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NC and IN prediction (4.00 / 1) (#60)
by magster on Mon May 05, 2008 at 02:38:57 PM EST
From the ashes will rise the phoenix of John Zogby's restored credibility...

Obama by 15% in NC
Obama by 3% in IN

Heh (none / 0) (#69)
by Big Tent Democrat on Mon May 05, 2008 at 02:43:14 PM EST
Not with me. Zogby is not polling - he is posturing.

He is taking a stab at it.

He figures Obama has a chance in Indiana and Clinton does not in NC. He's right of course but he is STILL not a pollster.

[ Parent ]

everyone is so sure Hillary (5.00 / 1) (#72)
by Capt Howdy on Mon May 05, 2008 at 02:47:43 PM EST
has no chance in NC.
what a wonderful Chihuahua fire drill it would cause if she won.

[ Parent ]
Excuse me (5.00 / 1) (#76)
by Kathy on Mon May 05, 2008 at 02:50:04 PM EST
KUSA has clearly called NC for Clinton.

Chihuahuas, indeed.

[ Parent ]

My conservative friend in western NC (none / 0) (#104)
by oculus on Mon May 05, 2008 at 03:12:10 PM EST
agrees w/you.  He doesn't actually poll anyone either; he expects Wilder effect to kick in.  

[ Parent ]
I love the image (none / 0) (#82)
by Democratic Cat on Mon May 05, 2008 at 02:53:36 PM EST
but she really doesn't have a chance. He should beat her by 10+. If he doesn't there is a problem -- NC is not winable by either Dem in November, but a close NC race means he is likely losing a lot of white support elsewhere.

[ Parent ]
I disagree (5.00 / 1) (#88)
by Kathy on Mon May 05, 2008 at 02:59:37 PM EST
with your analysis.  I think it's not so much that Obama is losing white support (though I certainly agree that, to a percentage, he is), but that Clinton is getting more new voters to turn up who happen to be white.  It's as if they are coming out of their Bush-induced stupor and realizing that they can be proud to be dems again.

WJC has been hitting these small towns like a nun at a wh*re house.  He's been energizing a set of voters who normally don't vote in primaries because they don't think their voices count.

I predict a huge upswing of rural voters on par with the upswing of evangelicals who gave Bush his second term.  I hate making that kind of comparison, but WJC is gold in these small towns.  500 votes here, 700 votes there...it adds up.


[ Parent ]

oh please oh please oh please (none / 0) (#110)
by Capt Howdy on Mon May 05, 2008 at 03:17:46 PM EST


[ Parent ]
Zogby lost credibility... (none / 0) (#75)
by stefystef on Mon May 05, 2008 at 02:48:47 PM EST
a long time ago.

No redemption.  After this election cycle, no one will quote them again.

[ Parent ]

thats what big dog said before PA (none / 0) (#107)
by thereyougo on Mon May 05, 2008 at 03:13:21 PM EST
about a fire in one her offices in PA. She'll rise
out of the ashes like the Pheonix. ha--ha!

[ Parent ]

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