Non-Expert Foreign Policy
Anne Applebaum writes:
In the end, most presidents do learn on the job: Bill Clinton would probably never have predicted he'd contemplate bombing Belgrade, just as President Bush surely had never devoted much thought to Afghanistan. It's not easy to predict whose particular set of experiences will suit which particular crisis and which weaknesses will prove fatal. But we can certainly entertain ourselves between now and November 2008 trying to guess.
(Emphasis supplied.) Actually, Anne Applebaum demonstrates her non-expertise on the issues. In 1992, the Balkans were very much a hot spot and Slobodan Milosovic very much an issue:
It was George H. W. Bush's Secretary of State James Baker who went around the Balkans in 1991 remarking that "we don't have a dog in this fight." A remark Serb strongman Slobodan Milosevic took to mean, 'play ball,' and Serbian tanks went rolling into Croatia and Bosnia later that year and the following spring. . . .
President Clinton was aware of the Balkans crisis when he entered office. Similarly, George W. Bush SHOULD HAVE considered the issues of Al Qaida's presence in Afghanistan:
American cruise missiles pounded sites in Afghanistan and Sudan Thursday in retaliation for the deadly bombings of U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania on August 7. "Let our actions today send this message loud and clear -- there are no expendable American targets," U.S. President Clinton said in a televised address to the American people Thursday evening. "There will be no sanctuary for terrorists. We will defend our people, our interests and our values."
It is surprising how much we should know about what our Presidents think about foreign policy issues they will likely face. Ms. Applebaum has unwittingly provided us with wonderful recent examples.
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