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The Iraq Supplemental: The Likely Deal

The Iraq Supplemental funding fight has been something I consider of less importance because it has long been clear to me that the issue of setting a date certain for ending the war (I believe NOT funding it is the only way, but earlier versions discussed "binding timelines") would not be in it. And indeed, the talk is all of short leashes and benchmarks, not date certains for ending the war. The initial House bill, while supported by Move On and the Netroots, was in fact the worst deal possible, as it would have ostensibly set an end date two months before the 2008 elections, thereby insuring that in fact, the Debacle would continue past the end of the Bush presidency. It truly was a terrible bill.

Since then, the House passed a so-called "short leash" bill that provided 2 months of funding with a release of remaining funds in July. For those who favor the "ratcheting up the pressure" approach, this bill makes good sense. I do not think much of that approach, but it does notwork against a date certain for not funding approach I favor, the framework embodied in the McGovern Amendment and in Reid-Feiongold.

Now we see what is lkely to emerge as the Senate proposal, and it is something Bush will sign. GOP Senator John Warner proposed it:

That second proposal, by Senator John Warner, Republican of Virginia, would require Mr. Bush to report to Congress in mid-July and mid-September on how well the Iraqi government was performing against a set of benchmarks. Foreign aid could be withheld for lack of progress, but, at the insistence of the White House, a provision was added allowing Mr. Bush to waive any penalties.

Bush basically endorsed this approach today:

[Bush] said he respected the desire of members to include benchmarks in the bill that the Iraqi government should meet.

So the Warner Amendment it is. Will the House go along? I predict they will. Does this matter? If you believe in "ratcheting up the pressure," I imagine you think it does. As I do not, I find this pretty meaningless. What we need to end the war is a date certain for not funding it. And the Iraq Supplemental will not be about that.

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  • Display: Sort:
    We Know (5.00 / 1) (#4)
    by squeaky on Thu May 17, 2007 at 12:49:22 PM EST
    How the war is going and how it will be going according to Bush.

    SInce the war has started it has exceeded all expectations and is continuing to go swimmingly well.

    How can anyone continue to buy this snake oil with a straight face?

    New Update On The Magic Month Of (5.00 / 2) (#7)
    by MO Blue on Thu May 17, 2007 at 12:57:12 PM EST
    September from Think Progress. [http://thinkprogress.org/2007/05/17/petraeus-september/]

    Offering another sign that the administration plans to continue its escalation of the war in Iraq into 2008, U.S. commander Gen. David Petraeus now says that he will not have "anything definitive" to say about the war in his September review.

    Wonder where that puts the "16 votes to end the war" (plus undisclosed 68 House votes) now?

    Where they always were (5.00 / 1) (#8)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Thu May 17, 2007 at 01:03:28 PM EST
    in delusional fantasies.

    Parent
    Just "F"ing lovely (5.00 / 1) (#11)
    by Militarytracy on Thu May 17, 2007 at 01:14:10 PM EST
    It just gets better and better.

    Parent
    Week old tea, Reid said. (none / 0) (#1)
    by andgarden on Thu May 17, 2007 at 12:33:18 PM EST
    I say: let them pass it with Republican votes. Blech!

    Depressing. No further comment necessary (none / 0) (#2)
    by Molly Bloom on Thu May 17, 2007 at 12:44:23 PM EST


    What does (none / 0) (#3)
    by Militarytracy on Thu May 17, 2007 at 12:47:09 PM EST
    a provision was added allowing Mr. Bush to waive any penalties mean?

    Heh (5.00 / 2) (#5)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Thu May 17, 2007 at 12:52:23 PM EST
    It means a "blank check."

    Parent
    Not just a blank check (5.00 / 3) (#13)
    by Alien Abductee on Thu May 17, 2007 at 01:48:30 PM EST
    It will let the Repubs claim credit for standing up to Bush for 2008 and actually initiating a bill to end the war that can pass and not get vetoed whereas Dems couldn't (while not actually  restricting Bush's conduct of the war in any way, of course).

    Talk about Dems kicking themselves in their own backside if they vote for this.

    Parent

    Good point (none / 0) (#14)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Thu May 17, 2007 at 01:53:22 PM EST
    That's what I thought :( (none / 0) (#10)
    by Militarytracy on Thu May 17, 2007 at 01:11:33 PM EST
    Lovely, blank check till September is it?  So when he removes his own penalties we stand around and fight about whether or not he had reason to do that and whether or not he's cooking the figures and results that he's going cook and while everyone stands around fighting Iraq keeps going and going and going.  Will anyone be ready for sanity by September?  I may have to start biting the heads off of live chickens to create a joyful moment for myself.

    Parent
    almost speechless (none / 0) (#6)
    by conchita on Thu May 17, 2007 at 12:56:20 PM EST
    so what happened to the democratic outrage of the escalation (code name surge)?   we end up with benchmark legislation proposed by a republican?? if it wasn't so tragic, it would be laughable.  

    Iraq Study Group (5.00 / 1) (#9)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Thu May 17, 2007 at 01:05:32 PM EST
    dontcha know.

    OR how about General John Abizaid saying NO to escalation right after the election?

    This is the point, Bush listens to no one. You can't racthet up the pressure on him or the GOP.

    Do NOT fund is the only way.

    For those interested, I am preparijng a post debunking KagroX's disinformation on defunding.

    Horrible post from him.

    Parent

    Hah (none / 0) (#12)
    by Warren Terrer on Thu May 17, 2007 at 01:34:46 PM EST
    good. I was just about to ask you what you thought of Kagro X's post. Good thing I checked this thread because I had a feeling you'd be working on a reply momentarily.

    Parent
    Wrong, it's a 'no pressure' bipartisan disaster (none / 0) (#15)
    by fairleft on Thu May 17, 2007 at 04:12:38 PM EST
    The meaningless reporting features are not pressure, they're wholesale capitulation. In short, you're wrong BTD, the coming bill will have nothing to do with 'short leash'. The House bill simply didn't fund the occupation after July; Congress (not Bush) was in control of further funding.

    There's more on the bipartisanship defeat for antiwar folks at Latest on Senate Dems' $95 Billion Iraq Betrayal.

    Fair enough (none / 0) (#16)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Thu May 17, 2007 at 05:24:17 PM EST
    I admit it is not relevant to me.

    Parent