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Oscars Predictions

By Big Tent Democrat, Section Media
Posted on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:19:22 PM EST
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By Big Tent Democrat

The Oscars are tonight. Who is going to win? Who should win? Predictions please.

Jeralyn has arrived. This thread is now closing.

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    Oscars Predictions | 64 comments (64 topical)
    Is this really (5.00 / 1) (#1)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:21:42 PM EST
    by Big Tent Democrat?

    What next, the latest on Angelina, Brittany et al.?

    Jeralyn has disappeared on me. (none / 0) (#2)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:25:53 PM EST


    Parent
    Jeralynn (5.00 / 1) (#10)
    by auntmo on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:41:40 PM EST
    Are  you  suggesting,  BTD,   that  since  Jeralynn  can't be  found,    that  YOU  will fill in  the  "female" topics  like  Brangelina  and  the  Oscars?

    I'd  like  to  be  the  first  to  say  Jeralynn's  posts  are  quite   erudite   and intellectual.    Never  seen   her   post  anything  on  Brangelina.    

    Tut,  tut,  BTD.

    Parent

    Heh (5.00 / 1) (#24)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:01:03 PM EST
    Honestly, I can't imitate Jeralyn.

    Her fascination and familiarity with these things is beyond me.

    Parent

    Strike Brangelina. J does post (none / 0) (#23)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:59:45 PM EST
    on criminal case stuff on Paris Hilton, Brittany (sp) Spears, Kiefer Sutherland, and probably others.  

    Parent
    Tough job. (none / 0) (#3)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:29:28 PM EST
    Too bad I've only seen Atonement.

    Parent
    I've only seen No Country for Old Men. nt (none / 0) (#5)
    by Maria Garcia on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:37:27 PM EST


    Parent
    And what did you think of it? (none / 0) (#7)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:39:46 PM EST
    Do you usually avoid violent movies?  

    Parent
    I liked it okay. (5.00 / 1) (#11)
    by Maria Garcia on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:45:00 PM EST
    I thought that the performances were quite good, and it was suspenseful to watch...but for me it wasn't exactly food for thought. Few films are nowadays.

    I am not against the depiction of violence in art, but I don't like gratuitous violence. In my opinion, the violence in this film was appropriate, certainly not glorified and and since characters that you actually grew to care for were victimized by it wasn't romanticized.

    Parent

    Thanks for the review. I like (none / 0) (#13)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:47:15 PM EST
    the Coen bros. work usually but have been avoiding this film. But I just saw In Bruges; not only is the violence gratuitous, it is often part of the humor; I enjoyed the film.  

    Parent
    In Bruges (none / 0) (#40)
    by flyerhawk on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:14:06 PM EST
    was excellent.  I really enjoyed it.  

    Juno was also very good.  I am going to watch Michael Clayton this evening. I've heard it is excellent.

    Parent

    Bruges is excellent (none / 0) (#44)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:15:53 PM EST
    Didn't see the movie though.

    Parent
    I can't see you (none / 0) (#54)
    by Kathy on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:24:54 PM EST
    picking out lace and tapestry pillow cases to take home...

    Parent
    Actually, I thought I was headed (none / 0) (#58)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:26:35 PM EST
    for a subtitled foreign film.  Not so.  Terrific acting and McDonaugh is a wonderful writer.  They even manage to work in a swan.  

    Parent
    I've only seen Juno (none / 0) (#8)
    by ineedalife on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:40:06 PM EST
    But it was one great flick.

    Parent
    Maybe you and KO could use (none / 0) (#4)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:30:09 PM EST
    that debate blogging soft ware.

    Parent
    I think the winner will be .. (5.00 / 1) (#15)
    by Robot Porter on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:50:07 PM EST
    one of the films whose title might describe this years presidential race.

    So it will be either ATONEMENT, THERE WILL BE BLOOD or NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN.

    John Travolta (5.00 / 1) (#29)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:06:05 PM EST
    Nice hair cut.

    Hannah Montana!!! (5.00 / 1) (#36)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:09:03 PM EST
    Just saw her concert movie. I kid you not.

    First Obama, now Hanna Montana? (5.00 / 2) (#56)
    by cymro on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:25:19 PM EST
    Aha!! This new evidence may shed some light on your previously inexplicable support for Obama. You must have a tendency to be attracted to cults!

    ;-)

    Parent

    Heh (5.00 / 1) (#59)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:26:54 PM EST
    It's the best of both worlds.

    Now let's see who knows what I am talking about.

    Parent

    No Country for Old Men is best picture (none / 0) (#6)
    by andgarden on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:39:45 PM EST
    There Will be Blood gets best actor.

    What about TX, OH, and PA (none / 0) (#9)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:40:22 PM EST


    Parent
    The winner of those 3 States (none / 0) (#16)
    by sara seattle on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:51:53 PM EST
    will be Hillary !!

    Parent
    I so hope you are correct. (none / 0) (#18)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:53:13 PM EST
    And welcome.

    Parent
    Thank you (none / 0) (#19)
    by sara seattle on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:56:03 PM EST
    This already feels like home.

    Parent
    The one I'm sad that I missed (none / 0) (#35)
    by Militarytracy on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:08:50 PM EST
    eating nasty popcorn to is "There Will be Blood".

    Parent
    I think the strike (none / 0) (#12)
    by BrandingIron on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:46:28 PM EST
    has really put everyone into a cynical mood for the Oscars this year, plus everyone's preoccupied with the primaries.  The Oscars SHOULD be a distraction, but right now we're going to watch a movie on DVD.

    Yesterday we went to WonderCon (a better distraction from the political mess here/everywhere) and Steve Carell and Anne Hathaway were there...they should be at the Oscars tonight.  It was nice of them to show up for us, as they were promoting the new Get Smart movie they're in (looks really funny!).

    I like Atonement, but No Country for Old Men is getting the big buzz for Best Picture.  Personally I think Michael Clayton would be the upset and Juno is the longshot.  Juno was the "cute" movie, but it sure stretched when it came to real life logic/dialogue.  So with this one I think No Country for Old Men will win the Best Director nod for the Coen Bros.

    I think Best Actor might go to Daniel Day Lewis.  I would LIKE to see Best Actress go to Marion Cotillard, but then again I didn't see the Julie Christie movie and I hear it's really good.  I saw Elizabeth:  TGA and while I love Cate Blanchett, I think there was a tiny bit of disconnect between the first Elizabeth movie and this one due to her unseemly scenes where she freaked out over the whole affair...the first movie was superior.

    I have no more opinions about the rest of it...I'll read about it tomorrow.  :)

    I liked the first Elizabeth movie also but (none / 0) (#14)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:49:35 PM EST
    skipped the second one.  Blanchett is a terrific actress.  Did see Tommy Lee Jones in Valley of Elah.  Quite a good movie, but I've read that movies on Iraq/Afganistan wars aren't pulling in much of a crowd.

    Parent
    I thought the second (none / 0) (#26)
    by Militarytracy on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:04:39 PM EST
    Elizabeth was as good as the first, just lots of her ruling years mashed together.  I think that's the only movie I've seen this year though that might be mentioned tonight.

    Parent
    BTD, will you be narrating the red carpet (none / 0) (#17)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:51:55 PM EST
    bit?

    Heh (none / 0) (#22)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:59:34 PM EST
    And like David Shuster, I will be imitating a mature  Jewish woman from New York's voice, but I will be doing Joan Rivers instead of Joy Behar.

    Parent
    I don't know whether Joy is Jewish, (none / 0) (#32)
    by andgarden on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:07:41 PM EST
    but she was born Occhiuto. Still, she sounds exactly like my very Jewish grandmother.

    Parent
    Knock me over if she is not Jewish (none / 0) (#37)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:10:03 PM EST
    I thought for sure.

    Parent
    I think she married into it (none / 0) (#38)
    by andgarden on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:12:36 PM EST
    but as you might know, that isn't sufficient to the powers that decide.

    Parent
    I've been too concerned about (none / 0) (#20)
    by Militarytracy on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 06:57:44 PM EST
    politics lately to pay attention to any movie before Netflix sends it to me ;)  I haven't any notion who could win and certainly not who should win this year.

    Hey! (none / 0) (#25)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:02:20 PM EST
    Big Brother is on!

    I have seen since Season 3. Someone fill me in.

    Reality shows. . . (none / 0) (#27)
    by andgarden on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:05:02 PM EST
    I was in 7th or 8th grade when Survivor got big. I've never watched any of them, though.

    Parent
    Marion Cotillard (none / 0) (#28)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:05:11 PM EST
    I loved her in that movie with Russell Crowe, the on in the South of France.

     

    A good year? (none / 0) (#43)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:15:19 PM EST
    I heard the book was better, but then I just found out the book was by Peter Mayle, of whom I have tired.

    Parent
    I liked it (none / 0) (#45)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:16:44 PM EST
    But then again, I want to live in the South of France.

    Parent
    Dont' we all? My brother (none / 0) (#62)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:29:06 PM EST
    sd. he was going to buy an already fixed up house in Province and we sd., go for it.  But then the housing market bombed here.  

    Parent
    There Will Be Blood (none / 0) (#30)
    by Kathy on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:06:16 PM EST
    my synopsis: Citizen Kane without Rosebud.

    When did explaining why a character is twisted in a movie about a twisted character become a bad thing.

    I DRINK YOUR MILKSHAKE!!!

    I love (none / 0) (#34)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:08:18 PM EST
    chocolate milkshakes.

    Parent
    I think the milkshake in question (none / 0) (#50)
    by Kathy on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:21:16 PM EST
    is a little oily for your tastes.

    Best dark comedy movie ever: Clay Pigeons.

    Parent

    Thought so (none / 0) (#60)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:27:19 PM EST


    Parent
    OT This comment will self-destruct (none / 0) (#64)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:29:58 PM EST
    in 5 seconds.

    Parent
    Now THAT was a righteous rant. (none / 0) (#31)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:07:37 PM EST


    Laura Linney (none / 0) (#33)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:07:46 PM EST
    Went to Brown like me.

    Like her in that movie where Jim Carrey's life was a TV show.

    In case you have not noticed, I have seen no movies this year except Ratatouille and the like.

    Go see No Country and Blood (none / 0) (#41)
    by andgarden on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:14:16 PM EST
    They're both excellent films. The latter has moments that are Dostoevskian.

    Parent
    She is the daughter of the (none / 0) (#46)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:17:21 PM EST
    playwright Romulus Linney; recent news to me.  She was terrific in Armistead Maughpin's Tales of the City

    Parent
    Linney is fabulous (none / 0) (#52)
    by Kathy on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:23:35 PM EST
    but was she in that death penalty movie, David Hale or something?  With Kevin Spacey?  It had the opposite effect: made me want to kill myself.

    I am dying to see the Savages, though I am waiting for the right mood.

    In the Valley of Elah was fabulous--and it wasn't really a war movie.  More like a thriller wrapped up in a character study.  Tommy Lee Jones was fabulous, but for me, Susan Sarandon really stole the show.  She was on screen maybe fifteen minutes but you felt every single second of it with her.  Charlize Theron was pretty darn good, too.

    Parent

    Susan Sarandon: how the heck (none / 0) (#65)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:31:25 PM EST
    did she fall for Obama?  Charlize Theron:  all the way through the movie I tried to figure out, who is that actress, she looks so familiar.  

    Parent
    Faye Dunaway (none / 0) (#39)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:13:24 PM EST
    Hillary's doppelganger, at least the young uns sort of think so. They think Joan Crawford starred n Mommie Dearest.

    Helen Mirren (none / 0) (#42)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:14:43 PM EST
    Love her. Here is the story of my year movie wise - I saw a Helen Mirren movie - National Treasure: Book of Secrets.

    Did you see her in The Queen? (none / 0) (#47)
    by oculus on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:18:17 PM EST


    Parent
    Um hello! (none / 0) (#48)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:19:38 PM EST
    National Treasure: Book of Secrets.

    That is as adult as I got this year.

    Parent

    The only reason I got to see (none / 0) (#61)
    by Militarytracy on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:28:34 PM EST
    the second Elizabeth is because I convinced my eight year old son that he would be a better person for having seen it.

    Parent
    my predictions (none / 0) (#49)
    by cdo on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:20:24 PM EST
    BEST PICTURE
    "Atonement"
    "Juno"
    "Michael Clayton"
    "No Country for Old Men"
    "There Will Be Blood"
    winner-"No Country for Old Men"

    BEST ACTRESS
    Cate Blanchett, "Elizabeth: The Golden Age"
    Julie Christie, "Away From Her"
    Marion Cotillard, "La Vie en Rose"
    Laura Linney, "The Savages"
    Ellen Page, "Juno"
    winner-Laura Linney

    BEST ACTOR
    George Clooney, "Michael Clayton"
    Daniel Day-Lewis, "There Will Be Blood"
    Johnny Depp, "Sweeney Todd"
    Viggo Mortensen, "Eastern Promises"
    Tommy Lee Jones, "In the Valley of Elah"
    winner-Daniel Day-Lewis

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Cate Blanchett, "I'm Not There"
    Ruby Dee, "American Gangster"
    Saoirse Ronan, "Atonement"
    Amy Ryan, "Gone Baby Gone"
    Tilda Swinton, "Michael Clayton"
    winner-Tilda Swinton

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Casey Affleck, "The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford"
    Javier Bardem, "No Country for Old Men"
    Hal Holbrook, "Into The Wild"
    Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Charlie Wilson's War"
    Tom Wilkinson, "Michael Clayton"
    winner-Javier Bardem

    BEST DIRECTOR
    Paul Thomas Anderson, "There Will Be Blood"
    Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, "No Country for Old Men"
    Julian Schnabel, "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly"
    Tony Gilroy, "Michael Clayton"
    Jason Reitman, "Juno"
    winner-Paul Thomas Anderson

    You nailed it! (none / 0) (#57)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:25:57 PM EST
    Every single nomination. Now for the winners, no you are wrong.

    Here are my predictions for the winners. And realize I haver seen NOT EVEN ONE OF THEM.

    No Country - Best Picture
    Julie Christie - Best Actress
    Milkshake - Best Actor
    Tilda Swinton - BSActress
    Javier Bardem - BSActor
    Coen Bros  - Best Director

    Parent

    oops (none / 0) (#51)
    by cdo on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:22:58 PM EST
    goofed on my my best picture prediction...
    think it will be "There Will Be Blood"

    uh-huh (5.00 / 1) (#53)
    by Kathy on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:24:17 PM EST
    pulling an Obama--hit the wrong button.

    (haha!  Joke!  Joke!  Calm down!)

    Parent

    lols (none / 0) (#55)
    by cdo on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:25:17 PM EST


    Parent
    Jeralyn is here (none / 0) (#63)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Feb 24, 2008 at 07:29:46 PM EST
    This thread is now closed.

    Off to read her live blog.

    Oscars Predictions | 64 comments (64 topical)