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Turnout in Puerto Rico May Be Low

By Jeralyn, Section Elections 2008
Posted on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 11:58:38 AM EST
Tags: Puerto Rico '08 (all tags)
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Geraldo Rivera is in Puerto Rico. He interviewed Hillary Clinton but it hasn't aired yet.

From his live report:

  • Turnout has been low to moderate.
  • She needs 160,000 votes for popular vote lead
  • She will win majority of delegates and superdelegates.

Fox News has a chiron at the bottom of their screen saying turnout may only be 20%. Major Garrett says turnout will be 300 - 400,000 votes. He also said she needs 96% of the uncommitted pledged delegates.

CNN will have exit polling.

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    Turnout in Puerto Rico May Be Low | 67 comments (67 topical)

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    Geraldo (5.00 / 1) (#2)
    by Lahdee on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:05:44 PM EST
    Shame that he didn't find anything in that vault. Wonder what ridiculous question he'll come up with for Senator Clinton.

    Compared to What? (5.00 / 0) (#16)
    by Spike on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:18:05 PM EST
    I'd be suspect of any estimates of turnout at this point. I'd guess there are a lot of church goers who would vote later in the afternoon.

    There is a high Catholic (none / 0) (#22)
    by madamab on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:20:59 PM EST
    population in PR I think.

    That's a good point.

    Parent

    But polls close at 3PM ! (none / 0) (#50)
    by Andy08 on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:51:46 PM EST
    3PM is ridiculously early for PR !!

    Parent
    Well, that's not going to happen. (5.00 / 2) (#29)
    by masslib on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:29:18 PM EST


    Once in a lifetime primary yet turnout is low? (5.00 / 1) (#62)
    by Saul on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 01:37:51 PM EST
    I don't understand.  For once there is a chance for Puerto Rico to have some importance in who will be the nominee and now they want to stay home.  

    What was all the hype all about then.  They went out of their way to get a primary and for what.

    If ever there was a time that there would be voting record turnout it would be in this one.  What gives?

    Well, 20% is not nearly enough (none / 0) (#1)
    by masslib on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:04:58 PM EST
    to satisfy those who give Obama MI undecideds.  Damn it.

    Those people (5.00 / 1) (#19)
    by madamab on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:19:51 PM EST
    will only be satisfied with an Obama nomination.

    An Obamanation! ;-)

    Parent

    and Clinton supporters will (none / 0) (#42)
    by coigue on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:43:16 PM EST
    only be satisfied with a Clinton nomination?

    What is your point?

    Parent

    The poster (5.00 / 2) (#51)
    by madamab on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:52:22 PM EST
    was referring to the DNC people who gave Obama the MI uncommitteds, specifically.

    Obviously if that was their solution, those people are pushing for Obama's nomination.

    Parent

    oops (none / 0) (#78)
    by coigue on Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 10:06:08 AM EST
    sorry 'bout that.

    Parent
    Didn't CNN (none / 0) (#3)
    by cmugirl on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:07:42 PM EST
    just report 50%??

    50% would be (none / 0) (#5)
    by Jeralyn on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:08:43 PM EST
    more than a million and they would be reporting heavy turnout then.

    Parent
    50% of normal expected turnout is what they said. (none / 0) (#13)
    by TalkRight on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:14:29 PM EST


    Parent
    May be they (none / 0) (#44)
    by Andy08 on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:45:17 PM EST
    are referring to 50% not of RV but of what it usually is ( 70%-80%).

    Parent
    Any idea why turnout so low? Doesn't PR have a (none / 0) (#4)
    by jawbone on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:08:36 PM EST
    history of high voter turnout?
    yes but there are no (none / 0) (#6)
    by Jeralyn on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:09:11 PM EST
    important local issues on the ballot.

    Parent
    No local issues and (none / 0) (#53)
    by s5 on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:59:16 PM EST
    Nothing really at stake for PR in the choice between Hillary and Obama. Neither have really promised much beyond the status quo.

    Parent
    there has been (none / 0) (#47)
    by Andy08 on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:47:58 PM EST
    a huge campaign to declare the race over for a while now and what happened yesterday with MI was terrible for HRC. It put Obama within easy reach of 2118.
    All of this has contributed to the low turn out. It is hard to movilize people to vote when they tell you over and over and over it is over.
    I also think Obama has the Rep. machine there working on his side.

    Parent
    Cut in Polling places in Puerto Rico (none / 0) (#74)
    by laurie on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 02:01:51 PM EST
     The other day I found a  report that Puerto Rico's Democratic Party has asked the Commonwealth Elections Commission to cut the number of polling places by 1,000, apparently due to a failure to find poll workers.

    http://www.observer.com/2008/puerto-rico-primary-looms-smaller

    Of course if people have to walk farther, and queue longer to vote on a question that does not directly concern the Island....More DIRTY TRICKS by the Democratic Party...

    Parent

    It looks like CNN (none / 0) (#7)
    by andgarden on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:10:47 PM EST
    will also be reporting by district. So we should know the delegate totals right away too.

    Not the news I was hoping for. I guess (none / 0) (#8)
    by bjorn on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:11:12 PM EST
    now I am hoping she wins it by more than 2 to 1.

    Thanks again for a very long day yesterday Jeralyn.

    20% of 2.4 million (none / 0) (#9)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:12:30 PM EST
    is about 500,000 voters. That is what I expected and predicted.

    If Clinton wins 60-40, she wins by about 100,000 votes. If she wins 67-33, she wins by 230,000 votes.

    The margin now is the issue.    

    What, if anything, are we looking for (5.00 / 1) (#11)
    by andgarden on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 12:14:04 PM EST
    in the exit poll? Income? Gender distribution? PR party distribution?

    I will have very little idea how to read this one, but I don't think we really have to take much from it.

    Parent

    Age (5.00 / 1) (#15)
    by Big Tent Democrat on Sun Jun 01, 2008 at 1