Non-Gold Standard Iowa Polling Contradicts DMR Poll
Clinton 30 (30)
Obama 26 (26)
Edwards 25 (26)
Clinton 33 (27)
Obama 31 (23)
Edwards 22 (28)
DMR is the gold standard of Iowa polls. So far no other poll agrees with that. It seems clear that these pollsters expect a different demographic to turn up.
Update [2008-1-1 10:43:4 by Big Tent Democrat]: Mark Blumenthal has a great writeup on the DMR poll. In words of great praise that I agree with for Ann Seltzer, the DMR pollster, Blumenthal writes:
Having said that, we all know that the conditions for survey research are treacherous this week, and even the best pollsters (and methods) are fallible even under the best of conditions. But with everything on the line, Selzer has done what good pollsters are trained to do: She put her trust in her methods and the results they produced, even when those results contradict conventional wisdom.
All respect for Ms. Seltzer for that. Watch Zogby hedge his results to more closely align with DMR now. It is whjy I do not trust him.
|< DMR Poll: Obama With Large Lead | Axelrod's Iowa Strategy >|