A "Racehorse" Narrative Favorable To Obama
Mitt Romney basically won the GOP nomination last night. He now has a very sizable lead among GOP delegates (better than 3-1 over his closest challenger Santorum), the GOP Establishment support (all the GOP super delegates will go his way) and challengers with no money and no paths to the nomination. In essence, the race is really over.
But a funny thing has happened - the Media, demonstrating its basic incompetence on even the thing they like to cover - the horse race - has declared the issue "wide open." See Ed Kilgore. This is a good thing for Democratic prospects and the prospect of President Obama's reelection. Instead of immediately pivoting to recover ground lost with independent voters, Romney will be forced continue the grovel to the wingnut voters of the GOP. Contrast this with the impatience to end an actual close race in 2008, when Obama and Clinton were never separated by nearly the number of delegates Romney leads Santorum by (with a larger pool) - and yet the "it's over" started even before the March 4, 2008 Ohio and Texas primaries. Chuck Todd is not being trotted out to discuss the "delegate math" and Nate Silver is not being used to ask "why won't they drop out?" More . . .
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