FL, OH, PA
By Big Tent Democrat
Speaking for me only.
It is one polling outfit, but here is the crux of Hillary Clinton's electability argument:
FLORIDA: Clinton 44 - McCain 42
McCain 46 - Obama 37
OHIO: Clinton 48 - McCain 39
Obama 43 - McCain 42
PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 48 - McCain 40
Obama 43 - McCain 39
68 electoral votes. I believe Michigan will show similar results. 17 more electoral votes. I believe Obama can point to Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Oregon and Virginia in his column of advantage. 55 electoral votes. I stand by my assessment, Obama expands the map, but is the bigger risk in the big contested states. More risk, more reward electorally. I still think the risk is worth the reward. I thought the argument more compelling pre-Wright of course. But I think it survives that.
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