Immigrant Bashing Will Be The GOP Campaign Issue In 2008
This is obvious. Matt Stoller writes:
I spoke to a New York state party insider who told me that candidate numbers have been dropped ten points in local elections to be held tomorrow because of immigration, across all major voting blocs. The right-wing speaks entirely in coded language about tribalism, and it's beginning to hurt our candidates badly.
I am curious about Stoller's conclusion that it is hurting. In Western New York, I suppose it is hurting. But what about in areas with significant Latino populations? Is it hurting there? Or is it helping Dems? I find Stoller's formulation problematic in the extreme. Indeed, one need only read Stoller's partner, Chris Bowers, to see why:
[L]ooking through exit poll data, it appears that [Kerry and Dukakis] performed almost identically among one of the larger demographic groups in the electorate: white voters. The only real difference between the outcome of the 1988 and 2004 elections does not seem to be that Kerry did any better among particularly demographic groups, but rather that demographic groups more favorable to Democrats formed a larger share of the electorate. In fact, Kerry actually did worse than Dukakis among Latinos. If John Kerry had won Latinos by the same 70%-30% margin that Dukakis did, then he would have at least pulled to within less than a percentage point on Bush, and possibly even won the popular vote.
Stoller seems to be misunderstanding the moment imo. Standing with Latinos on immigration MUST be part of the Emerging Democratic Majority strategy of the Democratic Party. This is precisely why John Edwards' weasel words on the subject are so troubling.
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