The Speeches: Hillary,. Obama and Huckabee
CNN pundits tonight skewered Hillary and sainted Obama. The pundits were so awful I had to use the mute button. Especially on Carl Bernstein. He couldn't even talk about Hillary...only about his very subjective perception that Bill Clinton seemed devastated. I saw the same speech -- live at the hotel -- and I thought Bill seemed proud.
Obama is the hero of the night. The media loved his speech, in which he played (overplayed, in my view) the Martin Luther King, Jr. card. His other topic, repeated throughout, was his appeal to New Hanpshire voters. He does have one major asset in my view.... his wife Michelle.
Hillary was gracious and like she always does, touted her experience and specifics about her aqenda if she's elected. But, her speech tonight was different -- in recognition of Obama's win of the youth vote, she stressed global warming and bringing the troops home. No mention of social security, caregivers, voting for a female, etc, which she was stressing just yesterday when I heard her in Cedar Rapids.
Bottom line: As I wrote last night, I think the Democratic nomination will turn on the youth vote. and it's too late for Hillary to pick it up -- Obama owns them. Rock the Vote may not have brought it home for Gore or Kerry, but it seems like it can do the trick for Obama. [More....]
As for Huckabee...the stats are quite telling. CNN says Iowa Republicans are overwhelmingly born-again and evangelical. Among non-evangelical Iowa voters and those to whom religion is not a big factor, Huckabee only got 15% of the vote. Huckabee has a lot of work to do to expand his base.
The really good news tonight: Rudy Giuliani came in 5th among Republicans, behind Ron Paul and ahead only of Duncan Hunter. If he thinks Florida will still bring it home for him, he's delusional. As far as I can tell, you can stick a fork in Rudy, he's done. Or so I hope.
In other good news: John Edwards made a good showing in Iowa. CNN has offically declared him second, beating Hillary Clinton 30% to 29%. He's has spent some serious time in New Hampshire. If he pulls off another second place showing there, he's still in the race...except, of course, he doesn't have the resources of Hillary or Obama.
With all the attention on Iowa and New Hampshire, I believe it will all be about Super Duper Tuesday on Feb. 5 when New York, New Jersey, California and many other states have their primaries.
So... congrats to Obama and Huckabee, they had big wins tonight. I'm just no closer to believing either one will be the eventual nominee.
Update: One last thing about Obama's speech which the pundits are raving about. He didn't write it, his speechwriter did. Credit Obama for the delivery -- he did present it very well -- but unless he spent the day writing it, let's keep it in perspective.
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