final electability of the candidate (GE).

    [ Parent ]

    I wonder (5.00 / 3) (#25)
    by Ga6thDem on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:10:44 AM EST
    how this kind of thing plays with the hispanic voters in general? I also wonder if this is the kind of thing, like the hillary vp item, that is put out there to depress the voters.

    How is this playing in PR? It seems to me it's handing another club for Hillary to beat Obama over the head with. She can tell Puerto Ricans that their vote IS important while the others downgrade it.

    PR is not Mexico (none / 0) (#165)
    by Seth90212 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:57:04 PM EST
    Don't pigeonhole all Hispanics. If Tito Trinidad ran for office in PR he'd get 99% of the vote. Tito is black and could pass for Obama's brother. It's nuts to think that Clinton will blow out Obama in PR. In fact, right now I'd say he has to be the favorite there.

    [ Parent ]
    Hm. You're another one in favor of (none / 0) (#198)
    by Eleanor A on Fri May 23, 2008 at 02:29:33 PM EST
    the "all Hillary voters are anti-AA racists" meme, apparently...or so one might infer, by your insistence that a black candidate CAN win in PR!! (?)

    Interesting that you're also calling Obama a shoo-in there, since there's been no polling done since April (at which point Hillary led by 13 points...)

    [ Parent ]

    No truer words (5.00 / 4) (#26)
    by Kathy on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:11:11 AM EST
    But I would hope that Democrats and progressives would not makes such a bigoted argument. But my hopes have been dashed before.

    How often have we seen the so-called progressives taking up the petard of the right?  Same tactics, same smears, same bullying, egotistical posturing.  

    This is why I think there is no chance Obama will win "back" Clinton's base.  He does not think he needs to.  He assumes they will come round on their own-as do the progressive blogs who call for unity, yet stand idly by why women (not just Clinton) are all smeared by the worst, most sexist language.  Then you have dems like Ed Koch and Geraldine Ferraro hinting they won't vote for Obama--canaries in the coal mine.

    This rift in the party will be felt for generations.

    I just hope saner minds prevail (5.00 / 2) (#34)
    by Serene1 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:18:58 AM EST
    among the Democrats and they don't, as has been their wont lately, go on TV and diss Puerto Rico and the popular vote count.

    [ Parent ]
    sexist (none / 0) (#126)
    by cleek on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:06:01 PM EST
    could you pretty please, just for me, list all the times Hillary has stood up and demanded that people stop their racists attacks on Obama ? that would be great.

    thanks in advance.

    [ Parent ]

    which racist attacks? (none / 0) (#142)
    by cawaltz on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:14:05 PM EST
    Ferraro stepped down when Hillary sought to distance herself from her remark. Other than that I can't think of any other remarks unless you are going t count the fact they gave LBJ credit for civil rights(which he was partially responsible for BTW). So share with us the remarks coming from her camp that are based on race.

    [ Parent ]
    camp? (none / 0) (#161)
    by cleek on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:41:06 PM EST
    no, sorry. leave the goalposts where they are, please. the OP is talking about "progressives" in general, not things from the campaigns themselves.

    here, let me help:

    did Hillary denounce the dozens of people from WV and KY who, on television in front of the whole world, said they wouldn't vote for Obama because he was black ?

    or, did she denounce the tens of thousands of white people in those states who admitted in exit polling that race was a factor in their votes ?

    when did she stand up and speak out against the guilt-by-association-twice-removed tactics used to tar one black man with the activities of another black man ?

    when you post your results, links would be helpful.

    thanks.

    [ Parent ]

    Sad (none / 0) (#199)
    by Eleanor A on Fri May 23, 2008 at 02:32:54 PM EST
    You are walking into such a minefield, you have no idea.  By insisting the Clintons are racists, you folks will have cried wolf to such a degree that nobody will even listen when the Republicans - who are virulent, vicious actual racists - start up their shifty/lazy/druggy Mandingo-style attacks on Obama.

    I'm not in favor of GOP tactics - far from it - but you folks will have made it far, far easier for them to get away with this stuff in the general election.

    (Don't believe me?  Do a quick Youtube search for "Harold at the Playboy Party".  It'll serve a preview for you for what's coming to a national television network near you very soon.)

    [ Parent ]

    Feinstein is promoting Obama/Hillary (none / 0) (#129)
    by Josey on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:07:04 PM EST
    The Dem Party needs Obama the Rockstar & Fundraiser at the top of the ticket and all the Hillary supporters will fall in line - right?
    ugh

    [ Parent ]
    Kos made this argument yesterday (5.00 / 3) (#30)
    by Manuel on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:16:54 AM EST
    in his post about reforming the system.

    As long as Puerto Ricans are citizens, can join the armed forces, and die for the country they should have a voice in chosing the Democratic Presidential candidate.

    Isnt't this a basic Democratic value?  What do people think this party stands for anymore?


    I'll pretend that I don't (5.00 / 2) (#37)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:20:55 AM EST
    understand what Alter is implying, and say, yes I agree with him, it's hideous that Puerto Ricans can not vote in the general election for their own head of state (the president).

    At least they're allowed to vote in the primary, so this miniscule leverage that they do have should count. But saying that their votes shouldn't count even in that context is an utter travesty -- one worthy of a Keithy special comment, I'm sure!! ;-).

    Alter was always a rabid and insane Clinton hater.  In the 90's I thought he was a Republican, he hated the Clintons so badly.  He would get this sneer on his face whenever he talked about them. Coupled with that toupe he used to wear he looked pretty dastardly.  Now, he's gone away from bad toupes, and I used to think also away with bad attitudes, but I guess Clinton changed all that.  She truly is the change candidate.

    Er, about that toupee? (none / 0) (#201)
    by gyrfalcon on Fri May 23, 2008 at 02:46:35 PM EST
    I know you don't know this, but the reason Alter was wearing a toupee was because he lost all his hair from chemotherapy from I believe a very bad lymphoma. (Worth thinking about this possibility any time you see someone with really bad hair, btw.)

    [ Parent ]
    I'm going to bet (5.00 / 4) (#43)
    by magisterludi on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:24:35 AM EST
    that about 70% of the American people would be very surprised to learn how little regard the DNC holds the popular vote. To remind voters that their vote is even more meaningless just doesn't seem to make good political sense, now does it?

    The entire problem with the popular vote argument (5.00 / 2) (#48)
    by flyerhawk on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:27:10 AM EST
    is that it is entirely fungible.  

    Clinton supporters define as one thing.  Obama supporters define it as another.

    Which states count?  How do you count caucuses accurately?  Should caucus counts be expanded to give caucus states a more equitable voice in the process?  

    I'm not looking for answers to these questions.  I am pointing out that if there can be no agreed upong popular vote count then the popular vote is meaningless.

    And so far there is little evidence to suggest that SDs are buying into the popular vote argument.  And it seems exceedingly unlikely that the SDs will be swayed enough to swing the nomination to Hillary.

    Both sides can get outraged by the other side's definition of what the popular vote count is.  But  that outrage and 4 dollars will buy you a latte.

    I define it like this (5.00 / 3) (#52)
    by Edgar08 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:29:53 AM EST
    The more corrupted it gets the better Obama does.

    [ Parent ]
    Let's see: (5.00 / 2) (#59)
    by madamab on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:34:17 AM EST
    Caucuses=undemocratic: Obama wins.
    States=disenfranchised: Obama wins.
    Turnout=low: Obama wins.

    I'd say you're right on target there.

    [ Parent ]

    On the flip side (5.00 / 2) (#71)
    by Edgar08 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:39:03 AM EST
    The more people who vote  -- AND are counted -- the better Clinton seems to do.

    [ Parent ]
    Like Oregon and Wisconsin (none / 0) (#127)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:06:04 PM EST
    and North Carolina?  

    [ Parent ]
    There were definitely some states (none / 0) (#153)
    by Edgar08 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:26:56 PM EST
    Where everyone was given a chance to vote and Obama wins.

    [ Parent ]
    Thank you Edgar08 (none / 0) (#184)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 01:47:15 PM EST
    you put a smile on my face.  I AGREE with you that it is time to abandon the caucus.

    Do you know - Are there good reasons (costs, etc.) for states to choose the caucus over a primary?

    I just don't think that Obama should be criticized for winning states by the rules that were in place at the time.  Or that he should be characterized as a an "illegitmate candidate" because he got delegates from caucuses.

    And I also note that Bill Clinton had no problem with caucuses during his 8 years.  He certainly made no effort to change the system, that I can find.

    [ Parent ]

    the more pedantic (5.00 / 2) (#73)
    by Salo on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:41:24 AM EST
    and exclusive it got in the various states, the more he benefitted.

    [ Parent ]
    He's a byproduct of a system (5.00 / 1) (#78)
    by Edgar08 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:42:35 AM EST
    Not of votes.

    And even the Obama blogs agree the system is trash.

    So go figure that one out.


    [ Parent ]

    gaming systems is his forte. (5.00 / 1) (#108)
    by Salo on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:54:33 AM EST
    maybe that's a good thing. Idunno yet though.

    [ Parent ]
    Open primaries (none / 0) (#187)
    by IndiDemGirl on Fri May 23, 2008 at 01:50:21 PM EST
    are exclusive?  I thought the knock on him was that he couldn't appeal to those exclusive "closed" primaries where only Dems vote.

    [ Parent ]
    You don't even bother (none / 0) (#55)
    by flyerhawk on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:32:12 AM EST
    to make sense anymore, do you?

    [ Parent ]
    No (5.00 / 2) (#67)
    by Edgar08 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:37:56 AM EST
    If you can figure it out, it's not that difficult.

    In formats that limit voter participation Obama does better than Clinton.

    In formats that represent our best understanding of what Democracy should be, Clinton doesn't always win, but she does do better.

    And in those formats, when she's not doing better, she's winning.

    Again, what I've always said, ain't caucusses great.

    Not only do they limit voter participation, but then when someone wants to consider a popular vote tally at the end of the process, the fact that voter participation was limitted by caucusses also functions as a reason why we can't count the popular vote.

    I think that's funny.  Don't you think that's funny?

    [ Parent ]

    What I find funny (none / 0) (#83)
    by flyerhawk on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:44:47 AM EST
    is your bizarre belief that the Obama campaign somehow created the Democratic Party nomination process.  

    Obama didn't invent the caucus.  But he did realize that they do, in fact, count.  That's something that Hillary apparently did NOT realize until she lost them all.

    You talk about considering the popular vote but what you really mean is you want the wholly UNDEMOCRATIC superdelegates to consider the popular vote so that they can thwart the actual system in place.  

    [ Parent ]

    I never said he created it (5.00 / 1) (#87)
    by Edgar08 on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:45:27 AM EST
    I said he wouldn't have won without it.


    [ Parent ]
    he was bright enough (5.00 / 1) (#106)
    by Salo on Fri May 23, 2008 at 11:53:33 AM EST
    to figure out the loop holes and he cleverly aligned his support around it.

    How he's able to get the nomination af