For Hillary and Obama, It's On To Nevada

Nevada will hold caucuses on January 19. The Republican caucuses are non-binding so no one is paying attention. But the Democratic race is heating up. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama increased volunteers and campaign workers in the state right after Iowa. Obama currently has more field offices open than Hillary.

In North Las Vegas on Wednesday, an Obama field office was buzzing with activities and people came in from the streets looking for yard signs and T-shirts. (“Tell Mama Vote Obama” remained on the wall, and there was not a sign for the taking.)

“Senator Obama has invested heavily into this state,” said Shannon Gilson, a spokeswoman for his campaign here. “We aren’t taking anything for granted.”

As I noted yesterday, Obama has garnered the endorsement of two influential unions while Clinton picked up the support of the state's Democratic Congresswoman.

Nevada will be the first western state to vote. Traditionally Republican, except for Clark County which includes Las Vegas, the demographics have been changing. From the NY Times article linked above:[More...]

....in recent months, Democratic voter registration has passed that of Republicans, and Nevada is a genuine swing state.... “It is a place that is in transition from Old West, libertarian, small-state mind-set to ‘Hey, we are a major player,’ with gaming and politics. The Democrats have made the interior West the place to win, and this is a winnable state.”

Economics, and health care in particular, are the issues of the day.

In Nevada candidates will find a booming state with a population far more concerned with infrastructure and traffic than farm subsidies and family values, and one bedeviled by some of the highest foreclosure rates in the nation.

Health care, the theme of advertising by both Mr. Obama and Mrs. Clinton, is the issue of the day here, along with the Iraq war.

What about John Edwards?

John Edwards, who pulled workers out of the state early in the campaign, has had a harder time getting traction.

“There are no real social services here,” said David Damore, a political scientist at the University of Nevada. “So to come here and tell people they need to care about the poor is not a winning strategy.”

My question: Who is Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman (one of my all-time heroes) supporting? As of mid-November, in this interview with CNN, he was staying mum. But he says that could change. He's met Hillary several times and at the time of the interview in November, she was very much favored in the race as she got there early. But, Oscar says, the unions will play a big role if they decide to become active in their endorsement.

Other issues of import in Nevada, according to Oscar: nuclear waste facilities and gaming laws.

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  • Display: Sort:
    Can't wait 'til the bloggers dissect (none / 0) (#1)
    by oculus on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 01:36:05 AM EST
    that sign:  tell Mama vote Obama

    if the republican caucuses (none / 0) (#2)
    by cpinva on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 08:28:38 AM EST
    aren't binding, why bother with them at all? seems like a waste of scarce, allocable resources.

    Yes (none / 0) (#12)
    by Bob In Pacifica on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 11:28:07 AM EST
    We could be feeding starving babies in Africa.

    could be, i suppose, (none / 0) (#16)
    by cpinva on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 03:10:20 PM EST
    but that's not what i had in mind. were i a republican candidate, and the caucus essentially meant nothing, i might make a drive-by, but i sure wouldn't invest much in the way of assets there.

    i'd use them, to better effect, in SC, or one of the Super Tuesday primaries, the ones that do count.

    were i to use those assets to feed starving children, i'd start in my own back yard first, here in the good old US of A.

    but hey, that's me!


    Kerry to endorse Obama (none / 0) (#3)
    by ding7777 on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 09:02:56 AM EST
    How much weight will that Kerry? (none / 0) (#6)
    by Molly Bloom on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 10:02:39 AM EST
    (bad pun, I know)

    The Democratic party has traditionally been pretty disdainful of its losers since at least 1976.

    Gore is an exception which proves the rule in that it took quite awhile for Gore to rehabilitate himself and I note he did it with a scathing anti-war partisan attack on Bush.


    I think it is helpful (none / 0) (#8)
    by Jgarza on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 10:16:04 AM EST
    because of the experience question.  Having very senior colleagues endorse him, will help him make the argument that he has enough experience.

    Perhaps in the GE. I predict in the primary it (none / 0) (#9)
    by Molly Bloom on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 10:19:50 AM EST
    will lose votes for reasons stated.

    nice (none / 0) (#4)
    by Jgarza on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 09:17:42 AM EST
    write up.  It is good that Dems are competing in primaries in important swing states.  It will help us later on.

    Clinton has been leading by 20-30 points in NV, so (none / 0) (#5)
    by Geekesque on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 09:51:56 AM EST
    she has to be considered a heavy favorite.

    the last poll (none / 0) (#7)
    by Jgarza on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 10:11:55 AM EST
    is from early December, so much has changed since then, i would rely to heavily on that.

    She won NH, and she was ahead in the polls before (none / 0) (#17)
    by Geekesque on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 03:10:31 PM EST

    She has to be the heavy favorite.  How could she not be?


    kerry endorsement (none / 0) (#10)
    by neilario on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 10:47:48 AM EST
    Well, I'm from MA and voted for Kerry the first time he ever ran and still am - but it just makes me dissappointed in him. HRC all the way.

    [ altho I am still pushing a post convention HRC/Bo ticket. as a vp he gets to be heir apparent and get all the experience he needs... she gets spin from him and down ticket - the wave for dem would be huge...
    I am just thinking :-]

    I have an iidiosyncratic gripe with Kerry: (none / 0) (#11)
    by MarkL on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 11:07:39 AM EST
    one which is relevant to this year's race.
    I thought that the one decision he made which may have killed his chances was to pull the ad showing McCain crying in in the SC 2000 debate, with Bush smirking horribly at his side.
    It was a great spot, and not only bad for Bush, it would have ruined McCain's chances permanently---it was truly a Republican Muskie moment.

    Yeah, not buying it (none / 0) (#15)
    by BlueLakeMichigan on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 01:09:56 PM EST
    I don't think that ad helps kill McCain's campaign in a GOP Primary. They were and still are in such an anti-Kerry bloodlust that I wonder if they would even pay it the time of day. And Bush being devious and nefarious was old news by 2004, we saw Bush scowl during the first presidential debate and the conclusion? Bad performance, so bad that we have to lower the expectations for every other performance Bush does, such that two chimps farting would make for good press for the President. (Oddly, that's what happened in the last debate, little known fact)

    What kind of machines? (none / 0) (#13)
    by Bob In Pacifica on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 11:33:06 AM EST
    Are there Diebold machines in Nevada? Maybe they have an arm on the side, and if you're lucky your vote counts.

    Just remember, Clinton supporters, Hillary won the Diebold machine election in New Hampshire, and she lost the hand-counted votes. So far Hillary has only won on machines that can and have been hacked in past elections. And all indications are that something fishy happened in NH.

    Just saying.

    Were there Diebold Machines (none / 0) (#14)
    by BlueLakeMichigan on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 01:06:11 PM EST
    in the NH Dem primary? I would think people would learn their lesson from that. If we use them now, doesn't that give cred to them being used in the general? Wouldn't THAT be bad for democracy? Hmmm...but really, were they used in NH?

    bob in pacifica, (none / 0) (#18)
    by cpinva on Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 03:13:35 PM EST
    please provide cites to support your assertions of fact.