PA Likes Its Annie Oakley
Barack Obama thought he was being funny with his comment about Hillary Clinton acting like Annie Oakley.
Among voters from households where someone owns a gun, Clinton leads by seventeen points.
As to whether Bitter-Gate had an effect, draw your own conclusions from these numbers about religion and immigration, both mentioned in Obama's now infamous remark:
Clinton leads among voters who say faith and religion are Somewhat or Very Important. Obama leads among those who say such topics are Not Very Important or Not at All Important.
...Sixty percent (60%) of Likely Democratic Primary voters in Pennsylvania say that it is Very Important for the government to enforce the borders and reduce illegal immigration. Among these voters, Clinton leads by sixteen. [More...]
The racial component of the survey:
Clinton leads by twenty-seven points among White Voters while Obama attracts 78% of the African-American vote.
For number crunchers, CQ Politics says that even if Clinton wins in PA, she's unlikely to win more than a 3 delegate lead in the state's congressional districts (53 to 50). But then, that's only 103 of PA's 187 delegates.
The other 84 are 55 pledged delegates awarded on the basis of the statewide popular vote and 29 unpledged superdelegates.
If Hillary does well in PA, she'll get lots of superdelegates, plus her share of the 55 plus her 53. Obama will get 50 plus his lesser share of the 55 plus his superdelegates. I think that will put her enough ahead of him in the state for the superdelegates in other states to take notice.
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