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New Poll: Bush Support Still Slipping

A new USA Today/Gallup poll shows support for President Bush continues to drop. You can view the actual results here.

In a nutshell, 57% of independents disapprove of the way Bush is handling the war in Iraq. Back in April, he had a 73% approval rating from independents. Now that approval is at 39%. In addition,

Independents are less inclined to vote for Bush next year than to vote for a Democrat; 35% of registered independent voters choose Bush and 42% choose an unnamed Democrat. Among all registered voters, Bush leads the unnamed Democrat 46%-43%, which is within the 4-point error margin.

Support for the war also is declining:

Fifty-seven percent say the United States should withdraw some or all of its troops from Iraq. That is up considerably from two months ago, when 46% wanted to withdraw some or all of the troops. Seventy percent of Democrats, 58% of independents and 43% of Republicans want a partial or full withdrawal of troops from Iraq. Democratic support for the war has fallen more sharply than independent support — from 54% in April to 24% now.

Bush needs at least half of the independent vote to win:

Merle Black, a political scientist at Emory University in Atlanta, says Bush must at least split the independent vote with the Democrat to win re-election. "It's a huge problem," Black says. "Bush prematurely claimed the fighting was over, and the public continues to see Americans at risk. Every time something bad happens, it further erodes administration support, especially among independents."

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