Osama's Diary: Nothing Operational
What a faux headline from the AP, "Diary: Bin Laden eyed new targets, big body count." From the body of the article:
Intelligence officials have not identified any new planned targets or plots in their initial analysis of the 100 or so flash drives and five computers that Navy SEALs hauled away after killing bin Laden.
....Officials have not yet seen any indication that bin Laden had the ability to coordinate timing of attacks across the various al-Qaida affiliates in Pakistan, Yemen, Algeria, Iraq and Somalia.
They can't even conclude AQAP and the other al Qaida groups paid attention to his musings. AQAP is far more relevant and operational than Osama. [More...]
The Yemen branch had already surpassed his central operation as al-Qaida's leading fundraising, propaganda and operational arm.
The AP thinks Ayman al-Zawahri will be "Osama's successor." I don't. Only al Qaida in Iraq has backed him and Iraq only has a very small faction of al Qaida. Also, al-Zawahri is as old school as Osama. He's mostly a symbol.
If there is a new leader of al Qaida, I think it will be from the new generation of al Qaida groups -- probably AQAP. While as the AP says, the groups in Somalia and Algeria have not focused on America but on local concerns, AQAP has targeted the U.S. It sent Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab to Detroit and was behind the failed cargo plane bomb attempts. They said before one of their goals was to take down the avaiation industry. They have dual targets: The West (including the U.S. and Europe) and Saudi Arabia (due to their perception that Saudi Arabia is protecting Israel and Jews.)
They don't even share Osama's goal of a big body count. After the cargo bombs were intercepted they wrote:
We are laying out for our enemies our plan in advance because as we stated earlier our objective is not maximum kill but to cause a hemorrhage in the aviation industry, an industry that is so vital for trade and transportation between the U.S. and Europe.
You can read more in their November, 2010 Inspire Magazine.
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