New Hampshire: Updated CNN-WMUR Poll , 47% of Dem Voters Still Undecided or Leaning

The results of yesterday's CNN-WMUR New Hampshire poll have been updated to include additional telephone polling conducted yesterday (Sunday). Yesterday's numbers included all day Saturday polling and Sunday polling only from noon to 3 pm. The final numbers reflect the addition of the additional Sunday calls. The revised poll results are here (pdf).

The significant findings for the Democratic candidates, when adding in the results from an additional 258 voters who plan to vote in the Democratic primary:

  • Only 53% of likely Democratic primary voters have firmly decided on their preferred candidate. 26% are leaning towards a candidate and 21% are undecided.
  • Among likely Democratic primary voters, the numbers are: Obama, 39%, Hillary 30%, Edwards, 16%.
  • 60% of registered Independent voters will vote in the Democratic primary and 40% in the Republican.

Bottom line: 16 hours before most polling places open in New Hampshire, 47% of those likely to vote in the Democratic primary have not made up their mind.

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  • Display: Sort:
    Do you really believe that? (none / 0) (#1)
    by Aaron on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 05:38:46 PM EST
    That half of the Democratic voters in New Hampshire haven't made up their mind?

    I don't believe it.

    Me neither. (none / 0) (#2)
    by oculus on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 05:46:08 PM EST
    I do. (none / 0) (#3)
    by DA in LA on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 05:49:50 PM EST
    They are an interesting bunch up there.

    I think the biggest news is the latest polls out of South Carolina, where Obama is running away with it.  I would not be surprised if many black people in the south had the same reaction I did when watching Obama during his victory speech.

    I though, "wow, a black man could actually be president."  That moment, that realization, is now high up on my all time list of political experiences.  And I hadn't really thought of it much until I saw him on that stage.  That is when it sunk in.  "This is real."  And for the first time in quite a while, I was proud of my country and I did have a bit of hope.  But that hope did not spring from his words, but rather the fact that a black man had won a primary.  A very important primary in a very white state.

    I think that is why Obama will get a massive bump in places like South Carolina.  This is moving from, "I don't think so" to "Wow, this may be real."


    If her negativity (none / 0) (#4)
    by Jgarza on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 05:59:43 PM EST
    were working Edwards would be surging.

    Assuming she is being negative, whoever (none / 0) (#5)
    by oculus on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 06:09:09 PM EST
    "her" is.

    right (none / 0) (#8)
    by Jgarza on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 06:34:33 PM EST
    "false hopes" who could call the negative?

    Market traders have a windfall for (none / 0) (#6)
    by oculus on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 06:14:59 PM EST


    funny (none / 0) (#7)
    by Judith on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 06:24:22 PM EST
    I was just thinking about how I was one of the few who didnt I knew lose a bundle in the crash of the bubble.

    Hey you should always have hope (none / 0) (#11)
    by Jgarza on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 06:58:31 PM EST
    just listen to Bill:

    "This campaign is playing out exactly as I thought it would," Clinton told a crowd of students gathered at Dartmouth College Monday night. "All the pundits, as usual, are wrong. I always [told Hillary] 'You'll have a hard time winning the primaries, but if you get nominated, you'll win the general election by a wide margin'."

    Eddie Fisher: (none / 0) (#12)
    by oculus on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 07:08:33 PM EST
    Oops there goes another rubber plant tree (none / 0) (#13)
    by Rojas on Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 07:47:21 PM EST