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Edwards: I Just Voted For... | 138 comments (138 topical)

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I doubt he could have made (none / 0) (#13)
by Salo on Fri May 09, 2008 at 11:07:22 AM EST
any difference in the outcome once he dropped out and went silent.

When he dropped out it boosted obama's numbers. That was his impact. De-facto that act helped Obama. Ironically Clinton's pressure on Edwards to drop out helped boost Obama's performance.

[ Parent ]

But I think now (none / 0) (#105)
by Benjamin3 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 12:44:09 PM EST
Rev. Wright and other issues have pushed Edwards' voters into Hillary's column.  She is now consistently winning white men now (although I guess she isn't supposed to say so), and they were a big part of the old Edwards base.

[ Parent ]
the numbers (none / 0) (#107)
by VicAjax on Fri May 09, 2008 at 01:02:16 PM EST
don't really bear your statement out.

the general trend from primary to primary is that Obama is either holding steady or making small gains among white men and other sub-demos in the "white" category.  i predict it will improve more for Obama as the GE swings into full gear.

[ Parent ]

Errr not correct (none / 0) (#123)
by Marvin42 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 02:19:43 PM EST
Look at BTD entry comparing VA to NC. This is absolutely incorrect. He has lost large portions of white men and women.

[ Parent ]
charts (none / 0) (#127)
by VicAjax on Fri May 09, 2008 at 02:44:24 PM EST
comparing only North Carolina to Virginia is an incomplete and misleading analysis.  for a more reasoned, objective breakdown that happens to vary from the pro-Clinton narrative...

try this article, complete with charts:


[ Parent ]
Honestly even looking at this (none / 0) (#129)
by Marvin42 on Fri May 09, 2008 at 03:03:38 PM EST
Some move around, a couple he did better, a couple worse. I don't believe there is any clear trend here.

But in all of these combined the results are much poorer than what he was doing at his peak. That is probably much more critical in Nov.

[ Parent ]

yes (none / 0) (#132)
by VicAjax on Fri May 09, 2008 at 03:20:46 PM EST

with White Men, it's definitely a mish-mosh... but generally holding steady, state to state.  

white men in Virginia really don't match up with white men in North Carolina, as the latter tends to have more who are rural, non-college educated... the working class demo that has favored Clinton throughout.

one interesting trend is that Obama really seems to be making headway with the Catholic vote.

anyway, my prediction is that, with the exception of some of HRC's most ardent supporters (e.g. the denizens of TalkLeft, taylormarsh and the like), the voters will get behind Obama in November... especially once they start paying attention to McCain's terrible platform.

[ Parent ]

Edwards: I Just Voted For... | 138 comments (138 topical)

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