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How Democrats Bargain

"One shouldn't agree to deals which don't even exist." -- Atrios

Roger Hickey at TPM's "Pass The Bill" Rally:

Here's my position. In these final days of the health care fight, progressives should work hard to improve the health reform bill in the Senate and in the conference with the (better) House bill. But we should support the passage of the best bill we can get - and then keep fighting for more and better reform.

Great thinking. Let's go to the bargaining table, announce that while we want certain things, we will still do the deal even if we do not get them. So what are the chances you think that Democrats will "improve the health reform bill" when they have said they will pass anything? Yes, the chances are precisely zero. Indeed, the chances of the bill getting worse are 100% because of such a stance.

Speaking for me only

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  • Display: Sort:
    Just baffling (none / 0) (#1)
    by gyrfalcon on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 08:00:13 AM PST
    Even Anthony Weiner was saying essentially the same thing last night.  The better labor union leaders must just be banging their heads on their desks when they read/hear this stuff.

    Incredibly frustrating (none / 0) (#2)
    by dnew on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 08:04:46 AM PST
    Aaaaarrrrgggghhhh.  Why do they keep doing this?  It's either a complex form of theater or sheer stupidity.  And it hurts them not just on this negotiation but on all the others they want(ed) to do.  Climate change, financial system reform, jobs -- the left always wants legislation more than the right

    I mean (5.00 / 2) (#3)
    by lilburro on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 08:06:40 AM PST
    even the "Obama throws a Hail Mary during conference and we all get a public option" people like Booman had a rosier situation in mind that what we have in reality.  In part because Obama has only legitimized the efforts of the Senate in fixing health care.  He's given no support to the House - so now that we are going to merge the two bills, the House basically has no leg to stand on.  If Obama wanted stuff from the House bill in the main bill, you'd think he would've promoted their version a wee bit more.

    i think (none / 0) (#5)
    by pitachips on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 08:13:44 AM PST
    we need to come to terms with the fact that even the pundits/bloggers/senators that we THINK support us (public option/medicare buy in etc etc) have been captured ideologically (and financially) by the insurance/drug industry. i really don't see any other explanation for why reasonably intelligent people - people experienced in politics and business - would think that telling your counter party that you will take shyt on a stick will lead to him/her offering you a steak dinner.

    • Psssssst by cawaltz, 12/18/2009 08:25:20 AM PST (5.00 / 2)
    Democratic bargaining (5.00 / 2) (#6)
    by TeresaInSnow2 on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 08:14:07 AM PST
    This Democratic method of bargaining is absolutely effective, if the goal is to lose the fight.

    Brilliant strategy, actually.

    I'll never in a million years (none / 0) (#7)
    by cawaltz on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 08:14:34 AM PST
    understand why they didn't start out with what they wouldn't except. You'd think they were still the minority party begging for crumbs the way they act.

    I'll post it again because it's so on point: (5.00 / 1) (#9)
    by andgarden on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 08:31:37 AM PST
    What I find just mind-boggling (5.00 / 2) (#10)
    by Anne on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 08:39:29 AM PST
    is that if you had just awakened from a coma, and didn't know the Democrats had majorities in the Congress and there was a Democrat in the WH, you would think it was the usual Dems-in-the-minority, GOP-in-the-WH scenario, and Dems were struggling to improve a Republican bill, wouldn't you?  That what the Dems were dealing with was a Republican bill that had thrown them a few well-gnawed bones, and Dems were trying to decide if they had any leverage to make it better, or were going to have to settle for these rancid leavings, and then have to explain to their constituency that "this was the best they could do."

    If I had any doubts about just how bad the Dems were at negotiating, this almost-yearlong exercise has removed all of it; they are officially, in my book, the Worst. Negotiators. Ever.

    How sad is it that they are struggling to improve their own bill?  Doesn't it just shine a 50,000 watt freakin' klieg light on the obvious: if they're in charge, why didn't it start out as the Best Bill Ever?  If they're in charge, why did they start with a marginal bill, allow the GOP and their own conservative bloc to have their way with it, and just now wake up and realize they have to do something to make it better?

    They are really this bad, aren't they?  And it's going to get worse, isn't it?

    Seems like a good time to get snowed in and pretend all's right with the world.


    You've basically hit the crux (none / 0) (#11)
    by ai002h on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 08:40:18 AM PST
    of the reason why progressives always lose these battles. This method of negotiating even permeates with progressive stalwarts like Bernie Saunders. They show their cards early by their unwillingness to threaten opposition to the bill. By saying that you're for the bill right away, you immediately weaken your hand against the Ben Nelsons and Joe Liebermans of the world, who claim unequivocal opposition until all their demands are met, and even then, will still refuse to endorse the bill in case they see something else they don't like.

    Here's the problem (none / 0) (#13)
    by s5 on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 09:37:27 AM PST
    The left wants a healthcare bill. The right does not. And everyone knows this. "If we don't get what we want, we'll KILL THE BILL" is an empty threat because the right will take that deal. We're in a compromised bargaining position before we even get started, and I haven't seen anything that can truly turn this dynamic around.

    The problem with this is (none / 0) (#14)
    by CST on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 09:37:54 AM PST
    the fact that I think conserva dems would be more than happy to see this bill die, and liberal dems really want to pass something.

    Knowing that, it's hard to come to the bargaining table with anything.

    Not that they've tried very hard.

    I don't think it's about bargaining (none / 0) (#17)
    by FreakyBeaky on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 09:51:30 AM PST
    Against a conservative White House, a few conservative Senators, and Senate procedure (i.e., the filibuster), Senate Democrats are in a weak position.  They'd have passed a decent bill weeks ago if a mere majority were all they needed, or if they had White House support.  They don't.  They can sacrifice public-anything and pass abortion restrictions into the bargain, which I am 100% certain is what Obama wants, or they can get nothing.  Not much room to negotiate that I can see - and if I were them I'm not sure this is bill the I'd chose to kill to give the President a much-needed slap in the face.  In a way I'd like them to do it, but I can see whey they might not.

    Trying to pass a gutted bill just to meet an ... (5.00 / 3) (#23)
    by Ellie on Fri Dec 18, 2009 at 10:17:06 AM PST
    ... arbirarily set deadline is one of those clap-harder until the pony shows deals. That's lovely, but look at who else (apart from those seeking improved access and to better and more affordable health care) is at the table:

    • the insurance industry lobbyists
    • big pharma
    • the GOP
    • religious extremists

    I see no one there inclined to refine upwards from a gutted bill.

    This doesn't have to be under the Xmas tree.