Latino, Hispanic and Immigrant Voters To Turn Out in Record Numbers

Bump: I'm bumping this from yesterday where it got buried under our debate posts.

A new report, the Power of the Latino Vote (pdf), predicts 9 million Latino, Hispanic and immigrant citizens will vote on November 4.

The road to the White House passes through key “battleground” states with large numbers of Latino and immigrant voters like Florida, Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico. These voters are also flexing their muscle in Senate and House races across the nation.


While Latinos care about the economy, jobs, healthcare and national security like every other American, a candidate’s stance on immigration reform has become a threshold question for many Latinos. As the immigration debate has heated up these last few years, they are paying closer attention to how candidates engage on the issue. To them, it is not just a question of visas but values and whether they and their families feel welcomed in the United States.

The hard work of the We Are America Alliance/a> is bearing fruit. Following the 2006 marches -- 4 million people in 120 American cities -- community, immigrant rights and ethnic organizations formed a joint alliance to launch a national immigrant voter registration drive.

The goal of the alliance was to register 500,000 new voters. Today they are at 468,541.

  • AZ - 18,166
  • CA - 87,544
  • CO - 33,573
  • FL - 34,345
  • IL - 27,026
  • MI - 8,000
  • NV - 51,782
  • NH - 680
  • NM - 80,477
  • NY - 16,640
  • PA - 34,490
  • TX - 25,173
  • VA - 635

Last month, the Pew Hispanic Center released a new national survey (pdf). The findings:

  • 93% of Latinos nationwide said that immigration was important to them.
  • They see their situation as deteriorating.
  • They oppose key immigration enforcement provisions.

The Hispanic community is approaching 46 million, or 15.4% of the total U.S. civilian non-institutional population.

More than four-in-five Hispanics (81%) say that immigration enforcement should be left mainly to the federal authorities rather than the local police; 76% disapprove of workplace raids; 73% disapprove of the criminal prosecution of undocumented immigrants who are working without authorization; and 70% disapprove of the criminal prosecution of employers who hire undocumented immigrants. A narrow majority (53%) disapproves of a requirement that employers check a federal database to verify the legal immigration status of all prospective hires.

How will they vote?

About half (49%) of all Latinos say that the Democratic Party has more concern for Hispanics, while just 7% say the Republican Party has more concern. Since 2004, the share of Hispanics who say that the Democratic Party has more concern for Hispanics has increased by 14 percentage points. Most of this gain for the Democrats comes from a reduction in the share of Latinos who say there is no difference between the parties.

As between McCain and Obama:

Among Hispanics who are registered voters, a majority say that Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama is the better candidate for Hispanics (55%) and for immigrants (50%). Just 11% of Hispanic registered voters say that Republican presidential nominee John McCain is better for Hispanics, and just 12% say he is better for immigrants. The remainder see no difference between the two candidates on this front.

Overall, Hispanic registered voters support Obama over McCain by 66% to 23% (Lopez and Minushkin 2008).

... more than three-quarters (77%) of Latinos who reported that they voted for Clinton in the primaries now say they are inclined to vote for Obama in the fall election, while just 8% say they are inclined to vote for McCain.

78% of these voters say they are following the election very closely. They could make the difference in swing states. Take Nevada for example. Bush carried the state by 20,000 in 2004. This year We Are America registered more than 50,000 new voters in the state.

Here's the latest video of America's Voices:

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  • Display: Sort:
    Well, I knew Obama had the Latinos. . . (5.00 / 0) (#3)
    by LarryInNYC on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 07:50:41 PM EST
    but if he's also got the Hispanics, he's got a lock on it!

    "Latinos" & "Hispanics" (none / 0) (#6)
    by Finis Terrae on Thu Oct 16, 2008 at 07:01:29 PM EST
    How are they different?

    It's a mess! (none / 0) (#7)
    by mexboy on Thu Oct 16, 2008 at 07:35:02 PM EST
    Latinos is what we call ourselves, especially in the west and East coast.

    Hispanic is a name first used by the Nixon administration to  officially make us non-white. Prior to that we were white, as we are in all of Latin America.

    I believe people in Texas call themselves Hispanic... just call me Mexican.


    Very simple explanation (none / 0) (#8)
    by Jeralyn on Thu Oct 16, 2008 at 07:38:36 PM EST
    Google is your friend. Read here.

    Thanks mexboy and Jeralyn. (none / 0) (#9)
    by Finis Terrae on Thu Oct 16, 2008 at 08:33:00 PM EST
    Most latinos were for Hilary (none / 0) (#2)
    by Saul on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 06:34:03 PM EST
    Is there a poll that shows that Obama's got the Hilary latinos voting in great numbers for him in the GE.  I know latinos came out in great numbers during the primaries, mostly for Hilary but that was the primaries.

    Yes, the polls are cited. . . (5.00 / 0) (#4)
    by LarryInNYC on Wed Oct 15, 2008 at 07:52:28 PM EST
    in the body of Jeralyn's post.

    The "group X supported candidate Y over candidate Z  in the Democratic primary, so clearly they will support the Republican over candidate Z in the general election" theory is now and always has been bunk.