DMR Poll: Majority of Obama Support Not From Democrats
In a comment, Anonymous Liberal states:
While it's certainly true that Obama's strategy is geared around getting more votes from independents than his rivals, it's still true that he's counting on the vast majority of his votes coming from Democrats. . . . It's very different than Liebermanism.
I do not know what Obama is trying to do but I do know what the DMR Poll is purporting - to wit, that the majority of Obama's support is from NON-Democrats:
Clinton remains the favorite of the party faithful, with support from a third of self-described Democrats. However, Obama is the clear choice of caucusgoers who affiliate with neither the Democrat or Republican parties, with roughly 40 percent of them backing him in the survey. The support from non-Democrats is significant because a whopping 40 percent of those planning to attend described themselves as independent and another 5 percent as Republican.
So Obama gets 40% from 45% (assuming he gets at least 40% of GOP "Dem" caucus goers) and 27% of the 55% Dem Dem caucusgoers. Let's do the math:
0.4 × 0.45 = 18. 0.27 × 0.55 = 14.8.
Ergo, the MAJORITY of Obama's support in Iowa does NOT come from Democratic voters. It comes from Republicans and Independents. That is what the DMR poll tells us.
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