[In state after state, Barack Obama is drastically underperforming John Kerry's general election numbers among whites among a voter pool almost entirely limited to Democrats.

In the Ohio Democratic primary, Barack Obama carried 34 percent of the white vote. In the 2004 general election, John Kerry carried 44 percent of the white vote.

In Pennsylvania, Obama carried 37 percent of the white vote. In the 2004 general election, John Kerry carried 45 percent.

In Missouri, Obama won 39 percent of the white vote. In the 2004 general election, John Kerry carried 42 percent of the white vote.

This phenomenon occurs in states that aren't seen as teeming with those classic Rust Belt/Midwest demographics. In Connecticut, Obama carried 48 percent of the white vote; John Kerry carried 51 percent.

In New Jersey, Obama carried 31 percent of the white vote. In the 2004 general election, Kerry carried 46 percent.

In Rhode Island, Obama carried 37 percent of the white vote. In the 2004 general election Kerry carried 57 percent of the white vote.

In Maryland, Obama carried 42 percent of the white vote; Kerry carried 44 percent in the 2004 general election.

There are a few states where Obama's primary percentage outpaces Kerry's general election share. In North Carolina, Obama carried 37 percent of the white vote. In the 2004 general election, John Kerry carried 27 percent. (So much for help from John Edwards.)

In Indiana, Obama carried 40 percent of the white vote; Kerry carried 34 percent.

In New Mexico, Obama carried 55 percent of the white vote, Kerry got 43 percent. (Of course, in that state, Kerry carried 56 percent of the Latino vote (32 percent of the electorate that year), while Obama carried 36 percent of that key demographic in this year's caucus, according to exit polls.)]

The GOP turnout has been lower than normal since late Feb when the race was decided. Moreover, apart from a handful of states, the total turnout has been under 40%. In the nearly 20 caucus states, all won by Obama, the turnout has not exceeded 16.5% in Iowa. Elsewhere it all under 10%.

And they forget that about a third of the Clinton base will not vote for Obama for one reason or another. Whether they vote for Obama or stay home, the net effect is the same. McCain wins and I would rather that to be quite honest than to see the train wreck that an Obama Presidency would be. A Train Wreck by Obama would cost the Democrats a chance at the Presidency for another generation.

After the initial euphoria over Obama which helped him become the frontrunner, his past associations and other sundries are now making most people have a second thought about him. Whereas Hillary started of like Obama loves to tell with a strong negative - high dislikeability factor. That combined with her initial strategic goof ups has made her lag behind Obama. But that has also worked towards making her like John Edwards said, an extremely strong and worthy candidate. She has withstood the trial by fire and has emerged stronger because of it. She has proved her toughness, her humanness and her readiness for the job.

As to a Romney pick, I have heard that McCain just doesn't like him (most of the GOP candidates were said to not like Romney).  McCain would be brilliant to pick Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas.  She is popular within the GOP, makes a pretty good public appearance, and would probably pick up a huge number of moderate women who might have voted for Clinton.  

WV is just a warm up disco kittens to the electoral college tug-of-war.

Hillary has won the MAJOR battleground states that seat US presidents.

Not to bash our fellow Americans in nice places like Idaho and Wyoming, but elections are won in OH, PA and FL.  And Senator Clinton can deliver the goods.   I am hoping for a 60%+ blow out tonight after all the counting has done.  

Hillary Rodham Clinton=GREATNESS!

OFB?

CDS?

SILLINESS.  Completely.

And I totally agree about Colorado and Indiana.  I don't see Obama getting CO either (just a feeling I got) and I don't see him getting Indiana, either.  I posted this in another political forum on LJ and the Obama people whined at me.