Two to Be Excluded From a Dem Administration

Michael O'Hanlon and Ken Pollack write:

Here is the most important thing Americans need to understand: We are finally getting somewhere in Iraq, at least in military terms. As two analysts who have harshly criticized the Bush administration’s miserable handling of Iraq, we were surprised by the gains we saw and the potential to produce not necessarily “victory” but a sustainable stability that both we and the Iraqis could live with.

As two analysts who have been cheering this war on for 4 years, who the heck do you think you are kidding? Consider this from CSM, via Sully:

"We are frankly in the midst of the worst crisis," says Fakhri Karim, a close adviser to Messrs. Barzani and Talabani who also publishes the independent Al Mada newspaper. He says he doubts the Friday meeting will find any resolution because of the new political tussle with the Iraqi Accordance Front. "Most of the political blocs have failed to operate within the framework of national consensus. They can't even properly formulate their positions and proposals, let alone realize the very serious dangers that surround everyone."

The gravity of the situation was underscored by several officials. "We have a governmental crisis. Our people expect better performance," said Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari.

. . . "The surge has done well in making a difference in security conditions. But it isn't a light switch for reconciliation; there are no quick fixes to years of bitterness and violence," he said.

So even if we buy this so called military success, and frankly, I do not, the political component remains in tatters. But never fear, another Friedman Unit or two or four will do the trick (as they no doubt said a few Friedman Units ago. This is the wonky version of Joe Lieberman):

In the end, the situation in Iraq remains grave. In particular, we still face huge hurdles on the political front. Iraqi politicians of all stripes continue to dawdle and maneuver for position against one another when major steps towards reconciliation — or at least accommodation — are needed. This cannot continue indefinitely. Otherwise, once we begin to downsize, important communities may not feel committed to the status quo, and Iraqi security forces may splinter along ethnic and religious lines. How much longer should American troops keep fighting and dying to build a new Iraq while Iraqi leaders fail to do their part? And how much longer can we wear down our forces in this mission? These haunting questions underscore the reality that the surge cannot go on forever. But there is enough good happening on the battlefields of Iraq today that Congress should plan on sustaining the effort at least into 2008

I have a new litmus test for the Dem Presidential candidates - they must promise not to have Michael O'Hanlon and Ken Pollock in their administration.

Matt Yglesias thought of this first.
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  • Display: Sort:
    "Bloodbath" as a Rationale for Staying (none / 0) (#1)
    by dutchfox on Mon Jul 30, 2007 at 04:12:10 AM EST
    From CounterPunch Diary, Alexander Cockburn writes:
    Ken Pollack and Dan Byman of the Brookings Institution wrote an influential shock/horror scenario about the policy pitfalls of withdrawal, predicting a terrible refugee problem.(Pollack was previously a prominent salesman of Saddam's nuclear arsenal.) Right now, amid US occupation, the UN's High Commission on Refugees says 2000 Iraqis a day are fleeing their homes. Since the Americans invaded, two million Iraqis have fled their homes and two million more are refugees inside Iraq. It's the worst refugee crisis in the Middle East since the Second World War, outstripping the Israel-induced flight of Palestinian refugees in 1948.

    Ugh, I noticed the new cheering from (none / 0) (#2)
    by Militarytracy on Mon Jul 30, 2007 at 11:12:17 AM EST
    the stands this weekend.  They've started a little early though because now they are giving us a whole month to prove them idiots, and selective memory irrationalists, and kamikazee pilots.  I had to turn the TV off or risk throwing it in the driveway and running it over several times.