Puerto Rico to Hold Primary Instead of Caucuses June 1

By Jeralyn, Section Elections 2008
Posted on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 11:33:48 PM EST
Tags: Puerto Rico '08 (all tags)

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Excellent news. Puerto Rico has decided against caucuses and in favor of a primary and moved the date up to June 1.

[Puerto Rico will] change the voting process from 8 caucuses to a primary with voting places in all 1,800+ barrios in Puerto Rico's 78 municipalities. This is done in light of the hundreds of thousands of Democrats expected to turn out on June 1, a late date in which we would have originally expected a pro-forma vote with low turnout.

Puerto Rico has 55 pledged delegates. The DNC has approved the move up to June 1. The last states will now be Montana and South Dakota, which vote on June 3.

Update [2008-3-7 10:15:21 by Big Tent Democrat]: I want to make one point about Puerto Rico that I think some folks are missing when predicting what will happen there. First it is not a winner take all contest. Nonetheless, I believe Hillary Clinton will run up big margins in Puerot Rico. As much as any jurisdiction in this contest, Puerto Rico has political machines for churning out the votes. There are no "new voters" for Obama to turn on. The political bosses turn out the vote. They are mostly with Clinton, especially the ones with the most powerful vote getting machines. The Governor of Puerto Rico, is not going to go all out for Obama and his machine is frankly, not as strong as others for THESE purposes. Puerto Rico will go Clinton 2-1 imo.

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Puerto Rico to Hold Primary Instead of Caucuses June 1 | 59 comments (59 topical)

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Great news indeed! (5.00 / 1) (#1)
by NJDem on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 11:35:59 PM EST

So, BDT--are you going to tell us why the endorsement of the governor of PR is a bad thing for Obama. Come on, give us the inside scoop! :)

i suspect they took one look at (5.00 / 2) (#2)
by cpinva on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 11:36:01 PM EST

the disenfrachising fiascos that have been the caucuses to date and decided (wisely) they wanted no part of it.

will it be a closed primary?

Great news (5.00 / 1) (#3)
by facta non verba on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 11:38:53 PM EST

for Clinton. Takes me back for my first campaign back in 1980 when I made four trips there for John Anderson. Then statehood was an issue, now I don't think so but I haven't followed Puerto Rican politics in a while. Surreal that they may decide the next President of the United States. Whodathunk it?

The 51st State (5.00 / 3) (#5)
by Coral Gables on Thu Mar 06, 2008 at 11:52:35 PM EST

Or so they will say when they announce their delegates, has more of a sense of democracy than many of the actual 50 states. Imagine, a primary where people can cast a ballot, one person one vote. Who knew it would be such a great idea.

Great news (5.00 / 2) (#6)
by wasabi on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 12:14:02 AM EST

After my experience and others in the texas caucus, I'd say voting in an election is the way to go.

Fait accompli (1.00 / 0) (#8)
by Arabiflora on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 12:47:34 AM EST

The news story is presented without context or meaning: It reports that PR has changed it's selection date and format, but gives no explanation of WHY it did so.

Could it be that the HRC campaign felt disadvantaged if the PR canvass was conducted in caucus format? If so (or even if not), please tell me who moved the levers of power to make this change? Such things don't just happen.

Likewise with re: to MI and FL primaries/caucuses: Who had the bright idea to break the agreed-upon rules for scheduling state nominating contests?

Could it have been at the instigation and with the support of the DLC and HRC campaign, as part of the Penn-mastered super-Tuesday strategy of preemptive coronation?

Dean's denial to seat FL and MI delegates at the Dem party convention must suck for FL and MI dems on either side of the HRC/BHO divide, but... it is what it is. You takes yer money, you takes yer chances. The HRC/Mark Penn frontloading strategy failed her candidacy and it disenfranchised those voters. As important as it may be to 'enfranchise' those voters, it's equally important to acknowledge the means of their demise (hint: Obama had nothing to do with it).

x (5.00 / 5) (#9)
by CognitiveDissonance on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 12:51:34 AM EST

Hint: neither did Hillary Clinton. 2nd Hint: neither did the 1.7 million voters. 3rd Hint: Neither did the rest of the country, if they are going to be adversely affected in November by angry voters in FL and MI who jump to McCain. In other words, everything isn't always about what is best for Obama. What is best for the party and the voters should be the thing that is considered here.


Really? (none / 0) (#12)
by Arabiflora on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 01:21:54 AM EST

If, as you contend, the HRC campaign had nothing to do with FL and MI jumping the schedule-- an extraordinary move, btw-- then please explain how that happened. My conjecture is that it was done at the behest of the Clinton campaign as part and parcel of their front-loading strategy.

It backfired.

The fact that 1.7 million voters turned out to vote in a nominating contest that wasn't actually contested and was known in advance as null and void speaks more to the absurdity of US electoral politics than to any good intentions of the voters. It should go without saying that, had FL and MI maintained a polling date beyond the Feb 5 line, that their voters would have had a particularly strong voice in this nominating process. But recall the mantra of Bill Clinton... something about people getting up in the morning, going to work... playing by the rules....

Finally, let me point out that FL and MI voters, at least those who may have wished to weigh-in on the selection of Democratic nominee, have indeed been silenced in the course of the Democratic candidate nomination process. That's unfortunate and I wish it were not so. But surely those voters can make their way to the polling place come November and make their preference known?


: Nonsense (none / 0) (#17)
by cdalygo on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 01:41:43 AM EST

Let's go through this again.
The decision to move up the FLA primary belongs to the Republican controlled legislature.
Other states, including South Carolina, moved up their election but the DNC did not punish them.
What worries many of us that these voters will let their feelings be known in November by choosing McCain. After all why should they have loyalty toward a Party that disenfranchised them.

: My understanding... (none / 0) (#20)
by K Lynne on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 06:45:12 AM EST

...was simply that MI and FL wanted to have a little more say in the process; to force the candidates to pay them some attention rather than to be ignored in the end after the decision had been made. Which is EXACTLY what happened for the Repubs. Florida ended up being the 'kingmaker' for McCain - forcing Giuliani out of the race and effectively handing NY / NJ to McCain. Unfortunately, it didn't work out so well for the Dems...
Geez, I thought the tinfoil-hat brigade was kept safely over that that orange place. That's why I'm here, for the most part - because the discussions are reasonable and tend to avoid the conspiracy theories.
-K Lynne

: Hillary controls the weather too!!!! (none / 0) (#29)
by kenosharick on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:35:55 AM EST

Consider another, more benign possibility (5.00 / 1) (#11)
by diplomatic on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 01:16:02 AM EST

Maybe the Puerto Rican government officials and Democratic Party associates did not want to have a MESS on their hands with unflattering headlines of chaos, bullying, vandalism, fraud, etc like those we are seeing coming out of Texas.

The media would just eat that kind of fiasco with a spoon, especially if it happens in Puerto Rico. They will use it to frame the Democratic Party as completely in disarray and report on it just like they did with Florida and the chads. The image of Puerto Rico has had its ups and down and the last thing the people there would want is to have a mess on their hands that ends up deciding who the potential President of the United States will be.

Besides, one thing that has become evident during this process is that primaries are just the more fair and inclusive option.


Fair enough... (none / 0) (#16)
by Arabiflora on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 01:36:57 AM EST

Your hypothesis of PR gov't hoping to avoid the messy logistics of a caucus is presently as well-supported as mine (that the change was motivated/engineered by the HRC campaign, DLC, etc).

I still maintain that such late changes in nomination format-- and contest date-- do not come about on a whim or by accident, and the news available provides no clues as to why this change in PR nominating process has come about at this very pivotal time.


The truth... (none / 0) (#18)
by sumac on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 02:13:16 AM EST

Obama's campaign secretly organized the switch so that they could blame Hillary for her devious machinations. My theory is as well supported as those aforementioned.

Seriously?!

I will not be hurt if this post is deleted.


Please provide proof that Hillary's campaign (none / 0) (#32)
by Angel on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:03:45 AM EST

had ANYTHING to do with the Puerto Rico change. You can't. So please stop with the nonsense.


: Sarcasm (none / 0) (#49)
by sumac on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 12:09:13 PM EST

I was using it. :)

I suspect (none / 0) (#39)
by TeresaInSnow2 on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 09:33:48 AM EST

that Texas sent them over the edge.

The thuggish behavior and potential for cheating was absolutely unreal.


: Both sides looked bad in TX (none / 0) (#47)
by Socraticsilence on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 10:39:29 AM EST

Yeah neither side really distinguished themselves in Texas.

Or could it be just what is given (5.00 / 1) (#13)
by Cream City on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 01:25:32 AM EST

as the reason, that it is clear with the turnout this time that the caucus sites will not be sufficient? Do you understand (or did you bother to look this up, which takes less time than to type your post) that Puerto Rico has a population of 4 MILLION? This is not some insignicant little isle. And it looks like an intelligent isle, far more so than the state of Texas -- as it was clear some months ago to some of us reading caucus coverage, and one would think to pols, that it was past time to make caucuses a thing of the past. Good for Puerto Rico. Show the caucus states how elections are done in a democracy.


: Uh, before BTD corrects me (none / 0) (#15)
by Cream City on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 01:28:31 AM EST

Of course, I should have more correctly said that Puerto Rico is a significant collection of several islas.:-)

It gives two reasons ... (5.00 / 1) (#21)
by Robot Porter on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:00:09 AM EST

a rules issue (must be the first Sunday), and the size of the expected turnout.

Those are two clear reasons why they changed the date and format of the contest.


Once again, a person speaks who (5.00 / 1) (#22)
by Marguerite Quantaine on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:34:01 AM EST

doesn't know the Florida details.

Howard Dean told Florida Democrats we could not change our primary date.

We did NOT change our primary date.

Republican Governor Charlie Crist and our Republican Legislature changed the primary date over the protest of Democrats.

Howard Dean disenfranchised Florida Democrats for what the Republicans did.

Dean's decision provided power to the Republicans to create the perfect storm in this campaign.

No Democrats campaigned in Florida.

All candidates were put on the ballot.

Record turnouts in Florida set the pace for the rest of the nation to do the same.

Ergo, the Florida vote should be counted.

Florida Democrats did not break the rules. We did everything according to the rules.

It's time the Democratic leaders from other states stepped up to the plate to demand Florida be counted.

And it's time the media told the truth about this matter. And bloggers get the facts right,

We can only hope.


Absolutely correct (none / 0) (#24)
by Salt on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 07:55:19 AM EST

I believe CNN did get it roughly right last evening for a change. But as for the rest, denial is a defense mechanism, only if Hillary lost the vote would they then repeat events as they happened. As for Mich, I belive the vote should stand but I really question the wisdom of a caucuses not because Senator Clinton cant win them I believe that is over, they will have observers at every site and a ground game, but the rhetoric has become aggressively heated and any additional behavior that intimidates voters will reflect very poorly on the Party and no doubt there will be video if anything were to happen, mail in is a better solution this blunder has done enough damage divided enough Dems.


"Roughly right" is like being (none / 0) (#45)
by Marguerite Quantaine on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 10:17:52 AM EST

a "little" pregnant, and anyone who supports the media for being less than accurate and forthright is part of the problem, not the solution.

As for denial, he who name calls is usually the one most deserving of the name being called.

I'm not a Michigander and I don't try to make their case.

I am a Floridian. I am an informed voter. I know what's going on here.

So don't scorn anyone from Florida trying to get the rest of this country to understand what's happened.

Because it doesn't become you, and it isn't about me.

Instead of "super delegates" jumping the gun to get their name above the fold for a 10 second photo-op in the annals of history, they should be banding together to get Florida counted based on the facts.


: No scorn intended (none / 0) (#46)
by Salt on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 10:36:15 AM EST

my schock was a cable outlet even attempting an accurate report. I am in complete agreement with your position and your facts.

This is stupid (5.00 / 2) (#26)
by ChrisO on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 08:01:12 AM EST

"It reports that PR has changed it's selection date and format, but gives no explanation of WHY it did so."

Do you know how links work? This is right in the story, which is all of about two paragraphs long:

"This is done in light of the hundreds of thousands of Democrats expected to turn out on June 1, a late date in which we would have originally expected a pro-forma vote with low turnout." That's what's known as an explanation.

And it's really tiresome to read posts by people who are pulling crackpot theories out of their asses, then insisting that people disprove them. There were a lot of states in the mix, trying to move up their primaries. It was widely reported. Some states were bullied into holding off. There is not a scintilla of evidence that the Clinton campaign had anything to do with it, and this kind of "how do we know they didn't" stuff is just throwing crap at the wall. You may have noticed that Dean has done nothing to help Hillary in this situation, which might be expected if he was conspiring with her.

I can't believe I just took the time to respond to this post.


Huh? (none / 0) (#14)
by Coral Gables on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 01:25:59 AM EST

Who had the bright idea to break the agreed-upon rules for scheduling state nominating contests? Could it have been at the instigation and with the support of the DLC and HRC campaign, as part of the Penn-mastered super-Tuesday strategy...

Your answer would be a GOP governor and a GOP legislative body in Florida. This really isn't rocket science at this point. It's hard to believe people still speculate on it. The grassy knoll theorists need to take a nap and wake up in December.


Two things one serious the other Snark (none / 0) (#19)
by Florida Resident on Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 05:16:32 AM EST

%%norm