Obama Up in Iowa, Ohio; Returns to Colorado Tonight

By Jeralyn, Section Elections 2012
Posted on Sun Nov 04, 2012 at 04:20:26 PM EST
Tags: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney (all tags)

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Update: Final national poll before election day: WSJ/NBC poll has Obama 48, Romney 47. Here is the actual poll. Voters with a "very positive" view of Obama: 40%. For Romney, only 25%. Who is better prepared to lead the country? Obama 46%, Mitt 42%. I'm not sure how representative the sample is. 37% identified themselves as conservative, to 25% who identified as liberal. 23% are retired, only 4% are unemployed because they can't find a job, 48% have college/post-college/law degrees and 26% earn more than $100k per year.

A new Des Moines Register poll shows President Obama up 5 points. [More...]

A new Pew Research poll has Obama up 50% to 47%. In the 9 battleground states, Obama is up 49% to 47% for Romney.

President Obama will be in Aurora, Colorado tonight (Community College of Aurora's Lowry campus.) Also on hand: Dave Matthews, who will perform acoustically.

Mitt Romney drew a crowd of 17,000 in Englewood, CO last night (Arapahoe County).

The polls here are tied. A new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Obama ahead in Ohio, but tied with Romney in Colorado, Florida and Virginia.

In Ohio, Obama gains:

Obama had 48 percent compared to Romney's 44 percent. On Saturday, Obama was ahead in Ohio by a point in the same poll.

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Obama Up in Iowa, Ohio; Returns to Colorado Tonight | 24 comments (24 topical)

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Interesting story on how (5.00 / 1) (#1)
by ruffian on Sun Nov 04, 2012 at 04:36:25 PM EST

the fights GOP governors in Ohio and Wisconsin picked with unions are coming back to hurt Romney. . Might this explain the parts of the polling that seem to not look right to people in those states? I have seen elsewhere that Obama is out-performing his 2008 numbers with working class white voters. I have to think that the union battles and the auto bailout explain it, and could very well make the difference in the election.

So even though the Wisconsin recall did not recall Walker, I think that sit-in and recall attempt were ultimately very influential. Latest polls look good for Obama in WI - hope there is an effect for Tammy Duckworth and WI state Dem office holders too. They deserve it.

Um, a poll of union households (5.00 / 2) (#4)
by Towanda on Sun Nov 04, 2012 at 06:17:47 PM EST

in Wisconsin, comparing it to previous polls, is apples and oranges. Union membership has dropped precipitously, owing to impact of Walker's Act 10.

I wish that there were data from other than AFSCME to test the white, working-class vote. It is difficult to reconcile these data with pollsters' findings that Obama's drop in Wisconsin -- from the actual vote in 2008 to some polls in 2012 -- is greater than in any state, isn't it? And the auto bailout did not resurrect the industry there; a lot of loss in population to other states is the result, labor votes lost.

Tuesday will tell. And then Wisconsin again will not matter, and the man who has been there almost a dozen times in recent weeks will not be seen again, nor will labor have a better outlook. The time to do something about that was a year ago.


A year ago... (none / 0) (#10)
by Rojas on Sun Nov 04, 2012 at 07:02:04 PM EST

Or a decade and a half ago?
Bring Delphi back from Mexico or Magnaquench from China?
A miracle worker, lady parts or not, couldn't help all those folks already sold down the river.


: Huh? (none / 0) (#12)
by Towanda on Sun Nov 04, 2012 at 07:10:00 PM EST

Lady parts do not require comfy shoes.

AFSCME membership includes many (none / 0) (#14)
by DFLer on Sun Nov 04, 2012 at 07:13:39 PM EST

"white, working-class" folks. While not an industrial union, nonetheless membership includes maintenance workers, janitors, secretaries, truck drivers, street cleaners, snow-plowers...etc. and not just teachers, government supervisors and the like.


Yes. Apparently you do not understand (none / 0) (#15)
by Towanda on Sun Nov 04, 2012 at 07:25:16 PM EST

Walker's Act 10.

I rather think that I do, as I live with it daily.

It covers all public-sector employees.


I was responding to this part (none / 0) (#16)
by DFLer on Sun Nov 04, 2012 at 07:35:54 PM EST

I wish that there were data from other than AFSCME to test the white, working-class vote.


: Ah. I'm still not sure that I see (none / 0) (#17)
by Towanda on Sun Nov 04, 2012 at 08:10:01 PM EST

why my saying that suggests what you see -- AFSCME is not the same as AFT, for example -- but . . . bygones. The basic problem in the news release has not enough information to figure out whether it is a worthy sign of good things, knowing what I know. It's interesting and sad in that some such lacking info is exactly the sort that used to be trumpeted by the state AFSCME.
But then, who's still there to write the news releases? I know a lot of