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Saturday Reading and Open Thread (Mostly)

By Jeralyn, Section Blog Related
Posted on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:42:55 PM EST
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I'm trying to follow the Iowa county assembly votes today. Here are the January caucus results so you can compare when today's numbers become available. Nieman at Daily Kos may be keeping track.

This is an open thread, with a caveat. We are not commenting (and neither should you) about a candidate and his pastor. Any comments about it will be deleted. People have shown they can't discuss it rationally, and what's okay to one person is insulting to another. My decision, with the full support of Big Tent Democrat, is that it will not be on this site.

As to other topics, the floor is your's.

< Cable News Ratings | Fighting For Obama? >

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    Saturday Reading and Open Thread (Mostly) | 170 comments (170 topical)

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    My PA State Senator, Vince Fumo (5.00 / 1) (#3)
    by andgarden on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:57:10 PM EST
    was indicted last year, and suffered a heart attack last month. As a result, he has decided not to stand for reelection. The primary is in April.

    The best funded candidate today is (barely) Democrat John Dougherty, who two years ago gave substantial logistical support to Rick Santorum through his union. That makes Dougherty unacceptable to me.

    The other candidates include an anti-casino advocate who will likely pick up the "wine track votes" and a lawyer who almost won a state house primary last year. I will have to decide which of these two to support, keeping in mind that there will be no runoff.

    Ugh.

    Ther is problems (5.00 / 1) (#4)
    by PlayInPeoria on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:57:34 PM EST
    in Kosland.. seems writers that support Hillary are tired of the wild comments... They went on strike

    Alegre writes..

    This is a strike - a walkout over unfair writing conditions at DailyKos. It does not mean that if conditions get better I won't "work" at DailyKos again.  As a regular contributor to the discourse in our community, I would certainly hope to take part in the conversation at DailyKos again some day if we ever get to the point where we're engaging each other in discussion rather than facing off in shouting matches. But not now. Writers need a safe place to reach out and exchange ideas, to communicate and challenge one another. DailyKos should be that place, but its tone, its essence has evolved into something ugly and destructive. Good writers can't survive in that kind of atmosphere.  Democrats shouldn't have to put up with that from fellow Democrats.

    A list of others hacve joined the writers strike.

    Sad news that they have been driven out of a blog after so many years of contributions.
     

    No surprise (5.00 / 1) (#18)
    by Lou Grinzo on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:16:20 PM EST
    While I almost never diaried over there, I was a very frequent contributor in comments, had TU status, etc.  The rabid crowds became far too much for me to take.

    I now come here, and very seldom stray over to That Other Place.


    [ Parent ]

    I would say (none / 0) (#20)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:19:06 PM EST
    on a worse worser and worst scale they are about the middle.

    [ Parent ]
    LOL (none / 0) (#25)
    by cymro on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:25:31 PM EST
    I like your scale!

    [ Parent ]
    I don't know (none / 0) (#29)
    by Edgar08 on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:31:41 PM EST
    If comparing Clinton supporters UNFAVORABLY to the Ebola virus is the middle of the worse scale, I'd hate to see the Worst.

    [ Parent ]
    Same at Eschaton but less so... (5.00 / 3) (#37)
    by Tacitus Voltaire on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:38:02 PM EST
    I had to opt myself out of the Eschaton blog for the duration of the uglyness because I get too upset over the constant Hillary hating drumbeat. It has gotten to where some weeks it is not possible to watch news on TV, listen to left wing talk radio, or read a blog without hearing Hillary getting bashed. If I hear yet another comment from a supposedly impartial or progressive person describing why such and such a remark proves definitively that she is an immoral person I will scream. After having heard the same thing constantly from the right wing since 1992, I feel like a number of the Eschatonians, Big Ed on Air America, Chris Matthews, and now Keith Olberman, have been been demonically possessed by Rush Limbaugh.

    The fact that Hillary won in Rhode Island, Ohio, and Texas and retains about half of Democratic support under these conditions says something about her enduring appeal. She is warm and funny on TV, and a lot of democrats still do want to see her as the next president.

    [ Parent ]

    Heh (5.00 / 1) (#39)
    by Steve M on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:40:47 PM EST
    I have never, ever read the comments at Atrios.  Haloscan is just too darn annoying.  Impossible to follow a conversation and it's in that tiny little browser window.

    [ Parent ]
    Seriously (none / 0) (#44)
    by andgarden on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:43:00 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    I actually comment a lot (none / 0) (#57)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:02:17 PM EST
    at atrios.
    I rarely disagree with Duncan and the comments, while fast and furious and ruff and tumble, can also be fun and funny as hell.
    also a lot of "names" show up there who I also mostly agree with.
    its just hands down cool to find your self in a back and forth with Noam Chompsky.

    [ Parent ]
    and (none / 0) (#58)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:03:30 PM EST
    while there is an certain Hillary drumbeat, it is not the life blood of the blog.
    unlike some other places.
    it is more like and equal opportunity bashing place.

    [ Parent ]
    Lately, I try to stick to this place ... (none / 0) (#59)
    by Robot Porter on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:09:41 PM EST
    or C-Span.  Too much hysteria in the other places.

    And when even that's too much, it's back to DVDs and books.

    Luckily, I'm rather swamped with work, so there's only so much time I can devote to any of it.

    [ Parent ]

    I only do this at work (none / 0) (#62)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:11:59 PM EST
    great work if you can get it, eh?
    I work with computers and like almost everyone who works with computer imaging I spend a lot of time waiting for things to happen.
    it can be a slippery slope though if you are easily sucked in.
    and I am.

    [ Parent ]
    Luckily ... (none / 0) (#71)
    by Robot Porter on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:22:46 PM EST
    I find my work more interesting than this most days.

    [ Parent ]
    I do as well (5.00 / 1) (#77)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:27:48 PM EST
    except in campaign season.
    which, come to think of it, is pretty much all the time these days.
    when did this campaign season start?  I cant even remember.

    [ Parent ]
    Didn't It Start The Day After The Final Results (none / 0) (#89)
    by MO Blue on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:48:22 PM EST
    were in on the 06 elections? Or maybe, it seems that way.

    [ Parent ]
    true, (none / 0) (#63)
    by Tacitus Voltaire on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:13:21 PM EST
    since a number of the senior posters have tried with some success to tamp down the bitterness. It is the closest thing to real time conversation that I have ever experienced, and the people are generally well educated.

    [ Parent ]
    Yeah.. (5.00 / 3) (#60)
    by Rainsong on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:10:19 PM EST
    It is sooo overwhelming, I am constantly stunned that Hillary gets as much support as she does.

    A dozen or more major national and regional TV networks, 100 gazillion newspapers, half-dozen or more daily tracking opinion polls, and 1,789,438 websites & blogs just Can't Be Wrong, when they are all saying the same message that: Obama is the proven winner, Hillary is evil, racist, immoral, constantly, disgracefully negative and Rovian, a deeply divisive monster tearing the Democratic Party apart, etcetera, etcetera.

    I thought back at Super-Tuesday that she would never be able to stand in the rolling tsunamis of such overwhelming negative press from TV, radio, paper etc, down to the net blogosphere. Yet millions of people keep stupidly, stubbornly voting for her. Go figure?

    Reminds me of back in the 90s too - it often made me chuckle when the Clinton approval ratings often went up in defiance of the negative press.

    [ Parent ]

    stupidly, stubbornly? (none / 0) (#139)
    by echinopsia on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 07:01:13 PM EST
    Yet millions of people keep stupidly, stubbornly voting for her.

    Some people are actually smart enough not to let the media choose their candidate for them. Lots of them, in fact.

    [ Parent ]

    Haven't spent much time at DK... (5.00 / 3) (#41)
    by DudeE on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:42:04 PM EST
    ...however I used to spend a fair amount of time on HuffPo.  Up until the Iowa caucus, it was a pretty even-keeled and civil place.  Quite honestly, once the voting started and it looked like Obama was picking up steam, things got pretty nasty.  Long story short, the editorial choices over there are intentionally provocative and Obama supporters seem to be satisfied with nothing less than abusing Clinton's corpse.

    On a more pleasant note, here in FL I've noticed some Hillary supporters waving signs on the highway demanding to seat the delegates.  Honk if ya see 'em...

    [ Parent ]

    *chuckle* - you've made my week with (5.00 / 2) (#117)
    by Rainsong on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 05:41:13 PM EST
    ...seem to be satisfied with nothing less than abusing Clinton's corpse.

    bwahahahahahaha

    I thought that too, it wasn't so much they wanted their candidate to win, (which is fine), but that they want the other candidate to lose, and lose badly. To me, it became like watching the mobs at a blood sport, like the blood-lust in the ancient Roman imperial arenas. As you say, nothing less would satisfy them.

    [ Parent ]

    Ironic (5.00 / 2) (#122)
    by Marvin42 on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 06:05:02 PM EST
    Considering the candidate they support stands on the platform of unity, new politics, civility, one America....

    Except for Hillary and their supporters. :)

    [ Parent ]

    I think thats great (none / 0) (#10)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:05:36 PM EST
    and long overdue

    [ Parent ]
    It was the only one I looked at today over there (5.00 / 1) (#35)
    by BarnBabe on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:36:54 PM EST
    The odd thing was that they actually closed the comments at 1250 or so and they are not available. Then Bob wants to Boycott Jerome Armstrong, etc. The only thing that worried me was when the writer said they would spend more time on MyDD and here. That is good as long as the same smear team does not follow them over just to disrupt. Time will tell. I am glad that comments are controlled over here. It keeps the peace and I appreciate that.

    [ Parent ]
    here is a proud member (5.00 / 1) (#134)
    by ghost2 on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 06:45:55 PM EST
    of the striking bloggers at dkos.  I said I wasn't going back.  By the way, The Confluence, Marc Ambinder, and Taylor Marsh have covered the strike.

    [ Parent ]
    disabled comments are diarist's choice. (none / 0) (#42)
    by Fabian on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:42:29 PM EST
    Not many people know that the diarist can do that at daily kos.  I got someone booted there because he was playing games - disabling comments and enabling them long just enough to post his own comments.

    I think the disabled comments is a valid choice when comment threads really should be spun out into other posts.

    [ Parent ]

    CT did it (none / 0) (#48)
    by BarnBabe on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:45:01 PM EST
    I was under the impression that he is the PC guy there. He closed the comments and they were no longer there.

    [ Parent ]
    I cannot imagine Allegre closing comments (none / 0) (#171)
    by Cream City on Sun Mar 16, 2008 at 12:01:19 AM EST
    so I appreciate the explanation of who did this -- I was shocked to see it, though, when I went to read the diary.  I have been reading there for many years and never have seen that before.

    [ Parent ]
    I'm also glad (none / 0) (#47)
    by lilburro on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:44:52 PM EST
    comments are limited to more or less 200.  It means sometimes I miss threads I wish I could comment on (#$%! work!) but really, at that point, most is said.  

    [ Parent ]
    re "most is said" (at least 20 times) (none / 0) (#68)
    by oculus on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:18:16 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    I read comments on the reporting (none / 0) (#31)
    by Kathy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:32:34 PM EST
    of the strike story, and they have managed to blame Clinton for the strike, and see it as proof that she is divisive and should quit the race to preserve the sanctity of America.

    I'm not kidding.

    [ Parent ]

    if there is a late spring (5.00 / 1) (#36)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:37:34 PM EST
    it will be Hillarys fault.

    [ Parent ]
    The narrative regins supreme! (5.00 / 1) (#38)
    by Fabian on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:39:27 PM EST
    I haven't checked responses to my one comment over there pointing that out - but I expect the usual response:

    There wouldn't be a narrative if it weren't true, blah, blah, blah.

    Someone also complains about the moderation at talkleft.  I point out that the rules are up front and people who have restraint and discipline do just fine.

    [ Parent ]

    Not to mention (none / 0) (#49)
    by PlayInPeoria on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:45:14 PM EST
    that when BTD goes over the line... he gets the same treatment. Everyone goes by the rules.

    [ Parent ]
    The American Experience (5.00 / 1) (#13)
    by magster on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:10:20 PM EST
    The MS primary prompted a diary by Meteor Blades at Kos about how far MS had come since the days of the freedom writers (of which he was one), and one commenter posted a youtube clip on the PBS documentary "The American Experience".  Here's part 1 of episode 1. I've been watching that show all week on youtube, and ordered the missing episodes at the library to supplement what was on youtube.

    If you start watching these, you won't stop.  It adds good perspective too on all the recent racial stuff in the primaries.

    <psst: to be clear and not confuse> (none / 0) (#172)
    by Cream City on Sun Mar 16, 2008 at 12:04:59 AM EST
    American Experience is the extraordinary PBS series of many years now, many different topics.  You are writing about one of the great old ones, the Eyes on the Prize.  And I think you mean the Freedom Riders?

    Go to the American Experience website on PBS for the list of dozens and dozens of other great documentaries in the series -- and many, like Eyes on the Prize, are in (probably your) public libraries.

    [ Parent ]

    For the record (5.00 / 1) (#28)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:31:10 PM EST
    I do not support a boycott of daily kos. In fact, I read it every day.

    It is what it is.

    I do support solidarity with Talk Left by reading and commenting at this site.

    it is difficult (5.00 / 2) (#34)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:36:27 PM EST
    to "support" a site, that one or any other, where you are regularly and dependably called names and worse.
    having my opinions questioned is one thing having my  motives, heritage and sanity questioned is another.
    I swear, one more instance of being called tackey, low brow, white trailer trash and I would reach right into the screen and drag them out by the throat.

    [ Parent ]
    Stay out of the candidate and meta diaries (5.00 / 1) (#40)
    by magster on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:41:14 PM EST
    There's something worth reading on all the big blogs at least once a day.

    [ Parent ]
    true (none / 0) (#45)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:43:20 PM EST
    if only to keep up on the new definition of "nuts"

    [ Parent ]
    The occasional times I do ... (none / 0) (#69)
    by Robot Porter on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:20:42 PM EST
    comment on Dkos these days (and that's very, very rarely) I take a humorous, sometime even dadaist approach.

    The commenters get confused and don't know quite what to do.

    But even that is only entertaining for so long.

    Frankly, even before this election, I never trusted the progressive creds of that community.  They've always gotten worked up over things that don't really matter.  

    [ Parent ]

    My fave approach... (none / 0) (#74)
    by DudeE on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:27:11 PM EST
    ...is to simply lob a crazed 'Clinton-hater' post and watch them sniff it out trying to tell if it's sarcasm or not.

    What's telling is that it's become really hard to tell which posts are intentionally over-the-top and sarcastic ('I hear she eats the hearts of dead babies!') and which are sincere.

    [ Parent ]

    I thought it was me for a while (5.00 / 1) (#83)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:33:48 PM EST
    but it is definitely getting harder and harder to tell the satire from the purely deranged.
    more than once recently I have responded to what I thought was satire to find out it was deadly serious and completely without humor.

    [ Parent ]
    Well (5.00 / 4) (#43)
    by Steve M on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:42:30 PM EST
    It's easy to boycott a site when you can hardly bear to read it any more.

    The hardest thing about this primary season has been watching the Clintons get called racists.

    The second hardest thing is watching the media brazenly attempt to choose our nominee.

    I'm normally not one to get exercised over a contested primary.  But some things are hard to ignore.

    [ Parent ]

    Kos's Statement is Perfect (none / 0) (#53)
    by Edgar08 on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:52:06 PM EST
    I agree with it 100%.

    "First, these people should read up on the definition of 'strike.' What they're doing is a 'boycott.' But whatever they call it, I think it's great. It's a big Internet, so I hope they find what they're looking for."


    [ Parent ]
    Of course, this also demostrates ... (none / 0) (#98)
    by Robot Porter on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 05:02:15 PM EST
    why writing for free isn't a great idea.

    If the diarists advocating a "strike" were employees of Kos, then it would have more meaning.

    [ Parent ]

    are you sarcastic? (none / 0) (#136)
    by ghost2 on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 06:50:56 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    The stay and (none / 0) (#56)
    by PlayInPeoria on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:01:40 PM EST
    fight might work for awhile... sounds to me like they are trying to CHANGE THE SYSTEM.

    I still read Kos...but I choose to only at times where I can emotionally detach.... when the comments and language get to bad... I leave.

    [ Parent ]

    I don't like fighting. (5.00 / 1) (#79)
    by Maria Garcia on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:30:41 PM EST
    That's not to say that I have enough restraint to stay out of a fight once one is started, but I feel like I can say most things that i want to say here and anything that isn't allowed here I probably shouldn't be saying anyway. I think that DKos would be alright if they just got a handle on people ganging up on the minority, which happens to be Hillary supporters. I don't read all the gushy Obama candidate diaries, since I don't support his candidacy at this time I figure they aren't for me. But most pro-hillary diaries were promptly overtaken by hijackers. You would see unrecommended pro-Hillary diaries with hundreds of posts. If they were so worthless or lame, why so many posts. Why not just let them disappear on their own? I also didn't appreciate that every single really nasty diary about Hillary also made the rec list in light speed.  

    [ Parent ]
    I've long posited... (none / 0) (#164)
    by DudeE on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 11:18:55 PM EST
    ...that Obama supporters haven't quite gotten over their insecurities and inferiority complex from back when Clinton was 'inevitable'...

    Just as you said, if Clinton is such an inherently unattractive candidate, why the overeagerness to beat on anyone with anything positive to say about her?  With some of them, it's all about 'will of the people' but if your will is with Hillary, we're gonna give you the beat down.

    Quite honestly, a large part of my disillusionment with Obama is entirely due to the tactics of his supporters.  Unfortunately Obama himself has set such a tone - do as I say, not as I do... and, thou shalt not attack me, but I reserve the right to attack you.

    [ Parent ]

    I read the front page every day (none / 0) (#156)
    by Jeralyn on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 09:41:32 PM EST
    of Daily Kos. I think the world of Markos. And McJoan. I don't read the diaries there unless someone calls my attention to a specific one.

    [ Parent ]
    Do you envision Markos strongly (none / 0) (#157)
    by oculus on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 09:50:01 PM EST
    supporting and urging others to strongly support HRC if she is the nominee?

    [ Parent ]
    I think Markos will (none / 0) (#159)
    by Jeralyn on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 10:58:12 PM EST
    I don't think he controls the other contributors or diarists or commenters on his site. But he will support whoever is the Dem. nominee.

    [ Parent ]
    No Doubt (none / 0) (#161)
    by squeaky on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 10:59:32 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    Where's the smiley face? (none / 0) (#163)
    by oculus on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 11:14:28 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    No Smiley Face (none / 0) (#166)
    by squeaky on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 11:25:12 PM EST
    And even if there was I could never bring myself to type one. Too cute for me, or something.

    [ Parent ]
    Me too. Just checking. (none / 0) (#168)
    by oculus on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 11:39:49 PM EST
    If Markos can pull off unqualified support of HRC as Dem. candidate, I'll really be impressed.

    [ Parent ]
    Clinton has the support of a lot (none / 0) (#173)
    by Cream City on Sun Mar 16, 2008 at 12:09:01 AM EST
    of what Markos disses as the "women's studies set," those terrifying feminists, so his support would be tepid at best -- and I still can't see it, as he would lose a lot of what is left of the audience that supports him through his site's advertising.

    [ Parent ]
    You Must Be Joking (none / 0) (#176)
    by squeaky on Sun Mar 16, 2008 at 12:25:29 AM EST
    so his support would be tepid at best

    What do you think he is going to shill for McCain?

    Sell all his bandwith to the GOP?

    I cannot imagine that he will do anything but go full steam to support HRC if she is the nominee, as will his supporters.

    [ Parent ]

    Not joking at all (none / 0) (#177)
    by Cream City on Sun Mar 16, 2008 at 12:30:47 AM EST
    as add also that Markos was a Republican, was in the military, and attacks those who think that reproductive rights ought to remain a priority for the Dems -- a lot of cognitive dissonance to overcome for him to support Clinton.

    How many years have you been reading his stuff?  Were you there for his attacks on feminists, for his support of anti-abortion candidates?

    [ Parent ]

    Never A Dkoser (none / 0) (#190)
    by squeaky on Sun Mar 16, 2008 at 03:06:01 PM EST
    I followed the site for a while, and read FP stuff. Rarely got involved in the comments. I did like Armando, what ever happened to him... just kidding.

    And if Markos switched from GOP he can easily switch to supporting HRC, imo.

    [ Parent ]

    I plan to continue following the Rezko (5.00 / 1) (#99)
    by oculus on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 05:03:12 PM EST
    trial and I'll be the Chicago newspapers will also.

    This is pretty good: (5.00 / 1) (#143)
    by oculus on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 07:13:04 PM EST
    Basically, in the modern political campaign, there is no room for remarks of any sort on any subject which could be interpreted as giving offense to anyone, and that covers just about every subject there is. Therefore, my campaign will enter a cone of silence from now until I am sworn in as president next January. And I call upon my distinguished opponent and her campaign to do the same. The stakes in this election are much too high for anyone to say anything.

    Excerpt from a piece by Micahel Kinsey

    Best laugh (none / 0) (#152)
    by Foxx on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 08:26:26 PM EST
    I've had in a very long time.

    [ Parent ]
    I think the whole piece is at Washington Post (none / 0) (#154)
    by oculus on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 09:34:17 PM EST
    but parts are unmentionable here.

    [ Parent ]
    Hmm (none / 0) (#1)
    by Steve M on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:50:20 PM EST
    This blogger reports what looks like a massive shift of Edwards delegates into the Obama column in Marshall County.  If that result plays out statewide, it could have an impact on the national narrative.

    In other news, the Wayne County Prosecutor has apparently made a decision regarding whether the Mayor of Detroit will be indicted.  I hope this blog will be keeping tabs on that story.

    Well There Goes My Theory (none / 0) (#9)
    by MO Blue on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:05:13 PM EST
    regarding a wait an see attitude by delegates.

    [ Parent ]
    I still say wait and see (none / 0) (#12)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:07:03 PM EST
    a day is a month and a week is a lifetime in politics.
    things continue to unfold.

    [ Parent ]
    This is caucus delegates in Iowa (none / 0) (#131)
    by JoeA on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 06:33:26 PM EST
    not Superdelegates.

    A few Edwards delegates defected to Obama and Clinton leaving the rest "non-viable" so they had to choose a side also.  It looks like they have broken decisively for Obama.

    According to Marc Ambinder Obama's camp is now claiming that out of the 2nd state of the caucus they are now netting a minimum of 5 delegates, possibly up to 7.  This compares to a 1 delegate advantage compared to Clinton from the night of the caucus.

    [ Parent ]

    Latest figures show Obama picking up (none / 0) (#135)
    by JoeA on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 06:46:44 PM EST
    just under 15% of Edwards support,  and Clinton picking up just under 2%.

    15.64% still sticking with Edwards just now,  though I think if that drops below 15% then he wouldn't get any statewide delegates?

    [ Parent ]

    something is going on here that .... (none / 0) (#84)
    by Maria Garcia on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:36:40 PM EST
    ...I don't understand. maybe it is generational. I don't think  there is anything that Obama can do to lose this nomination. The GE, that remains to be seen.

    [ Parent ]
    I disagree (none / 0) (#85)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:41:12 PM EST
    I think events unfolding right now could lose it for him.
    the super delegates, who are for the most part not stupid and who's sole purpose is to save us from another McGovern episode, are watching and will continue to watch them with growing horror.

    [ Parent ]
    however (none / 0) (#86)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:42:00 PM EST
    I completely agree about the general.
    he will not be president.

    [ Parent ]
    The only thing sleazy . . . (none / 0) (#2)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:57:00 PM EST
    . . . about the episode was the type of journalism being used to concoct a Clinton slur.

    -Eric Boehlert

    my absolute favorite so far was the vile Peggy Noonan on Scarboro putting one gnarled digit to her nipped and tucked chin, rolling her eyes to the ceiling and saying "not that I knoooooow of".
    I literally had to toss out my shredded wheat because I couldnt finish it.
    let me repeat.  I believe there is an argument to be made that not only has the MSM piling on not been entirely hurtful to Hillary I think it has, at least in some ways and in some places, helped her.
    and I cant remember having as much fun doing anything (with my clothes on) as watching the mighty media worm turn the last few days.

    Noonan... (none / 0) (#50)
    by DudeE on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:47:19 PM EST
    ...don't get me started.  The only thing she has going for her is a vocabulary and a degree from the William F. Buckley school of speech affectations.  Beyond that, she's rarely on target re: much of anything...

    [ Parent ]
    Which joint Dem ticket vs McCain? (none / 0) (#5)
    by cymro on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 02:57:57 PM EST
    I know this may be moot if the Obama campaign implodes after the recent scandals, or for for a variety of other reasons.

    However, has anyone seen any polls comparing Clinton/Obama and Obama/Clinton as the Democratic ticket vs. McCain? The candidates or their most ardent supporters may not want this, but I think a lot of voters do.

    that ship (none / 0) (#6)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:01:53 PM EST
    has sailed
    IMHO

    [ Parent ]
    I thought so too (none / 0) (#15)
    by Manuel on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:11:42 PM EST
    but them I was reading somewhere (Brownstein?) and I was reminded of Kennedy/Johnson and Reagan/Bush.

    [ Parent ]
    Good point (5.00 / 1) (#22)
    by Lou Grinzo on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:21:42 PM EST
    I keep reminding people that this is politics we're talking about, and a joint ticket is entirely possible right up the moment when another ticket has been formed and it's too late to change.

    Obama and Clinton are politicians, first and foremost.  I know a lot of people, particularly in the US, use that as a pejorative term, but I don't.  I think that the longer this race continues to be so incredibly close (and it's about to get closer, especially if FL re-votes), the more likely it is that the only winning ticket will include both of those candidates.

    How will they sell it to the public?  Simple: "We had a long, very personal meeting and rediscovered that we have far more common ground than differences.  We also agreed on the importance of taking this country in a new direction, and we'll work together to do whatever is necessary to achieve that goal."


    [ Parent ]

    Exactly what I was thinking (none / 0) (#33)
    by cymro on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:36:08 PM EST
    There's a saying that when you're up to your neck in alligators it's hard to remember that the objective was to drain the swamp.

    We should not get so caught up in taking sides during the primary that we forget the ultimate goal of fielding the best ticket in the GE. And since Clinton and Obama have shown that they draw their support from different segments of the Democratic electorate, a joint ticket makes a lot of sense.

    [ Parent ]

    yeah (none / 0) (#17)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:16:17 PM EST
    I was around for both of those and I dont remember either getting to this point.  and its not over.
    I dont think we have reached the bottom.

    [ Parent ]
    Your opinion does not count ... (none / 0) (#21)
    by cymro on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:21:37 PM EST
    ... if you are reading this blog. Nothing personal. Neither does mine.  

    I am interested in the opinions of the vast majority of voters out there who do not follow events as closely, who are not ardent supporters of either candidate, and who believe that a ticket comprising both candidates would be best for the party.

    [ Parent ]

    I am quite used to my opinion (none / 0) (#26)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:25:47 PM EST
    not mattering.
    but I would put money on no fusion ticket at this point.
    I dont think he would need her and I dont think he would take it.
    for that matter I am not even sure it would be such a great thing.  I thought so once. not so sure any more.
    but anything is possible.

    [ Parent ]
    Jeralyn (none / 0) (#7)
    by Andy08 on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:02:30 PM EST
    I respect you decison of not having a shouting match of comments on the one issue you and BTD have decided to censure here.

    But out of the respect that many of us have for you,
    I would at least expect you to address the issue. It is a fundamental one, not a personal one.

    Would you write a post with no comments allowed if you want.

    We need to know what is your take, your voice on this. Because not addressing the issue sends in itself a message to your readers.

     

    they are correct (5.00 / 1) (#8)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:04:53 PM EST
    about the issue bringing out the worst in all sides.
    look around  you.


    [ Parent ]
    I don't want (5.00 / 1) (#14)
    by Andy08 on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:11:15 PM EST
    to hear the comments. I want to hear their analysis and what is Jeralyn and BTD have to say and what's their view of this.

    It is a public and fundamental issue relevant to the elections. Not a personal one on faith.

    Not to address it by them (no comment allowed) sends in itself a message.

    [ Parent ]

    not a bad idea actually (5.00 / 1) (#16)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:13:28 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    In my book (5.00 / 1) (#23)
    by Steve M on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:24:03 PM EST
    the only relevant issue is what the political reaction will be, which is a "wait and see" kind of thing.  Nobody really knows.

    The Clinton campaign is stepping way back and letting the thing play out, which is a cue we should take ourselves, IMO.

    [ Parent ]

    yep (none / 0) (#27)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:26:18 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    New use of live, duel-blogging software. (none / 0) (#130)
    by oculus on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 06:31:09 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    I must have missed the thread (none / 0) (#19)
    by vj on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:18:12 PM EST
    where people discussed this and behaved badly.

    [ Parent ]
    they know us better than we do (5.00 / 2) (#65)
    by Kathy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:14:11 PM EST
    ie: we are not the ones we have been waiting for.

    [ Parent ]
    If we were, why are we still waiting? (5.00 / 3) (#70)
    by RalphB on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:21:28 PM EST


    [ Parent ]
    You've successfully... (5.00 / 1) (#82)
    by DudeE on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:33:43 PM EST
    ...captured the paradox.

    [ Parent ]
    we have met the enemy (5.00 / 3) (#73)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:24:24 PM EST
    and he is us.

    has that EVER been truer?

    [ Parent ]

    It wasn't one thread (none / 0) (#155)
    by Jeralyn on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 09:39:06 PM EST
    it was infecting all of them.

    I don't think my opinion on this matters. I'm not even following it. So at this time, I won't be writing about it.

    I don't like to post and disable comments. I think I've done it once in six years...yesterday, and it was not a post about elections.

    Big Tent did one today, and I've suggested that he not to do any more of them.

    [ Parent ]

    I'll say this: (none / 0) (#91)
    by zyx on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:51:28 PM EST
    I feel about as badly as I have felt in this entire campaign right now.

    I don't care for Obama.  But I am as yellow a dog as ever marks a ballot.  And I believe, because of what I have seen in the past news cycle, that Obama's followers have bought us this guy on a wave of rock-star enthusiasm and that we will have a President McCain in 2009 because of Main Street voters and what THEY have seen in this past news cycle.

    [ Parent ]

    the nominating process it not over (none / 0) (#92)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:54:27 PM EST
    and thank god for that
    Hillary by 25 points in Pennsylvania and onward from there.

    [ Parent ]
    It's not just Obama's followers (none / 0) (#151)
    by Foxx on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 08:18:40 PM EST
    it is Kennedy and Kerry and the rest of the dem establishment who are backing him.

    And are they not doing that because they hate the Clintons as upstarts who should never have been president?

    And is that hate obscuring their judgment?

    [ Parent ]

    What if Superdelegates follow their constituents? (none / 0) (#11)
    by cymro on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:05:39 PM EST
    Two days ago, I commented:

    This has led me to wonder, since there has been so much spin from the Obama camp about the SD's "respecting the will of the people," if anyone has done the following analysis of the superdelegates:

    What if every superdelegate who is an elected representative (and I know there are others who do not fit in this category, but let's ignore them for the moment) cast their vote in accordance with the public vote in their constituency? How would those SD votes turn out. After all, if SD's are really going to "respect" the public's opinion, the voters they should respect are their own constituents, and not any national totals, whether total votes or total delegates.

    Has anyone seen such an analysis?

    Excellent question (none / 0) (#24)
    by Lou Grinzo on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:24:37 PM EST
    I would love to see how this breaks down, as this is exactly what I've said all along would be the mode democratic approach.  Governors and Senators follow their state, Representatives follow their CD's, etc.

    I have a nagging suspicion that it would wind up splitting those SD's almost 50/50, putting even more power into the hands of the non-geographically-identifiable SD's.

    [ Parent ]

    You may be right, but ... (none / 0) (#46)
    by cymro on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:44:48 PM EST
    ... I'd like to see the analysis, because there have been some wildly uneven geographical splits in many states. For example, look at the maps of the results by county in Texas and Ohio.

    [ Parent ]
    No, but, according to Huff Post, even (none / 0) (#75)
    by oculus on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:27:35 PM EST
    now Obama is working on NY Gov. Patterson.  

    [ Parent ]
    Not gonna happen (none / 0) (#141)
    by echinopsia on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 07:06:21 PM EST
    Asked if there were any scenario in which he would switch his support to Obama before the Democratic presidential nomination is decided, Paterson said, "Absolutely not. When I sign up to support a candidate, it's to the end.

    Source

    [ Parent ]

    What do we think (none / 0) (#55)
    by lilburro on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 03:57:16 PM EST
    of the Barack Obama register to vote video posted on Koppelman's war room at Salon?  

    Making I and R into D in PA

    I don't really think it will lead to him winning, or if after all it will really work - I'm not sure people think about voting that far ahead of the day the primary actually happens.  But to what degree is I&R involvement in Obama's campaign good for Dems?  Now that the "new JFK" phase has passed, is this working for him as well as it used to?

    Do people who register as Dems begin to participate in our party at a local level?  Is their reregistration just a "necessary evil" or something else?

    Is this the kind of party people only go to because it has free beer?  

    Re the I & R involvement (none / 0) (#78)
    by smott on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:27:52 PM EST
    ...on BO's campaign...how do we simultaneously see the meme that BO's "coat-tails" are longer than HRC's?

    It would seem to me that if a lot of your supporters are I or even R, they'd be much less likely to vote straight Dem on the ticket...so I'd think HRC is more of a help to down-ticket Blues than BO...

    Or have I missed something?

    [ Parent ]

    It's an argument I've never understood ... (none / 0) (#102)
    by Robot Porter on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 05:08:50 PM EST
    and, frankly, I don't think there is an argument as such.

    It's just assertion as argument.

    [ Parent ]

    there's a post about it (none / 0) (#160)
    by Jeralyn on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 10:59:09 PM EST
    now up here.

    [ Parent ]
    Has Talk Left addressed this (none / 0) (#81)
    by oculus on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:32:26 PM EST
    remark by John McCain?

    REUTERS

    McCain speculates al Queda in Iraq may increase activity just before the GE to tip the election to the Dems.  

    They Can Arrange (none / 0) (#158)
    by squeaky on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 10:08:51 PM EST
    A surge in violence at any time. I think that it will backfire, Iraq is better off on the back burner for the GOP.  

    On the other hand an attack on Iran (or by Iran cough cough) would probably hand McCain the election.

    [ Parent ]

    Hillary's favorability problem (none / 0) (#87)
    by fuzzyone on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:42:29 PM EST
    It was asserted on a thread the other day that "poll after poll show that Obama and Clinton are tied in negatives.  I did a little research and discovered they are actually tied in one poll.  Every other poll I found had Obama with far higher positives and lower negatives.  The post was kind of buried so I thought I would revive it here and see what people think.  Seems to me this support BTD's view, which I agree with, that Obama has far more potential to be a map changer.  Clinton is lucky if she can manage 50 + 1.  Here is what I found(all numbers are favorable first, all registered voters)

    Rassumssen
    Obama    50 - 49
    Clinton  47 - 51

    Gallup
    Obama 58 - 34
    Clinton's 48 - 49

    All the rest are from this page (I stopped when I got to results that were pre february)
    Newsweek
    Obama   61 - 28
    Clinton 56 - 40

    LA Times
    Obama   61 - 27
    Clinton 51 - 42

    USA Today
    Obama   61 - 32
    Clinton 48 - 48

    CBS/NYT
    Obama   45 - 23
    Clinton 35 - 43

    lets see what those numbers (5.00 / 1) (#88)
    by Capt Howdy on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:47:21 PM EST
    say in a couple of weeks.

    [ Parent ]
    I have no ability to predict the future (none / 0) (#94)
    by fuzzyone on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:55:05 PM EST
    but if you try the gallup link the trend for Hillary is unfavorable moving up while Obama has the favorables moving up.

    The NBC WaPo was last done in January.  Since  then Obama's favorable number has gone from 47 to 51 Clinton has, from a statistical standpoint, no movement.

    The other interesting thing is that Obama tends to have more neutral or undecided, suggesting again more upside (and downside) potential, as BTD has said.

    [ Parent ]

    I don't think... (5.00 / 1) (#95)
    by DudeE on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 04:59:09 PM EST
    ...we should be concerned about the percentages of far right Republicans who hate Clinton.  As posted below, her unfavorables among Dems is not more than 15% - about even with Obama at least in the Newsweek poll where both appear.

    Too many dynamics at play here for this to be a reasonable predictor of a general election.  I don't really care if Repubs like Obama if they plan to vote for McCain.

    [ Parent ]

    Its amazing to me the way people pretend (none / 0) (#101)
    by fuzzyone on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 05:07:36 PM EST
    independents and moderate republcans don't exist.  As I said, I think either Clinton or Obama wins in November.  The point is that Obama has map changing potential while Clinton has Kerry or Gore repeat potential.  The world is not divided between dems and far right replublicans (who I doubt are the ones saying they view Obama favorably and certainly are not all of the 50% of voters who some polls show view Clinton unfavorably).  There are a bunch of people who can go either way.  Reagan proved it.  There have been plenty of lopsided elections in American history.  (And no this does not mean I liked Reagan, I hated him and worked against his election.)

    [ Parent ]
    Maybe it looked like ... (none / 0) (#104)
    by Robot Porter on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 05:11:48 PM EST
    he had a map-changing potential at one time.  I think that's gone now.

    Unless reducing the number of states Dems carry in the GE is the kind of map changing you're talking about.

    [ Parent ]

    I don't disagree... (none / 0) (#106)
    by DudeE on Sat Mar 15, 2008 at 05:12:37 PM EST
    ...that a higher favorable rating is almost always a good thing.  But it doesn't necessarily portend general election results and you're speaking of a candidate who has been a public figure all of a year vs. Clinton and McCain with decades in the public eye.

    Check this out:

    Bush Favorability

    During the 2000 election, Bush had no more than 20% negative ratings because he had virtually no record on which to run.  He now has 55% negative ratings.

    [ Parent ]

    Not sure I follow (none / 0) (#110<