Sunday Electoral Maps
I posted some electoral college result scenarios here, but I've now whittled them down to three. Obama wins in all three: In his worst case scenario, he wins with 271 electors. The second has him winning with 280. In his best scenario, he wins with 299.
At this point, I think Meatloaf would have to bring his Bats of out of Hell for Romney to win. The maps are below: [More...]
The squeaker: Obama 271, Mitt 265
More comfortable win: Obama 280, Mitt 250
Better Case Scenario: Obama gets 293
Best Case Scenario: Obama gets 299
I really don't see how Mitt Romney wins, so long as Obama supporters vote. Since 15,000 showed up last night to hear Obama and Clinton together in Virginia, I suspect VA will go to him as well, but I've calculated both VA ways.
To be on the cautious side, I've given Florida and New Hampshire to Romney, and in some scenarios Colorado, Iowa and Virginia. I used Colorado and Iowa both ways, since they seem to be the only swing states truly up in the air (with Virginia close behind.) Obama has Ohio and PA, and Nevada is now leaning to him, so I gave Obama those.
Anyone have similar predictions, or disagreements with my maps? I made a lttle poll on this below.
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