Obama -- 33%

Clinton -- 26%

Edwards -- 19%

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Would have the most success as president in unifying the country.

Obama -- 36%

Clinton -- 23%

Edwards -- 20%

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Has the most experience and competence to lead.

Clinton -- 35%

Obama -- 21%

Edwards -- 19%

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Matches my own core principles.

Obama -- 28%

Edwards -- 25%

Clinton -- 21%

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Best able to win the presidential election.

Clinton -- 31%

Obama -- 28%

Edwards -- 21%

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Likely Democratic caucus goers most important issues.

War Iraq -- 28%

Healthcare -- 22%

This will drive the media cycles for Tuesday and probably most of Wednesday.  

I hate predictable endings, so Thursday should be a fun night.

I guess those giant crowds were for real ~ ya know what I mean.

Just saw CBS Evening News (I'm on the west coast this week), they literally called Huck "strange" twice.  The feature report focused on Edwards, and his supporters were intense, some even had tears in the eyes.

I can't look.

I'm non-violence (unless someone steps on my foot on the subway).

"Tomorrow they will be gloating however and I imagine they will turn off all negativity."

True.  On the other hand, Team Clinton will likely go negative, as may Team Edwards.

Candidate    ALL    DEM    IND
Obama        32    27    39
Clinton        25    33    15
Edwards            24    25    24

A whopping 60 percent of the Democrats say this would be their first time at a caucus and they aren't all that Democratic. Some 40 percent of the Democratic caucus-goers say they are independents, and another 5 percent say they are Republicans.  Put another way, 54 percent of the Democratic caucus-goers say they're Democrats. In 2004, it was 80 percent.

The reason that pollsters typically avoid polling around the holidays is the assumption that a big chunk of the population is away from home and unavailable for survey calls. As with any sort of "non-response" problem, we risk getting skewed or biased results if the missing respondents are both numerous and different in terms of their political views from those at home when we call.

The establishment has been quietly pushing enormous money and resources into Iowa over the last week and a half in the hopes of changing the verdict of the Iowa people, apparently it's not working.  The establishment desperately needs a Clinton or Edwards win, and are desperately afraid of an Obama win, hence all the under the table money, and cheap dirty political tactics they've been exercising in support of their candidates, the candidates they know they can count on, the candidates who are vetted and tested the candidates who can be counted upon to put the concerns of the special-interest groups first, those who believe they really control this country.  Well, in just a couple of days the people of Iowa are going to make their choice, and we'll see how miserably their tactics have failed.  We're going to find out the kind of world the people of Iowa want to live in, a world of fear and division, or a world of unity and hope.

I predicted this is going to be the largest caucus turnout in Iowa history, and with the independent and Republican crossover vote, Obama is going to squash the establishment candidates, what were their names again, I've almost forgotten as they begin to fade into the pages of obscure history already.  :-)  Obama will go into New Hampshire and South Carolina with irresistible momentum, and God willing this country will find itself in the hands of its people once again, where it rightly belongs.

I'd like to send out a big thank you to George W. Bush, because without your contribution, without you and those in your administration, who set about dismantling the Republic, America would still be asleep.  Well we're awake now, and we're going to begin speaking loud and clear.  Thank you George, the people need a dose of imperialist dictatorship to make them realize what we had to lose.

If Edwards Clinton wins, Clinton will win... Best presidential candidate of my life time!!!

Rural Counties: Less Caucus Goers Per Delegate

Since the Iowa Democratic caucuses are a representative democracy, not a straight one person one vote, not every caucus goer carries equal weight. Presidential candidates are spending a lot of time in small courthouse towns, because the way the results are counted, the small counties weigh in disproportionately.

An analysis of 2004 caucus attendance shows that, on average statewide, it took just under 41 caucus goers to elect a state delegate equivalent. The easiest county to elect a delegate was Fremont County, where 22.3 caucus goers translated into a state delegate.

The hardest places to elect delegates, in contrast, were college counties, with Johnson County far ahead of the rest. In Johnson County, it took 79.2 people to elect a delegate, nearly twice the state average and almost four times the level of Fremont County.  

Sources of support among likely caucus goers

College degree

Obama -- 39%

Clinton -- 20%

Edwards -- 22%

$50,000 to 69,999 yearly income

Obama -- 39%

Clinton -- 22%

Edwards -- 23%

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I wonder how they get journalists, like those on CNN, to keep making statements to the effect that immigration is a huge issue, and will be a huge issue in the coming elections.

When you take a look at this poll, only 3% of Iowans ranked immigration as their top concern.

And I've heard almost no mention of the Iraq war as a campaign issue over the last month, yet it's the number one concern of most Iowans according to this poll at 28%.

I guess what I wonder most is how do those at CNN corporate convince their news anchors to repeat what is quite obviously misinformation.  Don't these journalists want to see a mountain of evidence that supports the assertions that they're reading off the teletype in front of them, or those that so-called experts are quoting?