Hotline has the race narrowing to a 1 point Obama lead. In two days, according to Hotline, Obama's 6 point lead has dwindled to a statistical tie. Battleground has Obama's 7 point lead yesterday dwindling to 4. The charlatan Zogby has Obama's 3 point lead yesterday cut to 2. The NYTimes/CBS poll has Obama up 3. And the Democracy Corps poll has Obama up 3. Take these 5 polls, and you have a 2.6 point Obama lead.

Here are the polls McCain does not like -- DKos/R2000 has Obama up 10. Ras has Obama up 6 (down 2 from the past 2 days). Gallup has Obama up 9. CNN has Obama up 8. NBC has Obama up 6. Obama leads by 7.8 points in these 5 polls. A 5 point Obama lead when you put all 10 polls together.

Of course this is all pre-debate. I think the election is over.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

A few weeks ago, Hillary Clinton said:

[W]e need a government entity, a modern-day Homeowners Loan Corporation, referred to as HOLC -- H-O-L-C . . . Now, I personally believe and was among the very first to suggest that a HOLC, a Homeowners Loan Corporation, could be a preferable way of unfreezing and beginning to fix our struggling mortgage market.

Last night, Barack Obama said:

The middle-class need a rescue package. . . . It means help for homeowners so that they can stay in their homes.

Last night, John McCain said:

As president of the United States . . . I would order the secretary of the treasury to immediately buy up the bad home loan mortgages in America and renegotiate at the new value of those homes -- at the diminished value of those homes and let people be able to make those -- be able to make those payments and stay in their homes.

So now that we have all agreed, it is time to move to implementation of a new HOLC.

More . . .

The Supreme Court heard two cases yesterday dealing with the exclusionary rule and the fourth Amendment.

The exclusionary rule case is Herring v. United States. Criminal defense attorney Cheryl Stein has an op-ed in the Washington Times on why we need to keep the rule, and I encourage everyone to read it, granting TalkLeft permission to reprint it in full here. It appears below the fold:

Post Debate Polls are coming in:

• CNN: Obama 54, McCain 30.

• CBS: Obama won among undecideds, 40% to 26%.

  Forty percent of the 516 uncommitted voters surveyed identified Barack Obama as tonight's winner; 26 percent said John McCain won, while 35 percent saw the debate as a draw. (As you might have noticed, these percentages add up to 101 percent; the reason for the additional percentage point is rounding of each of the individual totals.)

  After the debate, 68 percent of uncommitted voters said that they think Obama will make the right decisions on the economy, compared to 55 percent who said that before the debate. Fewer thought McCain would do so – 48 percent after the debate, and 41 percent before.

You know Obama won when even the right-wing blog Powerline says so.

Update: The full debate transcript is here.

In addition to the "That One" video, here's:

• "Health Care Should Be A Right"

• Extended health care answer

• Obama on Speaking Softly and Pakistan

• Final answer: "Opportunity" and "Modest means"

More...

Thankfully, it's over. It was a terrible debate format, Tom Brokaw disappointed, McCain was incoherent, snivelling and condescending. Obama appeared Presidential.

You Tube above is of McCain calling Obama "That One."

What did you think?

The Nashville debate between Senators Barack Obama and John McCain begins at 9pm ET on CNN. Big Tent Democrat, TChris, the TL Kid and I will be live-blogging.

The live blog stays below the fold so that it can be a bit wider than the front page allows. Just click on the "There's More" button or bookmark the permalink to go directly to it.

You can comment same as always in the comment section below. You also can send us live messages through the software. Only comments you post below will appear on the site.

We'll ll be putting up some polls during it to see how you think the candidates and questioners are doing. If comments reach 200, we'll start a new thread.[More...]

My great friend (and TalkLeft contributor) Anita Thompson, who like me, used to be a fierce Hillary supporter, has written John McCain a Dear John letter on her Owl Farm Blog.

Dear John McCain,

This is a sincere Thank You note for being the man to put my heart, soul, time and money back into politics.

My beloved late husband, Hunter S. Thompson, gave me the political bug years ago. And to honor his spirit, I was asked to blog for several exciting websites during the Denver Convention. I accepted, but because I was a Hillary supporter, I was going through the motions with thinly veiled apathy and losing steam fast.

My story is not uncommon. I was one of the millions who were hoping for that Clinton/(Obama) ticket. With that failure, it got worse as the months went by. I got depressed, and even sick, my self-esteem tanked, and interest in either party was slipping away.

Then whamo! With your VP pick, the Obama/Biden ticket is not just the better of the two parties, it is a bright and shining star next to the arrogant and stupid Sarah Palin you put in our faces. [More...]

Last week on the day the Dow had its astounding 770 point loss, I asked how much can you afford to lose? I mentioned:

I don't have any investments, but my mother has a modest amount that is used to pay for her nursing home care. ... Today, she lost thousands.

Friday, the bailout agreement agreement passed and things have gotten worse. Yesterday and today she lost thousands more. All in so-called "large cap" (less-risky) stocks that supposedly always come back. I hope she lives that long.

I don't know many people who can lose such huge sums in a week and keep on trucking. Here's what I think it means for the election. [More...]

Matt Yglesias makes a good point, this is Tom Brokaw's town hall, not anybody else's:

In essence, Tom Brokaw and his staff will be asking the questions. They’re sifting through a big group of people, and their pre-set questions, and picking the questions they like. Meanwhile, though, Brokaw and co. get to evade responsibility for the questions if people don’t like them — it was real people asking!

So whoever gets mad about the questions - and someone will, Dem or GOP, the guy to blame is Tom Brokaw. Keith Olbermann will not tell you that.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

I took a peek at Blogometer and I see the Right is trying to pin the economic troubles we have on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Now, the argument is hogwash on an intellectual level and I'll go through why tomorrow. But for the purposes of this election, it is incredible hogwash. Why? Because George Bush became President in 2001. Why? Because Republicans controlled the Congress from 1995 to 2007.

If Fannie and Freddie were the problem, why in the hell didn't the Republicans fix it from 1994 until now? Barack Obama showed up in Washington, DC in 2005. Fannie and Freddie have been around for 40 years. What the hell was the Republican Party doing during its 12 years of dominance of the Congress and 8 years of dominance of the White House? If Fannie and Freddie were the problem, why didn't the Republicans fix it? Maybe we can ask Rick Davis, John McCain's campaign manager, who made millions as a Fannie and Freddie lobbyist.

By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

On Sunday I wrote a long post on the plight of the Uighur Chinese Muslim detainees at Guantanamo and the court hearing that would be held today.

The Center for Constitutional Rights and the ACLU reports (link will be available here) the Judge did in fact order their release into the U.S.

U.S. District Judge Ricardo M. Urbina in Washington, D.C. rejected the Bush administration’s position of indefinitely holding the detainees, known as Uighurs, since they are not considered enemy combatants. The Uighurs have been held in Guantánamo for seven years.

More...